Poolside: Laguna M.1
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$-2,354.00
Total P&L
33.3%
Win Rate
3
Closed Trades
4.1 s
Avg Response
39.5%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $310 | Jun 8 (4d) | Jun 4 2:16PM | Jun 5 7:10PM | $310.86 | $308.80 | $4.60 | $3.10 | $-2,100.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $310 | Jun 5 (4d) | Jun 1 2:13PM | Jun 2 3:44PM | $309.27 | $312.82 | $2.95 | $3.30 | +$490.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $298 | May 22 (3d) | May 19 5:31PM | May 20 3:44PM | $298.26 | $298.98 | $3.40 | $2.78 | $-744.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 1:40 PM | AAPL | $325.75 | CALL | 65% | 67.3s | Squeeze release with strong volume surge (2.08x) triggers the strongest signal in hierarchy, confirmed by bullish EMA cross and MACD momentum. However, range position at 162% and low ATR ($0.53) suggest caution on chasing extended price. |
| Jul 23, 2:40 PM | AAPL | $322.63 | HOLD | 45% | 85.4s | Squeeze release with 2.2x volume surge provides bullish momentum, but conflicting signals: price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9) (bearish) vs positive MACD/RSI/LinReg. ATR(0.53) below 0.5 threshold suggests limited range, and with win rate at 33% (below 40%), signal lacks textbook quality for entry despite oversold BB %B (-0.279). |
| Jul 23, 2:37 PM | AAPL | $322.26 | HOLD | 45% | 67.0s | Squeeze release with high volume (2.2x) provides bullish momentum, but HMA(9) direction is bearish and conflicts with call entry; ATR(0.53) below 0.5 threshold suggests limited range, and with win rate at 33% (below 40%), signal lacks textbook quality for entry. |
| Jul 23, 2:34 PM | AAPL | $322.18 | HOLD | 35% | 69.5s | Squeeze release with high volume (2.2x) is the strongest signal, but direction is mixed: price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA (bearish) conflicts with bullish MACD/RSI/LinReg. ATR(0.53) below 0.5 threshold suggests limited range, and HMA direction doesn't confirm either side for a textbook-quality entry. |
| Jul 22, 3:13 PM | AAPL | $324.40 | HOLD | 65% | 64.1s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -2.242 (oversold), but price below VWAP/EMAs and MACD histogram bearish; waiting for squeeze release before entering directional trade despite high volume ratio of 1.79x and low ATR ($0.55) suggesting limited range. |
| Jul 22, 3:10 PM | AAPL | $324.51 | HOLD | 65% | 77.3s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -2.15 (oversold), but price below VWAP/EMAs and MACD histogram bearish; waiting for squeeze release before entering directional trade despite high volume ratio of 1.79x. |
| Jul 22, 2:53 PM | AAPL | $325.01 | HOLD | 30% | 46.3s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -1.75 indicating oversold conditions, but no clear squeeze release confirmation yet. Price is above VWAP ($326.78) but below EMAs, creating mixed signals. Additionally, we're in the last 10 minutes before market close (1:00 PM PT) and on a 2-loss streak requiring stronger signals before entry. |
| Jul 22, 2:50 PM | AAPL | $325.07 | HOLD | 35% | 40.4s | Bollinger squeeze is ON with price below VWAP and EMAs, but waiting for squeeze release before entering directional trade. ATR(0.55) is low, lunch hour period reduces confidence, and on 2-loss streak requiring stronger signals. |
| Jul 22, 2:46 PM | AAPL | $324.73 | HOLD | 45% | 69.3s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -1.974 (price below lower band), and mixed signals: LinReg slope mildly positive (+0.0064) conflicts with bearish HMA(9) and MACD histogram (-0.0275). ATR(14) at $0.55 is low, suggesting limited range for moves. With win rate at 29.7% and on a 2-loss streak, waiting for clearer directional confirmation and squeeze release before entering. |
| Jul 22, 2:43 PM | AAPL | $324.68 | HOLD | 35% | 59.0s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -2.014 (price below lower band), but no confirmed release yet. Mixed signals: LinReg slope mildly positive (+0.0064) while HMA(9) and MACD histogram are bearish. With win rate at 29.7% and squeeze still active, waiting for clearer directional confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 22, 2:36 PM | AAPL | $324.53 | HOLD | 75% | 67.9s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON despite high volume ratio (1.79x), indicating compressed volatility; price below EMA(9)/EMA(21)/VWAP and MACD histogram negative suggest bearish bias but squeeze release needed before entering directional trade per rules. Additionally, ATR(14) at $0.55 is below optimal threshold and win rate (29.7%) favors conservative approach. |
| Jul 22, 2:33 PM | AAPL | $324.49 | HOLD | 75% | 33.6s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON despite high volume ratio (1.79x), indicating compressed volatility; price below EMA(9)/EMA(21)/VWAP and MACD histogram negative suggest bearish bias but squeeze release needed before entering directional trade per rules. |
| Jul 22, 2:26 PM | AAPL | $324.79 | HOLD | 80% | 31.9s | Squeeze remains ON (BB %B at -1.93, BB Width tight) with no confirmed breakout despite high volume ratio 1.79x and bearish EMA/VWAP alignment. ATR at $0.55 is below optimal threshold and low win rate (29.7%) on 2L streak requires stronger signal confirmation before entering directional trade. |
| Jul 22, 2:17 PM | AAPL | $325.23 | HOLD | 75% | 44.9s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -1.574 indicating compression without confirmed breakout. Despite high volume ratio (1.79x) and bearish price positioning below EMAs/VWAP, must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade per rules. ATR at $0.55 is below optimal threshold and low win rate (29.7%) on 2L streak raises caution. |
| Jul 22, 2:12 PM | AAPL | $325.50 | HOLD | 75% | 82.9s | Squeeze is ON with BB %B at -1.358 indicating compression without confirmed breakout. Despite high volume ratio (1.79x) and price below key MAs, must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade per rules. ATR at $0.55 is below optimal threshold and win rate at 29.7% on 2L streak raises caution. |
| Jul 22, 2:08 PM | AAPL | $325.92 | HOLD | 35% | 43.3s | Squeeze is ON with BB %B below lower band (-1.022), indicating compression without breakout. ATR(14) at $0.55 is below 0.5 threshold suggesting limited range. Despite high volume ratio (1.79x), waiting for squeeze release before entering directional trade per rules. Win rate at 30.6% and on 1L streak raises caution threshold. |
| Jul 22, 2:00 PM | AAPL | $326.11 | HOLD | 0% | 73.2s | Bollinger squeeze is still ON (compression) - must wait for release before entering directional trade. Additionally, ATR(14) at $0.55 is below optimal range threshold, and mixed signals with bearish MACD histogram (-0.0275) conflicting with slightly positive LinReg slope (0.0064). Poor win rate (30.6%) further reduces confidence. |
| Jul 21, 2:21 PM | AAPL | $326.13 | PUT | 65% | 72.6s | Squeeze released (OFF) with bearish MACD histogram (-0.1534) and high volume surge (5.92x), while price is below VWAP ($327.00) and HMA(9) confirms bearish direction. Poor win rate (30.6%) and conflicting EMA crossover keep confidence moderate. |
| Jul 20, 2:12 PM | AAPL | $328.09 | CALL | 65% | 57.2s | Bollinger squeeze release with BB %B at -1.425 (below lower band) and very high volume (3.66x) signals oversold bullish reversal potential. LinReg slope is mildly positive and range position (-15.2%) supports call entry. However, price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9) and negative MACD histogram create conflicts, and poor win rate (31.4%) requires caution. |
| Jul 20, 2:09 PM | AAPL | $328.35 | HOLD | 0% | 29.4s | Conflicted setup: squeeze release with excellent volume (3.66x) and BB %B below lower band (-1.331) suggest bullish reversal potential, but price remains below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9) with negative MACD histogram indicating bearish bias. Performance rule applies (win rate 31.4% < 40%), requiring textbook-quality signals which are absent in this mixed directional environment. |
| Jul 20, 2:08 PM | AAPL | $328.35 | HOLD | 0% | 34.1s | Conflicted setup: squeeze release with very high volume (3.66x) and BB %B below lower band (-1.333) suggest bullish reversal potential, but price remains below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9) with negative MACD histogram indicating bearish bias. HMA direction conflicts with call bias, and performance rule applies (win rate 31.4% < 40%), requiring textbook-quality signals which are absent in this mixed directional environment. |
| Jul 20, 2:04 PM | AAPL | $328.84 | HOLD | 0% | 20.5s | Conflicted setup: squeeze release with excellent volume (3.66x) and BB %B below lower band suggest bullish reversal potential, but price remains below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9) with negative MACD histogram indicating bearish bias. Performance rule applies (win rate 31.4% < 40%), requiring textbook-quality signals which are absent in this mixed directional environment. |
| Jul 20, 1:53 PM | AAPL | $330.19 | HOLD | 0% | 36.0s | Mixed/conflicted signals: squeeze release with excellent volume (3.66x) and BB %B below lower band suggest bullish reversal potential, but price is below VWAP, EMAs, and HMA(9) with negative MACD histogram indicating bearish bias. Performance rule applies (win rate 31.4% < 40%), requiring textbook-quality signals which are not present in this conflicted setup. |
| Jul 20, 1:48 PM | AAPL | $330.22 | HOLD | 0% | 23.0s | Despite squeeze release with very high volume (3.66x) and BB %B below lower band suggesting bullish potential, directional indicators are conflicted: price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9), negative MACD histogram, and HMA direction conflicts with call bias. Performance rule applies (win rate 31.4% < 40%), requiring textbook-quality signals which are not present in this mixed setup. |
| Jul 20, 1:45 PM | AAPL | $330.29 | HOLD | 0% | 26.9s | Squeeze release with very high volume (3.66x) provides setup potential, but directional indicators are conflicted: price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA(9) (bearish) vs positive LinReg slope and BB %B below lower band (bullish). Performance rule applies (win rate 31.4% < 40%), requiring textbook-quality signals which are not present here. |
| Jul 20, 1:41 PM | AAPL | $331.44 | HOLD | 0% | 36.2s | Mixed signals with squeeze release and high volume (3.66x) offset by price below VWAP, below EMAs, negative MACD histogram, and below HMA. Win rate at 31.4% triggers performance rule to require textbook-quality signals, which are not present here. |
| Jul 20, 1:33 PM | AAPL | $332.48 | HOLD | 0% | 23.6s | Cannot enter new trades in the first 5 minutes after market open (6:30-6:35 AM PT). Current time 6:33 AM PT falls within this restricted period. Additionally, price is below both EMAs and MACD histogram is bearish, creating mixed signals despite squeeze release and high volume. |
| Jul 17, 1:32 PM | AAPL | $332.37 | CALL | 68% | 19.2s | Strong bullish setup with price above VWAP ($332.37 > $331.26) and very high volume surge (7.41x), plus squeeze release providing breakout potential. However, MACD histogram (-0.1097) and price below EMAs create mixed signals, reducing confidence from textbook levels. |
| Jul 16, 2:22 PM | AAPL | $329.38 | HOLD | 45% | 36.8s | Squeeze released with very high volume (5.94x) but momentum signals conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552) and negative MACD histogram (-0.0784) oppose VWAP bullish signal. Range position at 105.7% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky (chasing). Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 2:20 PM | AAPL | $329.19 | HOLD | 45% | 24.1s | Squeeze released with very high volume (5.94x) but momentum signals conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552) and negative MACD histogram (-0.0784) oppose VWAP bullish signal. Price at 104% range position (above 85% threshold) makes call entries risky (chasing). Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 2:18 PM | AAPL | $328.70 | HOLD | 45% | 20.2s | Squeeze released with very high volume (5.94x) and VWAP bullish, but momentum signals conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552) and negative MACD histogram (-0.0784). Range position at 99.7% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky (chasing). Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 2:14 PM | AAPL | $328.17 | HOLD | 45% | 18.5s | Squeeze released with very high volume (5.94x) and VWAP bullish, but momentum signals conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552) and negative MACD histogram (-0.0784). Range position at 95.1% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky (chasing). Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 2:09 PM | AAPL | $328.67 | HOLD | 45% | 29.8s | Squeeze released with very high volume (5.94x) and VWAP bullish, but momentum signals conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552) and negative MACD histogram (-0.0784). Range position at 99.5% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky (chasing). Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 2:08 PM | AAPL | $330.19 | HOLD | 45% | 33.9s | Squeeze released with very high volume (5.94x) and VWAP bullish, but momentum signals conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552) and negative MACD histogram (-0.0784). Range position at 112.8% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky (chasing). Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 2:04 PM | AAPL | $330.85 | HOLD | 45% | 18.4s | Pre-market gap of -3.05% with only 4 minutes elapsed since open (6:30 AM) triggers the 15-minute settlement rule. Additionally, range position at 118.6% exceeds 85% threshold making call entries risky, while conflicting momentum signals (bullish VWAP/HMA vs bearish LinReg/MACD) and poor 28% win rate require clearer alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:54 PM | AAPL | $329.21 | HOLD | 45% | 12.2s | Squeeze released with strong volume (5.94x), but momentum signals conflict - bullish VWAP/HMA vs bearish LinReg slope/MACD histogram. Range position at 104.2% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky, while HMA bullish signal conflicts with put direction requirements. Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:51 PM | AAPL | $328.90 | HOLD | 45% | 37.9s | Strong VWAP bullish signal with 5.94x volume ratio, but momentum indicators conflict - bearish LinReg slope (-0.0552), negative MACD histogram, and range position at 101.5% exceeds 85% threshold making call entries risky. HMA bullish conflicts with put direction requirements. Poor 28% win rate requires clearer signal alignment before entering. |
| Jul 16, 1:46 PM | AAPL | $327.88 | HOLD | 45% | 40.1s | Squeeze released with strong volume (5.94x) but momentum signals conflict - bullish VWAP/HMA vs bearish LinReg slope/MACD histogram. Range position at 92.6% exceeds 85% threshold, making call entries risky, while HMA bullish signal conflicts with put direction requirements. |
| Jul 16, 1:40 PM | AAPL | $327.35 | HOLD | 45% | 30.3s | Pre-market gap of -3.05% requires waiting for first 15 minutes to settle (until 6:45 AM PT). Additionally, conflicting momentum signals: VWAP bullish with high volume (5.94x) favors calls, but bearish EMA cross, negative LinReg slope, and negative MACD histogram favor puts, while range position at 87.9% is too high for call entries. |
| Jul 16, 1:36 PM | AAPL | $327.59 | HOLD | 35% | 34.0s | Squeeze released with high volume (5.94x), but momentum indicators conflict - MACD histogram and LinReg slope are bearish while price is above VWAP/EMAs. Range position at 90% too high for calls, call spread 16.4% exceeds 15% threshold, and poor 28% win rate requires textbook-quality signals before entering. |
| Jul 15, 2:52 PM | AAPL | $325.01 | HOLD | 0% | 34.1s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 10.064 indicating price extended well above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 306.1% far exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, while LinReg slope (-0.0034) and MACD histogram (-0.1054) show bearish momentum conflicting with bullish VWAP signal. ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range for the move. |
| Jul 15, 2:27 PM | AAPL | $324.71 | HOLD | 0% | 33.6s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 9.768 indicating price extended well above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 299.1% far exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, while LinReg slope (-0.0034) and MACD histogram (-0.1054) show bearish momentum conflicting with bullish VWAP signal. ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range for the move. |
| Jul 15, 2:24 PM | AAPL | $325.33 | HOLD | 0% | 24.4s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 10.381 indicating price extended well above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 313.6% far exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, while LinReg slope (-0.0034) and MACD histogram (-0.1054) show bearish momentum conflicting with bullish VWAP signal. ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range for the move. |
| Jul 15, 2:18 PM | AAPL | $325.49 | HOLD | 0% | 29.5s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 10.539 indicating price extended well above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 317.3% far exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, while LinReg slope (-0.0034) and MACD histogram (-0.1054) show bearish momentum conflicting with bullish VWAP signal. |
| Jul 15, 2:13 PM | AAPL | $324.47 | HOLD | 0% | 43.1s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 9.53 indicating price extended well above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 293.5% far exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, while LinReg slope (-0.0034) and MACD histogram (-0.1054) show bearish momentum conflicting with bullish VWAP signal. |
| Jul 15, 2:07 PM | AAPL | $323.71 | HOLD | 0% | 36.3s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 8.779 indicating price extended above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 275.7% exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range, and LinReg slope (-0.0034) is negative not confirming bullish direction. Additionally, it's within first 5 minutes after open (7:07 AM PT). |
| Jul 15, 2:01 PM | AAPL | $321.48 | HOLD | 0% | 36.3s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 6.574 indicating price extended above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 223.6% exceeds 85% threshold making calls extremely risky, ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range, and LinReg slope (-0.0034) is negative not confirming bullish direction. Additionally, it's within first 5 minutes after open (7:01 AM PT). |
| Jul 15, 1:52 PM | AAPL | $320.76 | HOLD | 0% | 38.8s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 5.867 indicating price extended above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 206.9% exceeds 85% threshold making calls risky, ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range, and LinReg slope (-0.0034) is negative not confirming bullish direction. Additionally, it's within first 5 minutes after open (6:51 AM PT). |
| Jul 15, 1:49 PM | AAPL | $321.32 | HOLD | 0% | 31.5s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 6.411 indicating price extended above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 219.7% exceeds 85% threshold making calls risky, ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range, and LinReg slope (-0.0034) is negative not confirming bullish direction. |
| Jul 15, 1:44 PM | AAPL | $320.42 | HOLD | 0% | 29.2s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at 5.521 indicating price extended above upper band; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trade. Range position at 198.7% exceeds 85% threshold making calls risky, ATR(0.44) is low suggesting limited range, and LinReg slope (-0.0034) is negative not confirming bullish direction. Additionally, it's within first 5 minutes after open (6:44 AM PT). |