Poolside: Laguna XS.2
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$-5,495.00
Total P&L
25.0%
Win Rate
4
Closed Trades
0.8 s
Avg Response
71.8%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | PUT | $1,080 | Jul 10 (9d) | Jul 1 1:58PM | Jul 2 2:29PM | $1,079.05 | $1,014.37 | $65.35 | $100.80 | +$63,810.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $1,045 | Jun 26 (9d) | Jun 17 3:47PM | Jun 18 1:33PM | $1,046.42 | $1,102.37 | $80.95 | $53.55 | $-43,840.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $928 | Jun 18 (8d) | Jun 10 1:46PM | Jun 11 2:15PM | $927.19 | $921.62 | $62.05 | $51.00 | $-16,575.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $940 | Jun 12 (7d) | Jun 5 1:40PM | Jun 8 1:40PM | $941.65 | $938.34 | $52.00 | $45.65 | $-8,890.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2:23 PM | MU | $949.98 | HOLD | 35% | 10.4s | Strong technical signals with VWAP bullish, MACD histogram 2.07, and 2.75x volume surge, but entry filters fail: it's within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT), range position at 115.8% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope mildly down, ATM call OI (98) below 100, and 3-loss streak requires higher confidence threshold. |
| Jul 8, 2:19 PM | MU | $947.19 | HOLD | 65% | 7.1s | Strong technical signals with VWAP bullish, MACD histogram 2.07, and 2.75x volume surge, but entry filters fail: range position at 110.3% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope mildly down, ATM call OI (29) below 100, and 3-loss streak requires higher confidence threshold. |
| Jul 8, 2:15 PM | MU | $943.95 | HOLD | 62% | 9.5s | Strong technical setup with VWAP bullish, MACD histogram 2.07, and 2.75x volume surge, but entry filters fail: range position at 101% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope mildly down, ATM call OI (29) below 100, and 3-loss streak requires higher confidence threshold. |
| Jul 8, 2:12 PM | MU | $942.51 | HOLD | 62% | 13.0s | Strong technical setup with VWAP bullish, MACD histogram 2.07, and 2.75x volume surge, but entry filters fail: range position at 101% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope mildly down, ATM call OI (29) below 100, and 3-loss streak requires higher confidence threshold. |
| Jul 8, 2:09 PM | MU | $945.79 | HOLD | 55% | 10.2s | Time is 7:09 AM PT, 39 minutes past open - past the 5-minute window. However, range position at 107.5% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope is mildly down, and ATM call OI (29) is below 100. Strong technical signals (VWAP bullish, MACD hist 2.07, vol 2.75x) but entry filters fail due to chasing condition and 3-loss streak requiring higher confidence. |
| Jul 8, 2:04 PM | MU | $949.30 | HOLD | 65% | 24.2s | Price above VWAP/EMAs with positive MACD histogram and high volume (2.75x), but entry filters fail: range position at 114.5% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope mildly down, and ATM call OI (98) below 100. Combined with 3-loss streak and 30% win rate, confidence insufficient for BUY_CALL. |
| Jul 8, 2:02 PM | MU | $956.48 | HOLD | 80% | 24.0s | Strong VWAP crossover with 2.75x volume surge and recent squeeze release, but entry filters fail: ATM call open interest (9) well below 100, range position at 128.7% exceeds 85% threshold, and LinReg slope is mildly down. Additionally, 3-loss streak requires higher confidence threshold. |
| Jul 8, 1:54 PM | MU | $949.60 | HOLD | 45% | 7.6s | Timing rule violation: 6:54 AM is within first 5 minutes after market open. Range position at 115.1% exceeds 85% threshold for calls. LinReg slope is mildly down, violating entry filters despite high volume (2.75x) and squeeze release. |
| Jul 8, 1:49 PM | MU | $952.60 | HOLD | 35% | 18.4s | Multiple entry filter violations: timing rule violation (6:49 AM is within first 5 minutes after 6:30 AM market open), range position at 121% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, LinReg slope is mildly down, and ATM call open interest (9) is well below 100. Despite high volume (2.75x) and squeeze release, the setup is not viable. |
| Jul 8, 1:43 PM | MU | $947.67 | HOLD | 85% | 8.5s | Timing rule violation: 6:43 AM PT is within first 5 minutes after market open (6:30 AM). Additionally, range position at 111.2% exceeds 85% threshold for calls, and LinReg slope is mildly down, violating entry filters despite squeeze release and high volume (2.75x). |
| Jul 8, 1:40 PM | MU | $938.07 | HOLD | 75% | 16.3s | Range position at 92.2% is above 85% threshold for calls, violating entry filter. Additionally, 3-game losing streak and 21% call win rate require stronger confirmation despite squeeze release and high volume (2.75x). |
| Jul 8, 1:35 PM | MU | $938.37 | HOLD | 85% | 6.6s | Timing rule violation: 6:35 AM PT is within first 5 minutes after market open (6:30 AM). Additionally, range position at 92.7% is too high for calls, LinReg slope is mildly down, and ATM call open interest (28) is below 100 threshold. |
| Jul 8, 1:33 PM | MU | $921.69 | HOLD | 85% | 10.2s | Within first 5 minutes after market open (6:32 AM PT) - timing rule prohibits new entries. Additionally, conflicting trend signals (price below EMAs/HMA but above VWAP) and 2 losing streak require clearer setup confirmation despite squeeze release and high volume (2.75x). |
| Jul 7, 2:47 PM | MU | $901.68 | HOLD | 90% | 13.7s | Within first 15 minutes post-gap >2%, price -226% below session low with bearish EMAs/VWAP/MACD, RSI 35.9 in bearish zone, no VWAP volume surge or RSI divergence. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. |
| Jul 7, 2:46 PM | MU | $894.47 | HOLD | 90% | 20.8s | Extreme bearish conditions with price -226% below session low, RSI 35.9 in bearish zone, MACD histogram -0.92 confirming bearish momentum, and no VWAP volume surge (1.38x < 1.5x threshold). Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. Pre-market gap settled but stock has dropped -9.17% from previous close. Option OI only 64 for calls (below 100 threshold). |
| Jul 7, 2:43 PM | MU | $896.21 | HOLD | 65% | 16.6s | Price at $896.21 is -221.9% below session low (range position), BB%B at -4.27 indicates extreme oversold conditions. All moving averages bearish, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92. No VWAP volume surge or RSI divergence present. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. |
| Jul 7, 2:41 PM | MU | $895.30 | HOLD | 85% | 25.8s | Price at $895.30 is -224% below session low (range position), BB%B at -4.32 indicates extreme oversold conditions. Pre-market gap settled, but technicals show no clear reversal signal. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. No VWAP volume surge or RSI divergence present. |
| Jul 7, 2:37 PM | MU | $898.52 | HOLD | 95% | 19.5s | Market is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT) with pre-market gap of 2.26% requiring 15-min settlement period. Price is 215% below session low making puts risky. No strong reversal signals present - RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92, BB%B -4.16. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. |
| Jul 7, 2:36 PM | MU | $905.87 | HOLD | 95% | 16.1s | Market is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT) and pre-market gap >2% requires 15-min settlement period. Technicals are extremely bearish: price below all EMAs/VWAP, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92, and range position -196.6% near session low makes puts risky. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. |
| Jul 7, 2:28 PM | MU | $902.89 | HOLD | 25% | 17.1s | Market is 48 minutes past open with pre-market gap of 2.26% settled. Extreme bearish conditions: price 158% below session low, BB%B -3.95, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92. Range position -204.4% makes puts risky. Trader's 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. No clear reversal signal yet. |
| Jul 7, 2:26 PM | MU | $901.95 | HOLD | 95% | 11.2s | Market is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT) and pre-market gap >2% requires 15-min settlement period. Technicals are extremely bearish: price below all EMAs/VWAP, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92, and range position -206.8%. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrants extreme caution. |
| Jul 7, 2:20 PM | MU | $911.30 | HOLD | 95% | 21.1s | Market is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT) and pre-market gap >2% requires 15-min settlement period. Additionally, bearish technical alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92), low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak, and high IV (119%) make this a hold situation. |
| Jul 7, 2:13 PM | MU | $914.89 | HOLD | 90% | 10.2s | Pre-market gap of 2.26% exceeds 2% threshold requiring 15-minute settlement period. Technicals are extremely bearish: price 158% below session low, BB%B -3.38, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak and high IV (120%) warrant extreme caution. |
| Jul 7, 2:09 PM | MU | $920.52 | HOLD | 85% | 11.5s | Pre-market gap >2% settlement period has passed, but technicals are extremely bearish: price 158% below session low, BB%B at -3.11 (well below lower band), RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92. Low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak and high IV (119%) warrant extreme caution. Range position near session extreme makes calls risky. |
| Jul 7, 2:06 PM | MU | $923.83 | HOLD | 95% | 14.1s | Market is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT) and pre-market gap >2% requires 15-min settlement period. Additionally, bearish technical alignment (price below VWAP/EMAs, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92), low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak, and high IV (119.9%) make this a hold situation. |
| Jul 7, 2:00 PM | MU | $912.86 | HOLD | 80% | 19.7s | Pre-market gap of 2.26% exceeds 2% threshold requiring 15-minute settlement period. Strong bearish alignment: price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA, RSI 35.9, MACD histogram -0.92, BB%B -3.48 at session extreme low. Range position -178% makes calls risky. Wait for settlement and clearer setup. |
| Jul 7, 1:54 PM | MU | $920.94 | HOLD | 85% | 14.1s | Market opens in 6 minutes with pre-market gap >2% requiring 15-min settlement period. Price near session low (-157% range position), bearish EMA/HMA/VWAP alignment, and low 30.7% win rate with 1L streak warrant caution. High IV (121%) makes options expensive. |
| Jul 6, 1:57 PM | MU | $1,006.16 | CALL | 65% | 79.0s | Price gapped up 6.75% with high volume (1.78x), above VWAP/EMAs, MACD histogram positive (1.39). Conflicting EMA cross and negative LinReg slope create uncertainty. Low win rate (31%) and 2L streak require caution. High IV (120%) makes options expensive. |
| Jul 3, 2:38 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 60% | 46.8s | CALL OI (65) below 100 minimum threshold. Conflicting signals: bearish EMA cross, VWAP below price, negative LinReg slope vs bullish MACD histogram, HMA, and squeeze release. Mixed momentum with RSI neutral at 59. Pre-market gap settled but filters not fully passed. |
| Jul 3, 2:37 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 85% | 22.3s | Time violation: 7:37 AM PT is within first 5 minutes after market open (6:30 AM). Pre-market gap +6.74% exceeds 2% threshold requiring 15-min settlement. CALL OI (65) below 100 minimum. Conflicting signals with bearish EMA cross and negative LinReg slope vs bullish MACD histogram and HMA. 1 losing streak with 31.7% win rate warrants caution. |
| Jul 3, 2:36 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 19.2s | Time violation: 7:36 AM PT is within first 5 minutes after open. Pre-market gap 6.74% exceeds 2% threshold requiring 15-min settlement period. CALL OI (65) below 100 minimum. Conflicting signals with bearish EMA cross, negative LinReg slope, but bullish MACD histogram and HMA. Low 31.7% win rate with 1W streak warrants caution. |
| Jul 3, 2:31 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 73.7s | CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold and pre-market gap > 2% still within settling period. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram (1.3948) and HMA vs bearish EMA cross and negative LinReg slope. Win rate 31.7% warrants caution. |
| Jul 3, 2:28 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 43.2s | Squeeze released (strong signal #3) with positive MACD histogram (1.3948) and high volume (1.78x), but CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Conflicting EMA cross (bearish) and VWAP below price. Put setup has HMA bullish vs required bearish direction. Low 31.7% win rate and 1W streak warrant caution. |
| Jul 3, 2:20 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 33.2s | Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram (1.3948) and HMA vs bearish EMA cross (9<21), VWAP below price, and strongly negative LinReg slope. Call OI (65) below 100 threshold. Win rate 31.7% warrants caution. Large 6.74% pre-market gap still within settling period. |
| Jul 3, 2:17 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 24.4s | CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram (1.3948) and HMA vs bearish EMA cross (9<21), VWAP below price, and strongly negative LinReg slope. Win rate 31.7% warrants caution. Large 6.74% pre-market gap still within settling period. |
| Jul 3, 2:16 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 18.8s | First 5 minutes after open rule violation (7:15 AM PT is within first 5 min of 6:30 AM open). CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Large 6.74% pre-market gap still settling. Conflicting signals: bullish MACD histogram (1.3948) and HMA vs bearish EMA cross (9<21), VWAP below price, and negative LinReg slope. Win rate 31.7% warrants caution. |
| Jul 3, 2:09 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 36.1s | Large 6.74% pre-market gap still settling within first 5 minutes after open. Conflicting signals: positive MACD histogram (1.3948) vs bearish EMA cross (9<21) vs VWAP below price vs negative LinReg slope. CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Win rate below 40% warrants caution. |
| Jul 3, 2:07 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 24.2s | Squeeze released with high volume (1.78x) and positive MACD histogram suggest bullish momentum, but conflicting signals: bearish EMA(9)<EMA(21) cross, VWAP below price, and negative LinReg slope. CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Win rate below 40% warrants caution. |
| Jul 3, 1:56 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 65% | 37.0s | Conflicting signals: MACD histogram positive and HMA bullish with high volume (1.78x) suggest upward momentum, but EMA(9)<EMA(21) bearish cross, VWAP below price, and negative LinReg slope indicate down trend. CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Large 6.74% pre-market gap still settling. Mixed signals require patience. |
| Jul 3, 1:53 PM | MU | $977.00 | HOLD | 85% | 49.5s | Market opened 22 minutes ago with 6.74% pre-market gap. First 5-minute rule prohibits new entries. CALL OI (65) below 100 threshold. Conflicting signals: price below VWAP/bearish EMA cross vs positive MACD histogram/bullish HMA. Wait for settlement period to complete. |
| Jul 2, 2:29 PM | MU | $1,014.37 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jul 2, 2:17 PM | MU | $1,038.17 | HOLD | 75% | 10.0s | PUT is ITM with 30.1% gain. MACD bearish (-1.51) supports PUT direction, RSI 33.2 in bearish zone, price below VWAP ($1,038 vs $1,059) favorable for puts. No exit signals triggered. DTE 8, theta manageable. Position profitable and technicals aligned. |
| Jul 2, 2:11 PM | MU | $1,047.41 | HOLD | 78% | 23.5s | PUT is ITM with 24.4% gain, MACD bearish (-1.51) supports put direction, RSI 33.2 in bearish zone, price below VWAP ($1,047 vs $1,059) favorable for puts. No exit signals triggered. DTE 8, theta manageable. On 1 losing streak but position already profitable and technicals aligned. |
| Jul 2, 2:07 PM | MU | $1,055.31 | HOLD | 72% | 16.1s | PUT is ITM with 19.1% gain. MACD bearish (-1.51) supports PUT direction, RSI 33.2 in bearish zone, price below VWAP ($1,055 vs $1,059) favorable for puts. No exit signals triggered. DTE 8, theta manageable. On 1 losing streak but position already profitable. |
| Jul 2, 2:02 PM | MU | $1,055.83 | HOLD | 68% | 10.3s | PUT is ITM with 14.2% gain, MACD bearish supports direction, RSI in bearish zone, price below VWAP. No exit signals triggered. DTE 8, past first 5-min open window. |
| Jul 1, 1:58 PM | MU | $1,079.05 | PUT | 72% | 16.6s | Price down 6.5% with high volume (1.85x), MACD histogram negative (-0.85), and BB %B at -2.617 indicating extreme weakness below lower band. Put win rate (45%) exceeds call win rate (20%) with 6-game losing streak. ATM put has reasonable delta (-0.468) and acceptable spread (5%). |
| Jun 30, 2:02 PM | MU | $1,152.84 | HOLD | 35% | 22.9s | Range position at 103.2% violates entry filter (avoid calls above 85%). MACD histogram negative (-0.6225) conflicts with bullish price action. On 6-trade losing streak requiring stronger signals. |
| Jun 30, 1:57 PM | MU | $1,147.60 | HOLD | 85% | 7.9s | Market opened at 6:30 AM PT and we're within the first 5 minutes - strict rule prohibits new entries. Additionally, MACD histogram is negative (-0.6225) showing bearish momentum, range position is at 99.1% (near high), and we're on a 6-trade losing streak requiring stronger signals. |
| Jun 26, 1:54 PM | MU | $1,137.70 | HOLD | 75% | 71.7s | At 6:53 AM PT, still within the early session low-volume period. Price near session low (1.2% range position) makes PUT entry risky. 6-game losing streak and 27.8% win rate require stronger setups. Volume surge present but timing and range position filters not met for quality entry. |
| Jun 26, 1:52 PM | MU | $1,132.49 | HOLD | 95% | 81.8s | Market opens at 6:30 AM PT and it is only 6:51 AM - within the first 5 minutes after open, which is a prohibited entry period per trading rules. Additionally, 6-game losing streak and 27.8% win rate warrant extreme caution. |