Poolside: Laguna M.1
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$-1,387.00
Total P&L
0.0%
Win Rate
1
Closed Trades
3.2 s
Avg Response
39.9%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $28 | Jul 10 (4d) | Jul 6 1:59PM | Jul 7 1:53PM | $27.46 | $26.38 | $1.21 | $0.48 | $-1,387.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2:23 PM | SMCI | $30.12 | HOLD | 35% | 60.8s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON with BB%B at -1.604 (below lower band) and BB Width at 0.0144 (tight compression); must wait for squeeze release with directional momentum before entering. ATR(14) at $0.23 is below 0.5 threshold indicating limited move range, and mixed signals (bullish MACD hist vs bearish EMAs/VWAP/HMA) require clearer confirmation. |
| Jul 24, 2:21 PM | SMCI | $29.79 | HOLD | 35% | 57.8s | Bollinger squeeze remains ON with BB%B at -2.332 (below lower band) and BB Width at 0.0144 (tight compression); must wait for squeeze release with directional momentum before entering. ATR(14) at $0.23 is below 0.5 threshold indicating limited move range, and mixed signals (bullish MACD hist vs bearish EMAs/VWAP/HMA) require clearer confirmation. |
| Jul 24, 2:17 PM | SMCI | $30.15 | HOLD | 35% | 30.5s | Bollinger squeeze is ON with BB%B at -1.525 (below lower band), indicating compression; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trades. ATR(14) at $0.23 is below 0.5 threshold suggesting limited move range, and mixed signals (bullish MACD hist vs bearish EMAs/VWAP) require clearer confirmation. |
| Jul 24, 2:11 PM | SMCI | $30.27 | HOLD | 35% | 49.8s | Bollinger squeeze is ON with BB%B below lower band (-1.256), indicating compression; must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trades. Additionally, ATR(14) at $0.23 is below 0.5 threshold suggesting limited move range, and mixed signals (bullish MACD hist vs bearish EMAs/VWAP) require clearer confirmation. |
| Jul 24, 1:48 PM | SMCI | $30.10 | HOLD | 75% | 53.3s | Squeeze remains ON with BB %B at -1.64 (oversold), pre-market gap >2% has settled but mixed signals persist: MACD histogram bullish vs EMA/HMA/VWAP bearish. ATR at $0.23 suggests limited range; waiting for squeeze release confirmation before entering directional trade. |
| Jul 24, 1:45 PM | SMCI | $30.17 | HOLD | 70% | 52.8s | Squeeze is ON with BB %B at -1.48 (oversold), pre-market gap >2% requires waiting for first 15 min to settle, and ATR(14) at $0.23 suggests limited range; MACD histogram is bullish but wait for squeeze release confirmation. |
| Jul 23, 2:41 PM | SMCI | $31.99 | HOLD | 85% | 36.6s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Range position at 92.2% makes calls risky, and LinReg slope (-0.0208) is negative which contradicts bullish call direction despite some positive signals. |
| Jul 23, 2:35 PM | SMCI | $31.93 | HOLD | 75% | 53.3s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Conflicting signals: LinReg slope negative favors puts but HMA(9) bullish, plus range position at 90.5% makes calls risky. ATR(14) at $0.23 is low, suggesting limited move range. |
| Jul 23, 2:19 PM | SMCI | $31.83 | HOLD | 35% | 64.8s | Squeeze remains ON despite price at BB %B 2.043; conflicting signals with bearish EMA cross (9<21) and negative LinReg slope (-0.0208) while HMA/VWAP show bullish bias. High volume (6.61x) but ATR low ($0.23) suggests limited range for moves. |
| Jul 23, 2:10 PM | SMCI | $31.98 | HOLD | 75% | 83.9s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC) - must wait for release before directional entry. Range position at 92% blocks calls, while LinReg slope (-0.0208) and HMA(9) bullish conflict for puts. ATR(0.23) also indicates limited range potential. |
| Jul 22, 2:41 PM | SMCI | $31.48 | HOLD | 45% | 88.0s | Strong bullish signals present (VWAP above + 4.53x volume surge, squeeze release, EMA bullish cross), but Range Position at 590.5% indicates extreme overextension/chasing calls, and ATR(14) at $0.09 is dangerously low suggesting limited follow-through range. Poor performance history (29.7% win rate, 2L streak) requires stronger risk-reward setup. |
| Jul 22, 2:39 PM | SMCI | $31.42 | HOLD | 35% | 74.0s | Squeeze release with 4.53x volume surge is strong signal #1, but Range Position at 586% fails entry filter (above 85% = chasing calls), ATR(14) at $0.09 is extremely low suggesting limited range, and poor performance history (29.7% win rate, 2L streak) requires stronger confirmation before entering. |
| Jul 22, 2:19 PM | SMCI | $31.18 | HOLD | 35% | 81.5s | Strong squeeze release with 4.53x volume surge and bullish EMA/MACD alignment, but price is extremely extended at 566% range position (far above 85% threshold) with ATR(14) at only $0.09 indicating limited range for continuation; on a 2-trade losing streak with low 29.7% win rate, requiring textbook-quality setups. |
| Jul 21, 2:19 PM | SMCI | $24.60 | HOLD | 35% | 76.3s | Mixed signals with VWAP bullish but EMA cross bearish; entry filters fail - ATR only $0.10 (too low) and range position at 107.2% is above 85% making calls risky. Low win rate (30.6%) requires stronger setup. |
| Jul 20, 1:38 PM | SMCI | $24.32 | CALL | 68% | 36.3s | Strongest signal: VWAP crossover with 5.02x volume surge (price $24.32 above VWAP $24.31) - textbook bullish setup. Squeeze just released after being ON, supporting directional move. RSI oversold at 29.7 and BB %B at 0.15 suggest bounce potential. Conflicting EMA bearish cross and LinReg negative slope reduce confidence slightly. |
| Jul 20, 1:32 PM | SMCI | $24.44 | HOLD | 0% | 39.4s | Cannot enter new trades in first 5 minutes after open (6:31 AM is only 1 minute after 6:30 AM open). Additionally, mixed signals with low ATR ($0.12) suggesting limited range for directional moves. |
| Jul 17, 2:24 PM | SMCI | $24.37 | HOLD | 65% | 21.8s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for meaningful options moves; range position at -13.5% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions, and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 2:22 PM | SMCI | $24.36 | HOLD | 65% | 18.3s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment (EMA cross, VWAP below, LinReg negative), but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for meaningful options moves; range position at -14.3% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions, and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 2:19 PM | SMCI | $24.42 | HOLD | 65% | 29.1s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for meaningful options moves; range position at -11.1% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions, and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 2:17 PM | SMCI | $24.29 | HOLD | 65% | 18.3s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for meaningful options moves; range position at -17.6% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions, and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 2:13 PM | SMCI | $24.36 | HOLD | 65% | 33.5s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment (EMA cross, VWAP below, LinReg negative), but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for meaningful options moves; range position at -14% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions, and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 2:10 PM | SMCI | $24.28 | HOLD | 65% | 20.5s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for options moves; range position at -17.9% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions, and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 2:06 PM | SMCI | $24.22 | HOLD | 65% | 35.7s | Squeeze released with strong volume (4.49x) and bearish trend alignment, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for options moves; pre-market gap of +7.46% requires waiting for first 15-min settlement period; range position at -20.8% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold conditions. |
| Jul 17, 2:03 PM | SMCI | $24.21 | HOLD | 65% | 20.1s | Squeeze released with high volume (4.49x) and bearish trend (EMA cross, VWAP below, LinReg negative), but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating insufficient range for meaningful options moves; range position at -21.3% (near low) makes puts risky despite oversold BB%B (-1.236), and poor win rate (29.4%) requires textbook signals which low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 1:54 PM | SMCI | $23.80 | HOLD | 65% | 24.3s | Squeeze released with high volume (4.49x) and all trend indicators bearish (EMA cross, VWAP below, LinReg negative), but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves; range position at -41.1% (near low) makes puts risky despite bearish trend, and poor performance history (29.4% win rate) requires textbook-quality signals which the low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 1:53 PM | SMCI | $23.67 | HOLD | 65% | 29.1s | Squeeze released with high volume (4.49x) and all trend indicators bearish, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves; range position at -47.3% (near low) makes puts risky despite bearish trend, and poor performance history (29.4% win rate) requires textbook-quality signals which the low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 1:50 PM | SMCI | $23.52 | HOLD | 65% | 25.9s | Squeeze released with high volume (4.49x) and all trend indicators bearish, but ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves; put spread acceptable but performance history (29.4% win rate) requires textbook-quality signals which the low ATR prevents. |
| Jul 17, 1:44 PM | SMCI | $23.64 | HOLD | 65% | 57.5s | Pre-market gap +7.46% requires waiting full 15 minutes after open (only 13 minutes elapsed); ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves; squeeze released with high volume but timing and range constraints block entry. |
| Jul 17, 1:38 PM | SMCI | $23.81 | HOLD | 65% | 22.1s | Pre-market gap +7.46% requires waiting 15 minutes after open (only 8 minutes elapsed); call spread at 18.8% exceeds 15% threshold and range position at -40.6% (near low) makes puts risky despite bearish trend and squeeze release. |
| Jul 17, 1:35 PM | SMCI | $24.16 | HOLD | 35% | 21.0s | Pre-market gap +7.46% requires waiting 15 min for settlement; ATR(14) at $0.10 is extremely low indicating lack of range; both call/put spreads exceed 15% threshold (20.2%/21.1%) with call OI below 100. Squeeze released but timing and liquidity filters block entry. |
| Jul 16, 2:22 PM | SMCI | $25.81 | HOLD | 25% | 33.9s | Squeeze remains ON with BB width at 0.0107 (tight compression), ATR at 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and no confirmed directional signal despite price below VWAP/EMAs. HMA(9) bearish and MACD histogram negative (-0.019) do not confirm bullish entry. |
| Jul 16, 2:17 PM | SMCI | $25.98 | HOLD | 25% | 19.9s | Squeeze remains ON with BB width at 0.0107 (tight compression), ATR at 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and no confirmed directional signal despite price below VWAP/EMAs. HMA(9) bearish and MACD histogram negative (-0.019) do not confirm bullish entry. |
| Jul 16, 2:10 PM | SMCI | $25.89 | HOLD | 25% | 22.8s | Squeeze remains ON with BB width at 0.0107 (tight compression), ATR at 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and no confirmed directional signal despite price below VWAP/EMAs. HMA(9) bearish and MACD histogram negative (-0.019) do not confirm bullish entry. |
| Jul 16, 2:07 PM | SMCI | $25.87 | HOLD | 25% | 21.0s | Squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and HMA(9) is bearish (price below) which does not confirm bullish direction. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal despite oversold BB %B reading. |
| Jul 16, 2:04 PM | SMCI | $25.91 | HOLD | 25% | 24.3s | Squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and HMA(9) is bearish (price below) which does not confirm bullish direction. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal despite oversold BB %B reading. |
| Jul 16, 1:54 PM | SMCI | $25.79 | HOLD | 25% | 23.5s | Squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and HMA(9) is bearish (price below) which does not confirm bullish direction. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal despite oversold BB %B reading. |
| Jul 16, 1:51 PM | SMCI | $25.61 | HOLD | 25% | 18.8s | Squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and HMA(9) is bearish (price below) which does not confirm bullish direction. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal despite oversold BB %B reading. |
| Jul 16, 1:48 PM | SMCI | $25.77 | HOLD | 25% | 23.2s | Squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and poor win rate (28.1%) requires textbook signals. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal. |
| Jul 16, 1:42 PM | SMCI | $25.92 | HOLD | 25% | 16.0s | Multiple entry filters fail: pre-market gap +4.54% requires 15-min settlement period (until 6:45 AM), squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and we're within the first 5 minutes after open restriction. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal. |
| Jul 16, 1:41 PM | SMCI | $26.14 | HOLD | 25% | 32.0s | Pre-market gap +4.54% requires 15-min settlement period (until 6:45 AM), squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and poor win rate (28.1%) requires textbook signals. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal. |
| Jul 16, 1:37 PM | SMCI | $26.34 | HOLD | 25% | 26.1s | Pre-market gap +4.54% requires 15-min settlement (until 6:45 AM), squeeze remains ON with no release yet, ATR 0.12 indicates extremely low range potential, and poor win rate (28.1%) requires textbook signals. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional entry signal. |
| Jul 16, 1:35 PM | SMCI | $26.42 | HOLD | 25% | 19.4s | Multiple entry filters fail: pre-market gap +4.54% requires 15-min settlement period, squeeze is ON (wait for release), ATR 0.12 indicates low range potential, option spreads exceed 15% threshold, and we're at the 5-minute open restriction. Price below VWAP/EMAs shows bearish bias but no confirmed directional signal yet. |
| Jul 16, 1:31 PM | SMCI | $26.57 | HOLD | 35% | 21.1s | Multiple constraints prevent entry: pre-market gap >2% requires 15-min settlement, squeeze is ON (wait for release), ATR 0.12 indicates low range potential, option spreads exceed 15% threshold, and we're in first 5 minutes after open. BB %B below lower band shows oversold but no clear directional signal yet. |
| Jul 15, 2:32 PM | SMCI | $27.29 | HOLD | 45% | 32.0s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves. Win rate at 28.1% requires textbook-quality signals, and conflicting indicators (bearish EMA cross/VWAP/LinReg/MACD hist vs oversold BB %B) prevent clear directional bias despite the squeeze release. |
| Jul 15, 2:28 PM | SMCI | $27.16 | HOLD | 45% | 40.3s | Bollinger squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves. Win rate at 28.1% requires textbook-quality signals, and conflicting indicators (bearish EMA cross/VWAP/LinReg/MACD hist vs oversold BB %B) prevent clear directional bias despite the squeeze release. |
| Jul 15, 2:24 PM | SMCI | $27.25 | HOLD | 45% | 43.7s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves. Win rate at 28.1% requires textbook-quality signals, and conflicting indicators (bearish EMA cross/VWAP/LinReg/MACD hist vs oversold BB %B) prevent clear directional bias despite the squeeze release. |
| Jul 15, 2:19 PM | SMCI | $27.48 | HOLD | 45% | 26.8s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves. Win rate at 28.1% requires textbook-quality signals, and while BB %B at 0.178 suggests oversold condition, most trend indicators (EMA cross, VWAP, LinReg slope, MACD hist) are bearish with no clear bullish momentum to confirm a call entry. |
| Jul 15, 2:17 PM | SMCI | $27.62 | HOLD | 45% | 44.3s | Bollinger squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves. Win rate at 28.1% requires textbook-quality signals, and conflicting indicators (bearish EMA cross/VWAP/LinReg vs bullish HMA) prevent clear directional bias despite the squeeze release. |
| Jul 15, 2:12 PM | SMCI | $27.75 | HOLD | 45% | 35.7s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves, and win rate below 40% requires textbook-quality signals. Multiple bearish indicators (LinReg slope -0.0197, MACD hist -0.0016, EMA cross bearish) conflict with HMA bullish signal while the low ATR filter fails for both directions. |
| Jul 15, 2:09 PM | SMCI | $27.69 | HOLD | 45% | 48.0s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.69x), but ATR at $0.11 is extremely low indicating lack of range for meaningful moves, and win rate below 40% requires textbook-quality signals. Multiple bearish indicators (LinReg slope -0.0197, MACD hist -0.0016, EMA cross bearish) conflict with HMA bullish signal while the low ATR filter fails for both directions. |