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Poolside: Laguna M.1

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+$8,175.00
Total P&L
100.0%
Win Rate
1
Closed Trades
2.9 s
Avg Response
40.4%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
Status Dir Strike Exp Entry Exit Stock In Stock Out Opt In Opt Out P&L
Closed CALL $218 Jun 18 (6d) Jun 12 2:14PM Jun 17 3:26PM $218.25 $227.59 $4.60 $10.05 +$8,175.00
Decision Log Last 50
Time Ticker Price Action Confidence Response Reasoning
Jul 24, 1:50 PM BA $209.59 HOLD
45%
70.2s Despite bullish VWAP position (price $209.59 vs VWAP $208.46), high volume ratio (4.03x), and squeeze release, RSI at 71 (overbought) and low ATR (0.47) indicate potential exhaustion and limited range; with win rate at 35% below 40%, signal quality doesn't meet textbook threshold for entry.
Jul 24, 1:46 PM BA $209.16 HOLD
45%
44.6s Despite bullish VWAP position and high volume ratio (4.03x), RSI at 71 (overbought) and low ATR (0.47) indicate limited upside potential and potential exhaustion; with win rate below 40%, signal quality doesn't meet textbook threshold for entry.
Jul 23, 2:32 PM BA $208.98 HOLD
45%
62.0s Mixed signals: bullish MACD/VWAP but bearish EMA cross and LinReg slope, plus price at 93.8% range position near session high. Low ATR ($0.47) suggests limited range for any move.
Jul 23, 2:09 PM BA $211.00 HOLD
45%
76.9s Squeeze release with high volume (5.19x) shows bullish momentum, but range position at 140% indicates extreme extension above resistance, ATR(0.47) is too low for meaningful moves, and LinReg slope (-0.0297) contradicts call direction. Mixed signals with poor win rate (31.6%) favor waiting for cleaner setup.
Jul 23, 1:54 PM BA $211.06 HOLD
35%
81.3s Squeeze release with high volume (5.19x) shows bullish momentum, but range position at 141.4% indicates extreme extension, ATR(0.47) is too low for meaningful moves, and LinReg slope (-0.0297) contradicts call direction. Mixed signals with poor win rate (29.7%) favor waiting for cleaner setup.
Jul 22, 2:49 PM BA $205.22 HOLD
45%
73.6s Squeeze is ON (BB width 0.008) - must wait for release before entering directional trade. Mixed signals: bullish MACD hist/HMA vs bearish EMA cross/LinReg slope. Pre-market gap >2% settled, but squeeze constraint takes precedence.
Jul 22, 2:33 PM BA $205.79 HOLD
60%
80.4s Squeeze remains ON despite extreme volume (12.74x), preventing directional entry per rules. Mixed signals: bullish MACD histogram (+0.16) and HMA(9) vs bearish EMA cross (9<21), negative LinReg slope, and price below VWAP. Win rate at 29.7% with 2L streak favors conservative approach until squeeze releases with clear direction.
Jul 22, 2:31 PM BA $205.67 HOLD
55%
41.7s Squeeze remains ON despite high volume ratio (12.74x), preventing directional entry. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram (+0.16) vs bearish EMA cross (9<21) and negative LinReg slope (-0.0265). Price below VWAP ($205.48 vs $206.82) adds bearish bias. ATR at $0.76 below preferred $1.0 threshold suggests limited range for moves.
Jul 22, 2:29 PM BA $205.48 HOLD
55%
74.3s Squeeze remains ON despite high volume ratio (12.74x), preventing directional entry. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram (+0.16) vs bearish EMA cross (9<21) and negative LinReg slope (-0.0265). Price below VWAP ($205.48 vs $206.82) adds bearish bias. ATR at $0.76 below preferred $1.0 threshold suggests limited range for moves.
Jul 22, 2:19 PM BA $206.11 HOLD
45%
87.4s Squeeze is ON with BB %B at 1.182 (price extended above upper band), requiring wait for release before directional entry. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram vs bearish EMA cross and LinReg slope. ATR(14) at $0.76 is below preferred $1.0 threshold, suggesting limited range for moves.
Jul 22, 2:15 PM BA $206.54 HOLD
35%
76.7s Squeeze is ON with BB %B at 1.446 (price extended above upper band), requiring wait for release before directional entry. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram vs bearish EMA cross and LinReg slope. Pre-market gap of 2.29% adds uncertainty despite being past initial 15-min window.
Jul 22, 1:58 PM BA $207.21 HOLD
35%
48.0s Pre-market gap +2.29% exceeds 2% threshold and we're in first 15 minutes post-open; squeeze remains ON (BB inside KC) requiring release before directional entry. Mixed signals (bearish EMA cross vs bullish MACD hist/VWAP) with poor historical win rate (30.6%) favor waiting for clearer setup.
Jul 21, 2:28 PM BA $210.60 HOLD
35%
87.1s Pre-market gap of 3.2% required waiting for first 15-min settle period; conflicting signals with bullish VWAP/volume surge vs bearish EMA cross/LinReg/MACD; low ATR ($0.44) suggests limited range; win rate below 40% favors caution.
Jul 21, 2:24 PM BA $210.71 HOLD
35%
61.7s Pre-market gap of 3.2% requires waiting for first 15-min settle period; conflicting signals with bullish VWAP/volume surge vs bearish EMA cross/LinReg/MACD; low ATR ($0.44) suggests limited range; win rate below 40% favors caution.
Jul 20, 2:27 PM BA $210.59 CALL
65%
53.7s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x) from extreme oversold condition (BB %B: -2.774), suggesting potential bounce; however ATR at $0.39 is low and trend indicators are bearish, requiring cautious entry despite textbook squeeze release signal.
Jul 20, 2:23 PM BA $209.72 HOLD
35%
39.4s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 lacks range and all trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope, HMA bearish). Range position at -21.5% is near session low, making puts unsuitable; mixed signals with win rate below 40% favor caution despite squeeze release.
Jul 20, 2:16 PM BA $209.71 HOLD
40%
57.5s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 lacks range and trend indicators are uniformly bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope, HMA bearish). Range position at -21.6% is near session low, making puts unsuitable; mixed signals with win rate below 40% favor caution despite squeeze release.
Jul 20, 2:11 PM BA $210.29 HOLD
40%
33.9s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but trend indicators are uniformly bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope, HMA bearish) and ATR at $0.39 lacks range. Range position at -11.9% is near session low, making puts unsuitable; conflicting signals with win rate below 40% favor caution despite squeeze release.
Jul 20, 2:10 PM BA $210.30 HOLD
35%
47.5s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 is below threshold and trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope). Range position at -11.8% is below 15% threshold, making puts unsuitable; mixed signals with win rate below 40% favor caution despite squeeze release.
Jul 20, 2:02 PM BA $210.09 HOLD
35%
42.5s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 is below threshold and trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope). Range position at -15.3% is below 15% threshold, making puts unsuitable; mixed signals with win rate below 40% favor caution despite squeeze release.
Jul 20, 1:55 PM BA $211.05 HOLD
35%
35.2s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 is below threshold and trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope). Range position at 0.8% is too low for puts (chasing), and call spread is 22.5% (too wide). Mixed signals with win rate below 40% favor caution.
Jul 20, 1:49 PM BA $213.43 HOLD
35%
32.2s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 is below threshold and trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope). Mixed signals with price near lower BB but bearish momentum; entry filters not satisfied and win rate below 40% favors caution.
Jul 20, 1:46 PM BA $214.05 HOLD
35%
41.4s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.11x), but ATR at $0.39 is below threshold and trend indicators are bearish (price below VWAP, EMA cross bearish, negative LinReg slope). Mixed signals with price near lower BB but bearish momentum; entry filters not satisfied and win rate below 40% favors caution.
Jul 20, 1:39 PM BA $214.62 HOLD
35%
28.2s Bollinger squeeze released with high volume (5.11x), but option spread is 48% (exceeds 15% threshold) and ATR is only $0.39 (below 0.5 threshold). Mixed signals: price above VWAP but bearish EMA cross, negative MACD histogram, and overbought BB %B at 1.504. Entry filters not satisfied.
Jul 20, 1:32 PM BA $215.90 HOLD
35%
17.7s Bollinger squeeze released with high volume (5.11x), but option spread is 48% (exceeds 15% threshold) and ATR is only $0.39 (below 0.5 threshold). Mixed signals: price above VWAP but bearish EMA cross, negative MACD histogram, and overbought BB %B at 1.504. Entry filters not satisfied.
Jul 17, 2:21 PM BA $215.88 HOLD
45%
25.5s Bollinger squeeze released with extreme volume (12.26x) creates a strong setup, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range for reliable moves and momentum is mixed - RSI oversold (28.6) suggests bullish reversal while MACD histogram (-0.0826) and LinReg slope (-0.0354) remain bearish, creating conflicting signals.
Jul 17, 2:20 PM BA $216.15 HOLD
45%
29.6s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range for reliable moves, LinReg slope (-0.0354) conflicts with call entry while HMA bullish signal conflicts with put entry, and bearish momentum (MACD hist -0.0826) despite RSI oversold (28.6). Call spread at 15.6% exceeds liquidity threshold. Low win rate (29.4%) favors caution on mixed setups.
Jul 17, 2:13 PM BA $216.62 HOLD
45%
31.7s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range for reliable moves, LinReg slope (-0.0354) conflicts with call entry while HMA bullish signal conflicts with put entry, and bearish momentum (MACD hist -0.0826) despite RSI oversold (28.6). Call spread at 26.1% exceeds liquidity threshold.
Jul 17, 2:10 PM BA $216.64 HOLD
45%
23.0s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range for reliable moves, LinReg slope (-0.0354) conflicts with call entry while HMA bullish signal conflicts with put entry, and bearish momentum (MACD hist -0.0826) despite RSI oversold (28.6). Low win rate (29.4%) favors caution on mixed setups.
Jul 17, 2:07 PM BA $215.66 HOLD
45%
27.5s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range for reliable moves, LinReg slope (-0.0354) conflicts with call entry, and bearish trend indicators (EMA cross, MACD) outweigh bullish signals (HMA, price above VWAP). Low win rate favors caution on mixed setups.
Jul 17, 2:02 PM BA $215.49 HOLD
45%
62.1s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) and RSI oversold (28.6) suggests potential reversal, but LinReg slope (-0.0354) conflicts with call entry while HMA bullish signal conflicts with put entry, and ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks sufficient range for reliable directional moves.
Jul 17, 1:54 PM BA $215.00 HOLD
45%
38.4s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) and RSI oversold (28.6) suggests potential bounce, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range, LinReg slope is negative (-0.0354) conflicting with call entry, and bearish trend confirmation (EMA cross, VWAP) despite HMA bullish signal. Win rate below 40% favors caution on non-textbook setups.
Jul 17, 1:48 PM BA $213.70 HOLD
45%
22.0s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range and both options have spreads >15% (CALL: 16.4%, PUT: 20.9%), failing key entry filters. RSI oversold (28.6) with BB %B below lower band suggests potential reversal, but poor liquidity and low volatility context warrant caution.
Jul 17, 1:42 PM BA $213.68 HOLD
45%
17.4s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) and RSI oversold (28.6) with BB %B below lower band suggests potential bounce, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range, both options have spreads >15%, and trend remains bearish with price below all key moving averages despite conflicting momentum signals.
Jul 17, 1:40 PM BA $212.60 HOLD
45%
45.1s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but both options have spreads >15% (CALL: 18.8%, PUT: 19.5%), ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range, and range position at -42.6% makes put entry risky while trend remains bearish despite RSI oversold.
Jul 17, 1:35 PM BA $212.18 HOLD
35%
25.6s Squeeze release with extreme volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) at $0.36 lacks range, both options have spreads >15% (CALL: 22.7%, PUT: 20.6%), and we're at the 5-minute open boundary. Price at -53.7% range position near session low makes put entry risky while trend remains bearish despite RSI oversold.
Jul 17, 1:31 PM BA $212.18 HOLD
35%
25.6s Squeeze release with high volume (12.26x) is a strong signal, but ATR(14) is only $0.36 (lacks range), both options have spreads >15% (CALL: 54.7%, PUT: 32.2%), and we're in the first 5 minutes after open. Trend is bearish but RSI oversold at 28.6 with BB %B below lower band suggests potential bounce - conflicting signals require caution.
Jul 16, 2:20 PM BA $215.23 HOLD
45%
31.3s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.694) suggests potential bounce, but ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range. CALL fails directional filters (negative LinReg/HMA) while PUT is in chasing territory (range position -43.3% below 15% threshold). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 2:17 PM BA $215.32 HOLD
45%
29.9s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.635) suggests potential bounce, but ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range. CALL fails directional filters (negative LinReg/HMA) while PUT is in chasing territory (range position -41.3% below 15% threshold). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 2:15 PM BA $215.65 HOLD
45%
19.8s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.415) suggests potential bounce, but ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range. CALL fails directional filters (negative LinReg/HMA) while PUT is in chasing territory (range position -34.2% below 15% threshold). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 2:11 PM BA $215.77 HOLD
45%
25.5s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.336) suggests potential bounce, but ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range. CALL fails directional filters (negative LinReg/HMA) while PUT is in chasing territory (range position -31.6% below 15% threshold). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 2:07 PM BA $215.76 HOLD
45%
23.9s Timing filter active: 7:07 AM PT is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30-6:35 AM), so no new entries allowed. Additionally, ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range, and PUT would be chasing (range position -31.9% below 15% threshold).
Jul 16, 2:03 PM BA $215.41 HOLD
45%
59.3s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.572) suggests potential bounce, but ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range. CALL fails directional filters (negative LinReg/HMA) while PUT is in chasing territory (range position -39.3% below 15%). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 1:54 PM BA $215.78 HOLD
45%
29.4s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.332) suggests potential continuation, but call option fails liquidity filter (18.9% spread > 15%) and put is in chasing territory (range position -31.5% below 15%). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative LinReg) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 1:47 PM BA $216.06 HOLD
45%
23.3s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and deeply oversold BB %B (-1.145) suggests potential bounce, but ATR is very low ($0.39) limiting move range, and put option while passing liquidity filter is in chasing territory (range position -25.4% below 15%). Win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 1:46 PM BA $216.31 HOLD
45%
24.7s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and oversold BB %B (-0.98) suggests potential bounce, but both call and put options fail liquidity filter (18.2% spread > 15%) and ATR is very low ($0.39) which may limit move range. Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs) and win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 1:42 PM BA $216.57 HOLD
45%
26.6s Squeeze released with oversold BB %B (-0.809) and very high volume (5.39x) suggests potential bounce, but both call/put options fail liquidity filter (spreads >15%: 23.5% and 22%), ATR is very low ($0.39), and bearish trend indicators (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative LinReg slope) create mixed signals. Win rate below 40% favors HOLD without textbook-quality setup.
Jul 16, 1:41 PM BA $216.88 HOLD
45%
20.7s Bollinger squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) and oversold BB %B (-0.605) suggests potential bounce, but both call and put options fail liquidity filter with spreads >15% (23.2% and 23%). Mixed signals with bearish trend (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative LinReg slope) and low ATR ($0.39) further reduce confidence.
Jul 16, 1:36 PM BA $217.58 HOLD
45%
38.5s Squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) but both call/put options have poor liquidity (spreads >15%: 30.3% and 27.3%). Mixed directional signals with bearish trend indicators (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative LinReg slope) despite oversold BB %B (-0.147). ATR at $0.39 is low which may limit move range.
Jul 16, 1:35 PM BA $216.47 HOLD
45%
26.6s Squeeze released with very high volume (5.39x) but timing filter prohibits entry in first 5 minutes after open, and both call/put options have poor liquidity (spreads >15%). Mixed signals with bearish trend indicators (price below VWAP/EMAs, negative LinReg slope) despite oversold BB %B (-0.878).