Poolside: Laguna XS.2
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$-9,744.00
Total P&L
37.5%
Win Rate
8
Closed Trades
0.7 s
Avg Response
70.7%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $383 | Jul 13 (5d) | Jul 8 1:34PM | Jul 9 1:31PM | $382.49 | $374.45 | $6.65 | $2.15 | $-8,550.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $388 | Jul 6 (4d) | Jul 2 2:01PM | Jul 3 1:55PM | $386.09 | $390.80 | $3.75 | $5.25 | +$2,700.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $358 | Jun 29 (4d) | Jun 25 2:01PM | Jun 26 1:34PM | $357.22 | $356.99 | $5.30 | $4.50 | $-1,360.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $375 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:48PM | Jun 24 1:40PM | $374.14 | $377.78 | $5.25 | $6.40 | +$1,955.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $375 | Jun 22 (4d) | Jun 18 1:49PM | Jun 19 1:31PM | $375.16 | $379.13 | $3.75 | $1.76 | $-3,184.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $385 | Jun 15 (3d) | Jun 12 2:14PM | Jun 17 3:27PM | $384.50 | $385.64 | $3.85 | $0.63 | $-4,830.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $403 | Jun 15 (5d) | Jun 10 1:49PM | Jun 11 1:51PM | $403.92 | $391.60 | $5.45 | $12.40 | +$10,425.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $415 | May 26 (6d) | May 20 3:13PM | May 21 2:33PM | $415.40 | $417.31 | $5.75 | $0.00 | $-6,900.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 1:31 PM | MSFT | $374.45 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jul 8, 1:34 PM | MSFT | $382.49 | CALL | 75% | 16.1s | Squeeze released (BB Width 0.011 tightening, now releasing) with strong volume surge (2.39x). RSI deeply oversold at 29, price well below VWAP/EMAs. Textbook setup despite being in first 5-min window post-open. |
| Jul 7, 2:48 PM | MSFT | $393.86 | HOLD | 95% | 12.2s | Multiple critical filter violations: First 5-minute window after open (7:48 AM PT) is absolute no-trade zone. Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) requiring release before entry. Range position at 159.3% violates 85% call filter (chasing). ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold. Poor performance metrics (30.7% win rate, 1L streak) require stronger signals despite bullish technicals. |
| Jul 7, 2:45 PM | MSFT | $392.58 | HOLD | 95% | 7.8s | Multiple critical filter violations: Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) requiring release before entry, Range position at 143.2% violates 85% call filter (chasing), ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold, and first 5 minutes after open (7:44 AM PT) is an absolute no-trade window. |
| Jul 7, 2:39 PM | MSFT | $393.20 | HOLD | 95% | 10.8s | Multiple critical filter violations: Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) requiring release before entry, Range position at 151.1% violates 85% call filter (chasing), ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold, and poor performance metrics (30.7% win rate, 1L streak) require stronger signals despite bullish technicals. |
| Jul 7, 2:35 PM | MSFT | $394.12 | HOLD | 95% | 12.2s | Multiple critical filter violations: Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) requiring release before entry, Range position at 162.7% violates 85% call filter (chasing), ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold, and poor performance metrics (30.7% win rate, 1L streak) require stronger signals despite bullish technicals. |
| Jul 7, 2:34 PM | MSFT | $394.12 | HOLD | 95% | 22.8s | Multiple critical filter violations: First 5 minutes after open (7:33 AM PT) - absolute no-trade window, Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) requiring release, Range position at 162.7% violates 85% call filter (chasing), ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold, and poor performance metrics (30.7% win rate, 1L streak) require stronger signals. |
| Jul 7, 2:32 PM | MSFT | $393.86 | HOLD | 95% | 48.7s | Multiple critical filter violations: Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) requiring release before entry, Range position at 159.4% violates 85% call filter (chasing), ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold, and poor performance metrics (30.7% win rate, 1L streak) require stronger signals. |
| Jul 7, 2:26 PM | MSFT | $393.64 | HOLD | 95% | 5.7s | Multiple critical entry filter violations: 1) First 5 minutes after open (7:26 AM PT) - absolute no-trade window, 2) Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) - must wait for release, 3) Range position at 156.6% violates 85% call filter (chasing), 4) ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold. Despite bullish technicals, all filters fail. |
| Jul 7, 2:21 PM | MSFT | $394.20 | HOLD | 95% | 16.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) - must wait for release before entering directional trades. Range position at 163.7% violates the 85% call filter (chasing). ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold. Despite bullish technicals, these critical filter violations override the setup. |
| Jul 7, 2:16 PM | MSFT | $392.73 | HOLD | 95% | 10.2s | Multiple critical filter violations: 1) Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) - must wait for release before entering directional trades, 2) Range position at 145.1% violates the 85% call filter (chasing), 3) ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold. Despite strong bullish technicals (price above all MAs, high volume 1.72x, MACD positive), these filter violations override the setup. |
| Jul 7, 2:09 PM | MSFT | $391.88 | HOLD | 95% | 6.3s | Multiple entry filter violations: 1) First 5 minutes after open (7:09 AM PT) - absolute no-trade window, 2) Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031) - must wait for release, 3) Range position at 134.4% violates 85% call filter, 4) ATR(14) at $0.55 below preferred $1.0 threshold. Despite bullish technicals, all filters fail. |
| Jul 7, 2:04 PM | MSFT | $391.67 | HOLD | 95% | 15.1s | First 5 minutes after open (7:04 AM PT) - DO NOT enter new trades. Additionally, squeeze is ON and range position at 131.7% violates the 85% call filter. Must wait for squeeze release and proper timing window. |
| Jul 7, 2:01 PM | MSFT | $392.99 | HOLD | 95% | 4.4s | First 5 minutes after open (7:01 AM PT) - DO NOT enter new trades. Additionally, squeeze is ON and range position at 148.4% violates the 85% call filter. Must wait for squeeze release and proper timing window. |
| Jul 7, 1:59 PM | MSFT | $393.89 | HOLD | 80% | 10.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0031, BB%B: 6.914) - must wait for release before entering directional. Range position at 159.8% violates the 85% filter for calls. Despite bullish EMA/MACD and high volume (1.72x), the compression and extreme extension disqualify entry. |
| Jul 7, 1:55 PM | MSFT | $393.29 | HOLD | 85% | 9.5s | Squeeze is ON and price is well above upper Bollinger Band (BB%B 6.407). Range position at 152.2% violates the 85% filter for calls. Despite bullish EMA/MACD, must wait for squeeze release. Win rate below 40% and last trade was a loss further support HOLD. |
| Jul 7, 1:52 PM | MSFT | $392.26 | HOLD | 75% | 28.0s | Squeeze is ON and BB%B at 5.537 indicates price is well above upper band - range position at 139.2% violates the 85% filter for calls. Despite bullish EMA/MACD, the extension and compression suggest waiting for release. |
| Jul 6, 2:55 PM | MSFT | $384.10 | HOLD | 95% | 35.8s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) - critical filter violation requiring squeeze release before directional entry. Additionally, 2-loss streak with 31% win rate below 40% threshold demands stronger signals. Price is near session low (4.7% range position) with bearish trend structure (price below all major EMAs/VWAP). Time is 7:55 AM PT, within first 5 minutes after market open. |
| Jul 6, 2:48 PM | MSFT | $384.35 | HOLD | 95% | 26.5s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) - critical filter violation requiring squeeze release before directional entry. Additionally, 2-loss streak with 31% win rate below 40% threshold demands stronger signals. Price is near session low (7.7% range position) with bearish trend structure (price below all major EMAs/VWAP). Time is 7:47 AM PT, within first 5 minutes after market open. |
| Jul 6, 2:45 PM | MSFT | $383.85 | HOLD | 95% | 18.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) - critical filter violation requiring squeeze release before directional entry. Additionally, 2-loss streak with 31% win rate below 40% threshold demands stronger signals. Price is near session low (1.7% range position) with bearish trend structure (price below all major EMAs/VWAP). Time is 7:44 AM PT, within first 5 minutes after market open. |
| Jul 6, 2:37 PM | MSFT | $383.40 | HOLD | 95% | 24.3s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) - critical filter violation requiring squeeze release before directional entry. Additionally, 2-loss streak with 31% win rate below 40% threshold demands stronger signals. Price is near session low (-3.6% range position) with bearish trend structure (price below all major EMAs/VWAP). Time is 7:36 AM PT, within first 5 minutes after market open. |
| Jul 6, 2:35 PM | MSFT | $383.81 | HOLD | 95% | 22.7s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) - critical filter violation requiring squeeze release before directional entry. Price near session low (1.3% range position) with bearish trend structure (price below all major EMAs/VWAP). 2-loss streak with 31% win rate demands stronger signals. |
| Jul 6, 2:15 PM | MSFT | $383.72 | HOLD | 95% | 25.9s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) - critical filter violation requiring squeeze release before directional entry. Additionally, 2-loss streak with 31% win rate below 40% threshold demands stronger signals. Price is near session low (0.2% range position) with bearish trend structure (price below all major EMAs/VWAP). |
| Jul 6, 2:13 PM | MSFT | $384.37 | HOLD | 95% | 10.0s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) with price below all major moving averages. Critical filter violation - must wait for squeeze release before entering directional trades. Additionally, win rate is 31% (below 40% threshold) with 2-loss streak, requiring stronger signals. |
| Jul 6, 2:08 PM | MSFT | $383.78 | HOLD | 95% | 20.5s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) and we're within first 5 minutes after market open (7:07 AM PT). Both timing and squeeze filters override bearish technical signals. Must wait for squeeze release and proper session development. |
| Jul 6, 2:03 PM | MSFT | $384.97 | HOLD | 95% | 22.7s | Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0053) and we're within first 5 minutes after market open (7:03 AM PT). Both timing and squeeze filters override other bearish signals. Must wait for squeeze release and proper session development. |
| Jul 6, 1:58 PM | MSFT | $384.86 | HOLD | 90% | 7.0s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC - compression) with price below all major moving averages. Additionally, it's 6:58 AM PT which is within the first 5 minutes after market open (6:30 AM PT), violating the timing rule. Must wait for squeeze release and proper session development. |
| Jul 6, 1:56 PM | MSFT | $383.62 | HOLD | 85% | 15.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC - compression), must wait for release before entering directional trades. Price below all major moving averages with bearish MACD histogram (-0.1845). High volume (1.88x) but squeeze filter overrides other signals. |
| Jul 6, 1:55 PM | MSFT | $385.57 | HOLD | 85% | 15.6s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC - compression), must wait for release before entering directional trades. Multiple bearish signals: EMA(9)<EMA(21) bearish cross, price below VWAP/HMA(9), MACD histogram -0.1845 negative. Pre-market gap -1.54% and LinReg slope mildly down confirm weakness. |
| Jul 3, 1:55 PM | MSFT | $390.80 | SELL | 70% | 17.1s | Position up 41.3% exceeds 40% profit target. MACD histogram (-0.1845) is bearish against call direction. EMA bearish cross (9<21) confirms weakening momentum despite price above VWAP. |
| Jul 2, 2:01 PM | MSFT | $386.09 | CALL | 75% | 8.3s | BB squeeze released with strong volume surge (3.1x) and price above VWAP/HMA(9). Mixed momentum (EMA bearish cross, MACD negative) but squeeze release + high volume is the strongest signal per hierarchy. |
| Jul 1, 6:51 PM | MSFT | $387.06 | HOLD | 60% | 42.2s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (vol_ratio 9.97x) and squeeze release, but price is significantly above session high (range position >85%), violating the chasing filter. Poor performance history (28.8% win rate, 1 losing streak) requires stronger signals. ATM call has acceptable spread (9.1%) and delta (0.495). |
| Jul 1, 6:50 PM | MSFT | $387.05 | HOLD | 65% | 10.3s | Price near daily high (range position 292.5%) violates the 'chasing' filter for calls. Poor performance history (28.8% win rate, 1 losing streak) requires stronger signals. Squeeze released with high volume, but timing and range position are problematic. |
| Jun 30, 2:02 PM | MSFT | $371.07 | HOLD | 25% | 15.3s | Multiple entry filter violations: within first 5 minutes post-open (7:02 AM PT), pre-market gap of 2.42% exceeds 2% threshold requiring 15-min settlement period, squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0045) awaiting release, and ATR(14) at 0.87 below 1.0 threshold. Performance shows 6L streak with 27.8% win rate requiring stronger signals. |
| Jun 30, 2:00 PM | MSFT | $371.90 | HOLD | 85% | 23.5s | Pre-market gap of 2.42% exceeds 2% threshold - must wait for first 15 min to settle. Squeeze is ON (BB Width: 0.0045) - awaiting release before directional entry. Time is 7:00 AM PT - within first 5 minutes post-open. Performance shows 6L streak with 27.8% win rate - requires stronger signals. |
| Jun 26, 1:34 PM | MSFT | $356.99 | SELL | 85% | 69.4s | MACD histogram negative (-0.1639) signals bearish momentum against call position. Price at $356.99 is below call strike $357.50 making it slightly OTM. Position down 15.1% with 5-game losing streak and win rate at 28.2%. |
| Jun 25, 2:01 PM | MSFT | $357.22 | CALL | 78% | 56.0s | Squeeze released with very high volume (8.41x), RSI extremely oversold at 18.6, and range position near session low (-53.6%) favor call entry. Price below VWAP and EMAs but potential reversal emerging from oversold condition. |
| Jun 25, 1:59 PM | MSFT | $357.56 | HOLD | 65% | 57.2s | Price is below all key moving averages in bearish trend, RSI extremely oversold at 18.6, but no clear reversal signal yet despite high volume (8.41x). Squeeze released but lacks directional momentum confirmation. Range position near session low (-51.2%) makes calls favorable but trend signals are bearish. Timing is within optimal window (6:58 AM PT) but signals not yet confirmed. |
| Jun 24, 1:40 PM | MSFT | $377.78 | SELL | 70% | 12.7s | Position is 22.9% profitable with DTE=2 (within last 2 DTE threshold), price is well above VWAP and upper Bollinger Band (overextended), and I'm on a 4-trade losing streak requiring stronger conviction. |
| Jun 23, 1:48 PM | MSFT | $374.14 | CALL | 70% | 64.2s | VWAP crossover with strong volume surge (5.87x) confirms bullish momentum despite conflicting EMA cross and MACD signals. RSI oversold at 27.9 suggests potential bounce. All hard entry filters pass: volume ratio, spread (5.7%), OI (1727), and 15-min settlement period elapsed after 2.29% gap. Option has reasonable delta (0.498) and 3 DTE. |
| Jun 23, 1:43 PM | MSFT | $375.40 | HOLD | 75% | 47.5s | At 6:43 AM PT, only 13 minutes have passed since market open at 6:30 AM PT. With a pre-market gap of 2.29% (>2% threshold), the 15-minute settlement period has not yet elapsed. Additionally, conflicting signals exist: bullish VWAP/HMA/oversold RSI vs bearish EMA cross/MACD histogram. Low win rate (30.6%) and 1 losing streak require stronger confirmation. |
| Jun 23, 1:40 PM | MSFT | $375.25 | HOLD | 75% | 35.6s | Market is within first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT) - strict timing rule prohibits new entries. Additionally, pre-market gap >2% requires 15-min settlement period. Conflicting signals: bullish VWAP/HMA vs bearish EMA cross/MACD histogram. Low win rate (30.6%) demands stronger confirmation. |
| Jun 22, 1:37 PM | MSFT | $375.51 | HOLD | 90% | 29.7s | Multiple critical violations: squeeze is ON requiring wait for release, timing violation (6:36 AM is within first 5 minutes after market open), ATR(0.78) < 1.0 indicating low range, and 1-trade losing streak. Conflicting trend signals with EMA bullish cross but price below VWAP/HMA and HMA bearish. |
| Jun 22, 1:33 PM | MSFT | $375.59 | HOLD | 95% | 20.1s | Multiple critical violations: 6:33 AM is within first 5 minutes after market open (timing violation), squeeze is ON requiring wait for release, ATR(0.78) < 1.0 indicating low range, and 4-trade losing streak with 30% win rate. Conflicting trend signals with EMA bullish cross but price below VWAP/HMA. |
| Jun 22, 1:32 PM | MSFT | $376.81 | HOLD | 45% | 10.9s | Multiple critical filter violations: squeeze is ON (wait for release), ATR(0.78) < 1.0, HMA bearish while attempting calls, and timing violation (6:32 AM is within first 5 minutes after market open). Conflicting signals with EMA cross bullish but price below VWAP/HMA. 4-trade losing streak requires stronger setups. |
| Jun 22, 1:31 PM | MSFT | $377.10 | HOLD | 25% | 26.1s | Multiple critical filter violations: squeeze is ON (wait for release), ATR(0.78) < 1.0, HMA bearish while attempting calls, and timing violation (6:31 AM is within first 5 minutes after market open). Conflicting signals with EMA cross bullish but price below VWAP/HMA. 3-trade losing streak requires stronger setups. |
| Jun 19, 1:31 PM | MSFT | $379.13 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 18, 1:49 PM | MSFT | $375.16 | PUT | 88% | 12.3s | Squeeze released with strong bearish momentum. Price below all EMAs, VWAP, and HMA. RSI oversold at 32.2, volume surge 3.39x, ATR 1.14. All entry filters pass including gap settlement period completed at 6:45 AM PT. |
| Jun 18, 1:48 PM | MSFT | $374.67 | HOLD | 85% | 13.3s | Critical timing violation: 6:48 AM PT is within first 5 minutes after market open. Additionally, pre-market gap of +2.98% requires 15-minute settlement period which hasn't completed. While RSI is oversold (32.2) and volume is very high (3.39x), all trend indicators remain bearish with price below EMAs, VWAP, and HMA. No clear reversal signal present. |
| Jun 18, 1:46 PM | MSFT | $373.86 | HOLD | 75% | 17.1s | At 6:45 AM PT, we're at the end of the 15-minute gap settlement period (gap was +2.98% > 2%). While volume is very high (3.39x) and RSI is oversold (32.2), the range position at -26.5% violates the put entry filter (price near low, limited downside). Trend remains bearish across all indicators. Timing is borderline for entry. |