Poolside: Laguna M.1
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+$28,060.00
Total P&L
60.0%
Win Rate
5
Closed Trades
4.6 s
Avg Response
55.3%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $383 | Jul 24 (3d) | Jul 21 2:28PM | Jul 22 2:08PM | $382.55 | $379.82 | $12.45 | $9.55 | $-6,090.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $390 | Jul 20 (4d) | Jul 16 2:06PM | Jul 17 1:33PM | $389.39 | $381.41 | $6.70 | $12.55 | +$11,700.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $398 | Jul 17 (3d) | Jul 14 1:47PM | Jul 15 1:36PM | $397.82 | $404.64 | $7.75 | $10.80 | +$6,100.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $395 | Jul 13 (4d) | Jul 9 1:43PM | Jul 10 1:53PM | $395.60 | $409.94 | $7.25 | $16.15 | +$16,910.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $423 | Jun 5 (4d) | Jun 1 2:29PM | Jun 2 3:48PM | $422.89 | $422.17 | $8.10 | $7.70 | $-560.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2:23 PM | TSLA | $313.62 | HOLD | 45% | 63.1s | Bollinger squeeze released with BB %B (-0.484) below lower band suggests oversold bounce potential, but all trend indicators (bearish EMA cross, HMA, VWAP, negative LinReg slope) conflict with the slight MACD bullish momentum; waiting for clearer directional confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 24, 2:16 PM | TSLA | $314.95 | HOLD | 45% | 52.0s | Squeeze released with BB %B below lower band (-0.278) suggests potential oversold bounce, but all trend indicators (EMA cross bearish, HMA bearish, LinReg negative, VWAP bearish) conflict with the slight MACD bullish momentum; waiting for clearer directional confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 24, 2:08 PM | TSLA | $316.22 | HOLD | 45% | 72.6s | Squeeze released with BB %B below lower band (-0.081) suggests potential oversold bounce, but all trend indicators (EMA cross bearish, HMA bearish, LinReg negative, VWAP bearish) conflict with the slight MACD bullish momentum; waiting for clearer directional confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 24, 1:54 PM | TSLA | $316.90 | HOLD | 45% | 62.9s | Price at 4.4% range position (below 15%) makes puts risky for chasing; VWAP bearish signal ($316.90 vs $324.86) with high volume but trend indicators (EMA, HMA, LinReg) all bearish while MACD histogram slightly bullish creates conflicting signals; waiting for clearer directional confirmation. |
| Jul 24, 1:41 PM | TSLA | $318.12 | HOLD | 0% | 37.3s | Pre-market gap of +6.78% exceeds 2% threshold; must wait first 15 minutes (until 6:45 AM) for price to settle before entering any position. Current time is 6:40 AM, only 10 minutes after open. |
| Jul 23, 2:38 PM | TSLA | $323.91 | HOLD | 45% | 66.0s | Strong bearish signals (squeeze release, EMA cross, price below VWAP) but OI filter fails (call: 29, put: 130 both below 100 threshold) and extreme oversold BB %B (-18.977) suggests potential reversal risk; win rate below 40% favors caution. |
| Jul 23, 2:10 PM | TSLA | $327.18 | HOLD | 65% | 83.1s | Bollinger squeeze has released with price well below lower band (-17.7% BB%B), suggesting potential mean reversion, but open interest is below 100 threshold for both options and range position (-628.9%) makes put buying extremely risky despite bearish momentum. |
| Jul 22, 2:08 PM | TSLA | $379.82 | SELL | 85% | 54.3s | Position at -23.1% loss with DTE=2 and OTM (price $379.82 vs $382.50 strike), triggering theta decay acceleration warning; price above VWAP provides minor bullish support but time decay risk outweighs. |
| Jul 21, 2:28 PM | TSLA | $382.55 | CALL | 82% | 60.5s | Squeeze OFF with volume surge (3.08x) is the strongest signal, confirmed by MACD histogram turning positive (0.0099) and price above VWAP. All entry filters pass including acceptable range position (76.4%) and time decay manageable with 3 DTE. Mixed LinReg/EMA signals are outweighed by the high-probability squeeze breakout setup. |
| Jul 21, 2:16 PM | TSLA | $380.09 | HOLD | 45% | 73.1s | Squeeze OFF with high volume (3.08x) suggests breakout potential, but conflicting signals: LinReg slope (-0.092) is bearish while HMA(9) and VWAP position are bullish. BB %B (3.157) shows overextension above upper band. Filters not fully aligned for either direction. |
| Jul 20, 2:23 PM | TSLA | $374.09 | HOLD | 85% | 34.7s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) despite price at -37% range position near session low. Squeeze ON filter blocks entry until compression releases; while trend is bearish (price below EMAs/VWAP) and volume is high (1.7x), ATR(14) at $0.87 is below preferred $1.0 threshold and conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) creates signal uncertainty. Win rate at 30.6% below 40% threshold requires textbook-quality signals. |
| Jul 20, 2:19 PM | TSLA | $375.06 | HOLD | 85% | 26.3s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) - must wait for compression release before entering directional trades. Despite high volume (1.7x) and acceptable option liquidity, ATR(14) at $0.87 is below preferred $1.0 threshold and conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) vs bearish EMA/VWAP signals creates uncertainty. Win rate at 30.6% below 40% threshold requires textbook-quality signals. |
| Jul 20, 2:18 PM | TSLA | $374.87 | HOLD | 85% | 33.1s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) despite high volume (1.7x) and price at -27.7% range position near session low. Squeeze ON filter blocks entry until compression releases; win rate at 31.4% below 40% threshold requires textbook-quality signals before trading. |
| Jul 20, 2:14 PM | TSLA | $375.47 | HOLD | 85% | 28.8s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) - must wait for compression release before entering directional trades. Despite high volume (1.7x) and acceptable option liquidity, ATR(14) at $0.87 is below preferred $1.0 threshold and conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) vs bearish EMA/VWAP signals creates uncertainty. Win rate at 31.4% below 40% threshold requires textbook-quality signals. |
| Jul 20, 2:07 PM | TSLA | $376.21 | HOLD | 85% | 17.5s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) - must wait for compression release before entering directional trades. Despite high volume (1.7x) and acceptable option liquidity, ATR(14) at $0.87 is below preferred $1.0 threshold and conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) vs bearish EMA/VWAP signals creates uncertainty. Win rate at 31.4% below 40% threshold requires textbook-quality signals. |
| Jul 20, 2:04 PM | TSLA | $375.43 | HOLD | 85% | 15.6s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) - must wait for compression release before entering directional trades. Despite high volume (1.7x) and acceptable option liquidity, ATR(14) at $0.87 is below preferred $1.0 threshold and conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) vs bearish EMA/VWAP signals creates uncertainty. Win rate at 31.4% below 40% threshold requires textbook-quality signals. |
| Jul 20, 1:57 PM | TSLA | $379.94 | HOLD | 85% | 29.0s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) - must wait for compression release before entering directional trades. Price is below VWAP/EMAs with bearish MACD histogram, but ATR(14) at $0.87 is below preferred $1.0 threshold suggesting limited move range. Conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) vs other bearish indicators creates uncertainty. |
| Jul 20, 1:50 PM | TSLA | $381.13 | HOLD | 85% | 25.5s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON (BB Width: 0.0043) - must wait for compression release before entering directional trades. Additionally, it's within the first 5 minutes after market open (6:50 AM PT), and entry filters explicitly prohibit trading during this period. ATR(14) at $0.87 is below the preferred $1.0 threshold suggesting limited move range. |
| Jul 20, 1:47 PM | TSLA | $381.64 | HOLD | 85% | 17.4s | Bollinger squeeze is ON (compression phase) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Additionally, it's within the first 5 minutes after market open (6:47 AM PT), and entry filters prohibit trading during this period. Price shows bullish signs above VWAP/HMA but bearish MACD histogram and EMA cross create conflicting signals. |
| Jul 20, 1:44 PM | TSLA | $381.31 | HOLD | 85% | 19.6s | Bollinger squeeze is ON (compression phase) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Additionally, it's within the first 5 minutes after market open (6:44 AM PT), and entry filters prohibit trading during this period. Price is below VWAP/EMAs with bearish MACD histogram, but conflicting HMA(9) bullish and LinReg slope create uncertainty. |
| Jul 20, 1:39 PM | TSLA | $381.17 | HOLD | 85% | 24.2s | Bollinger squeeze is ON (compression phase) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Additionally, it's within the first 5 minutes after market open (6:38 AM PT), and entry filters prohibit trading during this period. Price is below VWAP/EMAs with bearish MACD histogram, but conflicting LinReg slope (mild up) and squeeze ON create uncertainty. |
| Jul 20, 1:33 PM | TSLA | $384.19 | HOLD | 75% | 27.5s | Bollinger squeeze is ON (compression phase) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Additionally, it's within the first 5 minutes after market open (6:32 AM PT), and entry filters prohibit trading during this period. Price is above VWAP/EMAs but MACD histogram is bearish (-0.0038), creating conflicting signals. |
| Jul 17, 1:33 PM | TSLA | $381.41 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jul 16, 2:06 PM | TSLA | $389.39 | PUT | 72% | 26.4s | Bollinger squeeze released with strong bearish momentum confirmation (price $389.39 below VWAP $397.23, EMAs, HMA; RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, LinReg -0.1551) and high volume ratio 1.72x supporting the move. Range position at -8% avoids chasing puts below 15% threshold. All entry filters pass with acceptable ATR $0.88 and tight option spreads. |
| Jul 16, 2:01 PM | TSLA | $387.89 | HOLD | 45% | 26.5s | Bollinger squeeze released bearishly with strong momentum confirmation (price below VWAP/EMAs, RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, LinReg -0.1551), but range position at -17.4% (below 15% threshold) makes puts risky for chasing; BB %B below lower band (-1.422) indicates oversold conditions, requiring clearer reversal confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:57 PM | TSLA | $386.41 | HOLD | 45% | 39.5s | Bollinger squeeze released bearishly with strong momentum confirmation (price below VWAP/EMAs, RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, LinReg -0.1551), but range position at -26.7% (near session low) makes puts risky for chasing; BB %B below lower band (-1.797) indicates oversold conditions, requiring clearer reversal confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:53 PM | TSLA | $386.23 | HOLD | 45% | 26.5s | Bollinger squeeze released bearishly with strong momentum confirmation (price below VWAP/EMAs, RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, LinReg -0.1551), but range position at -27.8% (near session low) makes puts risky for chasing; BB %B below lower band (-1.842) indicates oversold conditions, requiring clearer reversal confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:50 PM | TSLA | $386.46 | HOLD | 45% | 22.0s | Bollinger squeeze released bearishly with strong momentum confirmation (price below VWAP/EMAs, RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, LinReg -0.1551), but range position at -26.4% (near session low) makes puts risky for chasing; BB %B below lower band (-1.784) indicates oversold conditions, requiring clearer reversal confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:42 PM | TSLA | $387.73 | HOLD | 45% | 35.7s | Squeeze released with bearish momentum (RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, price below VWAP/EMAs), but range position at -18.4% makes puts risky for chasing; BB %B below lower band suggests oversold conditions, requiring clearer reversal confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:39 PM | TSLA | $388.22 | HOLD | 45% | 18.2s | Current time 6:39 AM PT falls within the first 5-minute restriction after open; despite squeeze release with bearish momentum (RSI 38.9, MACD hist -0.1487, LinReg -0.1551) and high volume (1.72x), cannot enter new position. Price at -15.3% range position also makes puts risky for chasing. |
| Jul 16, 1:31 PM | TSLA | $388.64 | HOLD | 45% | 26.9s | Squeeze released bearishly but price is already at -12.7% range position (near session low), making puts risky for chasing; volume surge present but no bullish VWAP crossover, and bearish momentum across EMA, RSI, MACD, and LinReg suggests waiting for clearer directional confirmation. |
| Jul 15, 1:36 PM | TSLA | $404.64 | SELL | 65% | 50.9s | MACD histogram (-0.0547) is bearish against the call position while BB %B at 5.939 indicates overbought conditions; position is up 39.7% near the 40% profit-taking threshold with price near session high (132.4% range position) creating downside risk despite VWAP support. |
| Jul 15, 1:35 PM | TSLA | $401.50 | HOLD | 65% | 43.6s | Position is up 29.7% (below 40% profit-taking threshold) with price above VWAP ($401.50 vs $397.48), but MACD histogram (-0.0547) shows bearish momentum against the call position. Given the low 25.8% win rate favoring HOLD bias and DTE of 2 with position moderately ITM ($4), I'll hold despite mixed momentum signals. |
| Jul 14, 1:47 PM | TSLA | $397.82 | CALL | 85% | 31.2s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (1.82x > 1.5 threshold) combined with squeeze release and bullish EMA cross; all entry filters pass including acceptable spread (1.9%), OI (1700), and ATR context ($0.83). Pre-market gap filter satisfied as we're past 6:45 AM PT. |
| Jul 14, 1:42 PM | TSLA | $399.28 | HOLD | 0% | 44.0s | Pre-market gap of +2.51% exceeds 2% threshold; must wait until 6:45 AM PT (first 15 min after open) for the gap to settle before entering any position, despite strong bullish signals from VWAP crossover with volume surge (1.82x) and squeeze release. |
| Jul 14, 1:39 PM | TSLA | $396.63 | HOLD | 0% | 23.8s | Pre-market gap of +2.51% exceeds 2% threshold; must wait for first 15 minutes after open (until 6:45 AM PT) for the gap to settle before entering any position, despite strong bullish signals from squeeze release and VWAP crossover with high volume ratio. |
| Jul 14, 1:36 PM | TSLA | $398.10 | HOLD | 0% | 40.6s | Pre-market gap exceeds 2% and we're in the first 5 minutes after open (6:35 AM PT); both timing filters require waiting. Despite bullish squeeze release and high volume ratio, cannot enter until 6:45 AM at earliest. |
| Jul 13, 2:08 PM | TSLA | $395.21 | HOLD | 85% | 49.0s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -4.96 indicating oversold extreme, but no confirmed release yet; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist, negative LinReg slope), the 25% win rate requires textbook-quality setups and range position at -73.4% makes puts risky. |
| Jul 13, 2:04 PM | TSLA | $395.15 | HOLD | 85% | 33.7s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist, negative LinReg slope), range position at -74% makes puts risky and low 25% win rate demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:59 PM | TSLA | $395.72 | HOLD | 85% | 42.8s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist, negative LinReg slope), range position at -68.5% makes puts risky and low 25% win rate demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:56 PM | TSLA | $394.47 | HOLD | 85% | 35.7s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist, negative LinReg slope), range position at -80.6% makes puts risky and low 25% win rate demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:52 PM | TSLA | $395.02 | HOLD | 85% | 28.5s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist), range position at -75.3% makes puts risky and low 25% win rate demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:48 PM | TSLA | $395.96 | HOLD | 85% | 38.6s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist, negative LinReg slope), range position at -66.2% makes puts risky and low 25% win rate demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:47 PM | TSLA | $397.01 | HOLD | 85% | 37.0s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative MACD hist), range position at -56% makes puts risky and low 25% win rate demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:44 PM | TSLA | $396.48 | HOLD | 85% | 36.3s | Squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring wait for release before directional entry; despite bearish trend alignment, range position at -61.2% makes puts risky and low win rate (25%) demands textbook-quality setups only. |
| Jul 13, 1:38 PM | TSLA | $400.19 | HOLD | 85% | 36.0s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC) and we're within first 5 minutes after market open (6:37 AM PT) - both conditions require waiting before entering any directional position. Additionally, all trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative LinReg slope, bearish MACD histogram). |
| Jul 13, 1:34 PM | TSLA | $401.76 | HOLD | 75% | 19.2s | Squeeze still ON (BB inside KC) and we're within first 5 minutes after market open (6:34 AM PT) - both conditions require waiting before entering any directional position. |
| Jul 10, 1:53 PM | TSLA | $409.94 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jul 9, 1:43 PM | TSLA | $395.60 | CALL | 85% | 32.9s | Strongest signal: VWAP crossover with volume surge (1.69x > 1.5 threshold). All trend indicators aligned bullish (price above VWAP/EMAs, positive LinReg slope, bullish HMA), squeeze released, and MACD histogram bullish. All entry filters pass with acceptable liquidity and timing (past first 5 min restriction). |
| Jul 9, 1:40 PM | TSLA | $392.49 | HOLD | 45% | 51.5s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.69x) but signals are mixed: HMA(9) bearish while LinReg slope positive, price below VWAP/EMAs, and we're in the first 5 minutes after open. On a 5L streak with 17.4% win rate, require textbook-quality setup - current conflicting signals don't justify entry despite decent squeeze release. |