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NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Super

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$-69,861.00
Total P&L
23.1%
Win Rate
13
Closed Trades
9.1 s
Avg Response
54.1%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
Status Dir Strike Exp Entry Exit Stock In Stock Out Opt In Opt Out P&L
Closed CALL $535 Oct 23 (4d) Oct 19 6:51PM Oct 20 1:40PM $534.33 $531.83 $5.85 $3.95 $-6,460.00
Closed CALL $530 Oct 9 (3d) Oct 6 1:36PM Oct 7 1:31PM $530.42 $528.67 $6.05 $4.20 $-5,920.00
Closed CALL $513 Aug 31 (3d) Aug 28 2:41PM Sep 14 1:37PM $511.59 $496.88 $3.15 $0.00 $-8,190.00
Closed CALL $485 Aug 28 (4d) Aug 24 1:36PM Aug 25 1:51PM $484.08 $488.09 $6.00 $7.40 +$3,640.00
Closed CALL $483 Aug 24 (4d) Aug 20 2:14PM Aug 21 1:34PM $481.79 $479.35 $4.30 $4.75 +$1,125.00
Closed CALL $483 Aug 21 (3d) Aug 18 1:53PM Aug 19 1:34PM $481.81 $480.96 $4.85 $4.25 $-1,500.00
Closed CALL $500 Aug 17 (4d) Aug 13 2:02PM Aug 14 1:51PM $499.02 $497.09 $4.20 $2.33 $-4,488.00
Closed PUT $393 Aug 3 (5d) Jul 29 2:04PM Jul 30 1:53PM $393.26 $449.06 $14.05 $0.07 $-30,756.00
Closed PUT $383 Jul 27 (3d) Jul 24 1:55PM Jul 27 1:31PM $382.12 $390.88 $4.15 $0.50 $-7,665.00
Closed PUT $398 Jul 20 (3d) Jul 17 1:41PM Jul 20 1:34PM $397.29 $389.80 $5.10 $6.90 +$3,600.00
Closed CALL $378 Jun 29 (5d) Jun 24 1:46PM Jun 25 1:51PM $376.07 $357.26 $5.55 $0.49 $-8,602.00
Closed CALL $388 Jun 22 (5d) Jun 17 3:48PM Jun 18 1:32PM $386.40 $379.17 $4.10 $1.25 $-4,560.00
Closed PUT $418 May 22 (4d) May 18 1:37PM May 19 2:56PM $418.67 $422.80 $6.85 $6.00 $-85.00
Decision Log Last 50
Time Ticker Price Action Confidence Response Reasoning
Oct 20, 1:40 PM MSFT $531.83 SELL
99%
— Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered
Oct 19, 6:51 PM MSFT $534.33 CALL
85%
25.5s Price above VWAP with volume ratio 4.64x, Bollinger squeeze released and price above upper band, MACD histogram bullish, EMA/HMA bullish, ATR 1.09, option spread tight, mid-range position.
Oct 16, 2:30 PM MSFT $535.39 PUT
62%
64.5s Price is below VWAP with high volume surge (3.26x), BB %B is -1.395 (far below lower band) after a squeeze release, MACD histogram bearish and HMA bearish, supporting a put despite mildly positive LinReg slope and bullish EMA cross.
Oct 16, 2:28 PM MSFT $536.16 HOLD
52%
39.2s Volume surge and price below VWAP/EMAs/HMA with bearish MACD and BB %B below lower band suggest bearish bias, but LinReg slope is positive and HMA conflicts with call criteria; no clear entry per filters, especially after a 5‑loss streak and sub‑40% win rate.
Oct 16, 2:27 PM MSFT $536.60 HOLD
35%
53.7s Bollinger squeeze released with bearish momentum (price below VWAP, EMAs, HMA, MACD hist) supports a put, but LinReg slope is positive, conflicting with directional bias; after a 5‑loss streak and sub‑40% win rate, we wait for clearer alignment.
Oct 16, 2:26 PM MSFT $537.12 HOLD
55%
33.0s Price is below VWAP, EMAs, and HMA with bearish MACD histogram, but LinReg slope is slightly positive and the Bollinger squeeze release lacks clear directional confirmation; after a 5‑loss streak and sub‑40% win rate, we wait for a stronger setup.
Oct 16, 2:19 PM MSFT $537.44 HOLD
35%
39.7s Price is below VWAP and EMAs with bearish HMA and MACD histogram, but LinReg slope is slightly up and the Bollinger squeeze has released; strong volume surge exists yet conflicting signals prevent a clear entry, especially after a 5‑loss streak.
Oct 16, 2:18 PM MSFT $537.77 HOLD
35%
48.5s Price is above VWAP with strong volume surge, but HMA is bearish, price below EMAs and MACD histogram bearish, failing entry filters for both calls and puts; awaiting clearer alignment.
Oct 16, 2:17 PM MSFT $536.39 HOLD
30%
62.1s Price is below VWAP with high volume (3.26x) showing bearish pressure, but LinReg slope is mildly positive and HMA is bearish, giving mixed signals; ATR moderate and a 5‑loss streak require a stronger, textbook setup before entering.
Oct 16, 2:15 PM MSFT $536.60 HOLD
35%
44.9s Price below VWAP with high volume (3.26x) indicates bearish pressure, but LinReg slope is mildly positive and HMA is bearish, failing entry filters for both calls and puts.
Oct 16, 2:13 PM MSFT $536.14 HOLD
50%
55.9s Price is below VWAP with high volume (3.26x) indicating bearish pressure, but LinReg slope is slightly positive and HMA/EMA signals are mixed, failing the entry filters for both calls and puts; therefore we wait for clearer alignment.
Oct 16, 2:12 PM MSFT $536.24 HOLD
35%
29.2s Price below VWAP with high volume suggests bearish, but LinReg slope is mildly positive and EMA cross bullish creates mixed signals; ATR moderate and 5-loss streak require stronger alignment.
Oct 16, 2:11 PM MSFT $536.20 HOLD
35%
34.0s Price below VWAP with bearish MACD and high volume suggests downside, but LinReg slope is mildly positive and HMA bearish creates mixed signals; awaiting clearer directional confirmation before entering.
Oct 16, 2:09 PM MSFT $536.03 HOLD
70%
50.6s Bearish VWAP crossover with high volume and Bollinger squeeze release suggest a PUT, but LinReg slope is mildly positive, conflicting with the required negative slope for a PUT; additionally, we are on a 5‑loss streak, so we wait for clearer alignment.
Oct 16, 2:08 PM MSFT $535.94 HOLD
55%
66.1s Bearish VWAP crossover with high volume indicates a put setup, but LinReg slope is positive, violating the entry filter; after a 5‑loss streak we require stronger signal alignment.
Oct 16, 2:06 PM MSFT $536.87 HOLD
55%
59.9s Price is below VWAP with high volume (bearish VWAP surge) but LinReg slope is mildly positive and EMA cross is bullish, creating conflicting signals; HMA is bearish which would support a put, but the LinReg slope fails the entry filter for a put.
Oct 16, 2:04 PM MSFT $536.83 HOLD
55%
46.1s VWAP is below price with high volume (bearish) but EMA(9)/EMA(21) is bullish and LinReg slope is up, creating conflict; HMA is bearish, MACD histogram bearish, and squeeze released. Entry filters for both calls and puts fail due to mismatched HMA/LinReg slope, and a 5‑loss streak demands higher confidence.
Oct 16, 2:03 PM MSFT $536.66 HOLD
35%
47.1s Volume surge and EMA bullish cross contrast with price below VWAP, bearish MACD histogram, HMA, and positive LinReg slope; mixed signals fail to meet high-confidence threshold needed after a 5-loss streak.
Oct 16, 2:02 PM MSFT $537.24 HOLD
30%
49.1s Call spread exceeds 15% and put LinReg slope positive contradicts bearish bias; although Bollinger squeeze released with bearish momentum and volume surge, entry filters not fully satisfied.
Oct 16, 1:54 PM MSFT $537.84 HOLD
35%
34.8s VWAP bullish crossover with strong volume surge favors a call, but HMA bearish and MACD histogram bearish conflict, ATR is modest, and a 5-loss streak requires higher confidence; insufficient for entry.
Oct 16, 1:51 PM MSFT $537.04 HOLD
30%
47.8s Bollinger squeeze released with bearish momentum but entry filters fail: put spread >15%, LinReg slope positive, ATR suboptimal; no strong bullish signal. Performance shows a 5-loss streak requiring high confidence, which is absent.
Oct 7, 1:31 PM MSFT $528.67 SELL
99%
— Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered
Oct 6, 1:36 PM MSFT $530.42 CALL
78%
15.1s VWAP crossover with 4.19x volume surge and Bollinger squeeze released (price above upper band) provide strong bullish momentum. EMA9>EMA21, HMA bullish, positive LinReg slope, and ATM call delta 0.513 fit day‑trade criteria.
Oct 6, 1:35 PM MSFT $529.86 HOLD
70%
11.7s VWAP crossover with volume surge indicates bullish momentum, but the timestamp is within the first 5 minutes after market open, so we wait for the open to settle before entering.
Oct 6, 1:34 PM MSFT $530.28 HOLD
78%
7.1s Within first 5 minutes after market open (6:34 AM PT), avoiding new entries despite bullish VWAP crossover, EMA9>EMA21, high volume ratio 4.19x, and Bollinger squeeze release; price above VWAP but need to let open settle.
Oct 6, 1:33 PM MSFT $530.37 HOLD
85%
8.7s Within first 5 minutes after open (6:33 AM), avoiding new entries despite price above VWAP and high volume; MACD histogram bearish, RSI 38.2, price near top of range (81.8%) suggests waiting.
Oct 6, 1:32 PM MSFT $530.86 HOLD
40%
5.9s Within first 5 minutes after market open, avoiding new entries; price above VWAP with high volume but near top of range and bearish MACD/RSI suggest waiting for clearer signal.
Sep 17, 1:57 PM MSFT $496.47 CALL
0%
49.9s —
Sep 17, 1:55 PM MSFT $497.20 HOLD
30%
21.7s VWAP bullish with strong volume surge supports calls, but ATM call OI <100 fails liquidity and price above session high (114% range) makes calls risky; put side shows bearish EMA cross and negative LinReg slope but HMA bullish and MACD bullish lack confluence.
Sep 17, 1:54 PM MSFT $497.54 HOLD
30%
14.9s Volume surge 4.34x and price above VWAP suggest bullish momentum, but ATM call OI <100 fails liquidity filter and HMA bullish misaligns with put bias; range near high makes calls risky.
Sep 17, 1:51 PM MSFT $497.36 HOLD
42%
23.5s Strong volume surge and price above VWAP suggest bullish momentum, but ATM call OI <100 and price above session high (range >100%) increase risk; put side conflicts with bullish MACD/HMA. No clear edge.
Sep 16, 1:38 PM MSFT $494.47 CALL
0%
69.0s —
Sep 16, 1:34 PM MSFT $494.58 HOLD
0%
42.2s Failed to parse: We are at 6:34 AM PT. The market closes at 1:00 PM PT today. We have no open position. Let's analyze the data: TREND: - EMA(9): $496.84 [price below] -> bearish - EMA(21): $497.40 [price be
Sep 16, 1:32 PM MSFT $492.82 HOLD
90%
12.1s Within first 5 minutes of market open (6:32 AM PT), entry is prohibited per timing rules; additionally ATM options have open interest below 100, failing liquidity filter.
Sep 15, 1:51 PM MSFT $503.39 PUT
68%
40.3s Volume ratio 7.05x with price below VWAP ($504.02) and below BB lower band (%B -0.895) after squeeze release; bearish EMA9/EMA21 cross, MACD histogram negative, HMA9 bearish, LinReg slope -0.0437; ATM put spread 8.3% (<15%), OI 660, range position 55% (not extreme).
Sep 14, 1:37 PM MSFT $496.88 SELL
95%
4.7s Position down 100% (>25% loss trigger) with DTE=0 and theta decay accelerating; no reason to hold a worthless option.
Aug 28, 2:41 PM MSFT $511.59 CALL
70%
24.4s Bullish breakout above Bollinger upper band after squeeze release with strong volume surge (3.78x), EMA(9)/EMA(21) bullish crossover and MACD histogram positive. Price above VWAP and EMA, but range position >85% (chasing) reduces confidence.
Aug 28, 2:39 PM MSFT $510.93 HOLD
80%
16.0s Strong bullish signals (VWAP crossover, volume surge, squeeze release, EMA/MACD bullish) but price is above session high (range position 127%), exceeding the 85% chase limit for calls; no bearish setup for puts, so holding is appropriate.
Aug 28, 2:38 PM MSFT $511.11 HOLD
0%
50.6s Failed to parse: We need to decide action based on data. The user is at 7:38 AM PT. The price is $511.11 (but note the 1-min bars show price around 504? Wait there is inconsistency: The price line says Price: $511.11
Aug 28, 2:37 PM MSFT $510.71 HOLD
55%
20.0s Price is above VWAP with bullish EMA/MACD, but range position at 125.8% exceeds the 85% chase limit for calls and BB %B >1.70 indicates overbought conditions; no bearish setup for puts, and sub-40% win rate favors holding.
Aug 28, 2:36 PM MSFT $510.75 HOLD
48%
29.0s Price is above session high at 126% range and BB %B >1.70 (overbought), making a call entry a chase despite bullish EMA/VWAP/MACD and high volume; no clear put setup exists given the upward momentum, so holding is appropriate.
Aug 28, 2:35 PM MSFT $510.47 HOLD
55%
24.2s Price broke above BB Upper after squeeze release on high volume (vol ratio 3.78x) but range position at 124.3% exceeds the 85% chase limit for calls, making entry risky despite bullish EMA/VWAP/MACD.
Aug 28, 2:34 PM MSFT $510.99 HOLD
75%
37.5s Price is above session high at 127.5% range, violating the 85% chase filter for calls; BB %B >1.75 indicates overbought conditions with no bearish reversal signals. Bullish EMA/VWAP/MACD exist but no valid put setup, and sub-40% win rate favors holding.
Aug 28, 2:33 PM MSFT $511.02 HOLD
60%
10.9s Price is above session high (range 127.7%), violating the 85% chase filter for calls; bullish EMA/VWAP/MACD and high volume exist but entering calls would be chasing an extended move, and no put alignment is present.
Aug 28, 2:32 PM MSFT $511.09 HOLD
75%
38.4s Price is above session high (range 128.1%) violating the 85% chase filter for calls; bullish momentum exists but LinReg slope positive and HMA bullish contradict put criteria, so no valid entry.
Aug 28, 2:31 PM MSFT $510.58 HOLD
60%
21.6s Price is above session high (range position 125%) and BB %B >1.68, indicating overbought/chasing risk that violates call entry filters; although EMA/VWAP/MACD are bullish with high volume, no valid put alignment exists.
Aug 28, 2:28 PM MSFT $509.78 HOLD
78%
12.8s Price is above session high (range 120.1%) violating the 85% chase filter for calls; bullish EMA/VWAP/MACD and volume surge exist but no bearish alignment for puts, so no valid entry.
Aug 28, 2:27 PM MSFT $509.85 HOLD
70%
20.6s Strong bullish triggers (EMA cross, VWAP, volume surge, MACD hist positive, squeeze released) but price is above session high (range 120.5%) violating the 85% range filter for calls; put entry lacks negative LinReg slope and bearish HMA.
Aug 28, 2:26 PM MSFT $509.49 HOLD
65%
20.0s Strong bullish triggers (EMA cross, VWAP, volume surge, MACD hist positive, squeeze released) but price is above session high (range 118.4%) and BB %B >1, indicating overbought/chasing risk that violates call entry filters; put signals unsupported by positive LinReg slope and bullish HMA.
Aug 28, 2:19 PM MSFT $509.77 HOLD
45%
18.2s Price above session high (range 120%) violates call entry filter; although VWAP bullish, volume surge, and squeeze released, overbought conditions and low win rate suggest holding.