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NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Super

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$-70,952.00
Total P&L
25.0%
Win Rate
8
Closed Trades
7.5 s
Avg Response
51.1%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
Status Dir Strike Exp Entry Exit Stock In Stock Out Opt In Opt Out P&L
Closed CALL $543 Oct 19 (3d) Oct 16 2:26PM Oct 19 6:51PM $543.22 $540.10 $8.65 $0.66 $-26,367.00
Closed PUT $480 Aug 31 (4d) Aug 27 1:51PM Aug 28 1:32PM $479.17 $470.31 $10.30 $13.15 +$7,410.00
Closed PUT $478 Aug 21 (3d) Aug 18 2:11PM Aug 19 1:33PM $478.51 $481.62 $10.20 $6.20 $-10,000.00
Closed CALL $475 Aug 14 (4d) Aug 10 3:01PM Aug 11 1:31PM $475.85 $466.65 $14.40 $9.15 $-12,600.00
Closed PUT $545 Jul 27 (4d) Jul 23 2:53PM Jul 24 1:32PM $545.34 $542.74 $16.95 $13.55 $-7,140.00
Closed CALL $518 Jun 26 (3d) Jun 23 1:41PM Jun 24 1:33PM $518.18 $524.16 $18.40 $19.25 +$1,445.00
Closed CALL $515 Jun 18 (6d) Jun 12 2:34PM Jun 17 3:37PM $514.69 $523.51 $20.60 $14.90 $-8,550.00
Closed CALL $490 Jun 12 (3d) Jun 9 2:14PM Jun 10 1:31PM $490.85 $470.98 $16.35 $6.25 $-15,150.00
Decision Log Last 50
Time Ticker Price Action Confidence Response Reasoning
Oct 19, 6:51 PM AMD $540.10 SELL
99%
— Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered
Oct 16, 2:26 PM AMD $543.22 CALL
78%
37.7s Volume surge 2.59x, Bollinger squeeze released with price below lower band (oversold), EMA(9)/EMA(21) bullish crossover supported by bullish MACD histogram, and strong upward LinReg slope suggest a mean‑reversion bounce. HMA remains bearish, but the confluence of other signals outweighs this conflict.
Oct 16, 2:19 PM AMD $545.43 HOLD
55%
60.9s HMA is bearish and price sits below VWAP and EMAs, indicating bearish pressure, yet LinReg slope is positive, RSI is bullish, MACD histogram shows slight upside and BB %B is below the lower band suggesting an oversold bounce. Mixed signals and a 5‑trade losing streak mean waiting for clearer confirmation.
Oct 16, 2:17 PM AMD $545.35 HOLD
50%
51.8s Bollinger squeeze release with price below lower band and volume surge suggests a bounce, but bearish VWAP, HMA, and EMAs combined with a 5‑trade losing streak and sub‑40% win rate reduce confidence; thus wait for clearer confirmation.
Oct 16, 2:14 PM AMD $545.40 HOLD
55%
55.0s Volume surge and Bollinger squeeze release with price below the lower band hint at a bounce, but bearish HMA, price below VWAP and EMAs, low win rate, and a 5‑trade losing streak weaken the signal; thus HOLD is preferred.
Oct 16, 2:13 PM AMD $543.99 HOLD
35%
40.1s Volume surge and Bollinger squeeze release with price below the lower band hint at a bounce, but EMAs, VWAP, and HMA remain bearish and LinReg slope is bullish, creating mixed signals; with a 5‑trade losing streak and sub‑40% win rate, the signal lacks the textbook alignment needed for entry.
Oct 16, 2:11 PM AMD $543.64 HOLD
40%
69.1s Price is below VWAP, EMAs, and HMA (bearish) while Bollinger squeeze is off with bullish MACD histogram and EMA cross, creating mixed signals; HMA and LinReg slope disagree, failing entry filters for both calls and puts.
Oct 16, 2:08 PM AMD $544.29 HOLD
35%
54.9s Price is below VWAP, EMAs, and HMA (bearish) while LinReg slope is bullish, creating conflicting signals; HMA and LinReg filters fail for both calls and puts despite volume surge and Bollinger squeeze release.
Oct 16, 2:07 PM AMD $544.94 HOLD
55%
80.0s Bollinger squeeze is off with bullish MACD histogram and EMA(9)/EMA(21) crossover, suggesting upward momentum. However price remains below VWAP and HMA, and the 5‑trade losing streak warrants caution, so we stay sidelined.
Oct 16, 2:01 PM AMD $541.82 HOLD
30%
26.5s Pre-market gap of -3.95% exceeds the 2% threshold, so we must wait for the first 15 minutes to settle. Although the Bollinger squeeze is released and MACD shows bullish momentum, price remains below VWAP/EMAs and we are on a 5‑trade losing streak, demanding higher confidence for any new entry.
Oct 16, 1:54 PM AMD $542.62 HOLD
35%
63.1s Price is below VWAP and EMAs with bearish HMA, despite bullish squeeze release and EMA crossover; losing streak demands higher confidence, so stay sidelined.
Oct 16, 1:51 PM AMD $543.79 HOLD
40%
33.3s Price is below VWAP and EMAs with high volume, but BB %B shows oversold conditions; lacking a strong confirmation signal (VWAP crossover, RSI divergence) and given a 5‑trade losing streak, we stay sidelined.
Oct 7, 1:35 PM AMD $647.30 PUT
68%
44.4s EMA(9)/EMA(21) bearish crossover confirmed by negative MACD histogram, Bollinger squeeze released with bearish momentum, price below VWAP and HMA, volume surge 2.17x, ATR 1.41, all put filters pass.
Oct 7, 1:34 PM AMD $643.31 HOLD
55%
18.8s Bearish alignment: price below EMAs/VWAP, RSI 30.1, MACD hist negative, BB %B below lower, squeeze released with high volume. However ATM call/put options have open interest <100 (91 and 27), failing liquidity filter, so no entry is advised.
Oct 7, 1:31 PM AMD $635.47 HOLD
0%
7.9s Within first 5 minutes after market open; rules prohibit new entries until 6:35 AM PT.
Oct 6, 3:03 PM AMD $655.37 HOLD
60%
21.5s Price is above EMAs and VWAP with bullish EMA/HMA cross, but BB %B >6.8 shows overextension and range position >260% violates call entry filter; ATM put OI <100 fails put filter; no clear entry.
Oct 6, 3:01 PM AMD $655.42 HOLD
35%
25.4s Price is above VWAP and EMAs but BB %B >6.8 indicates overextension and MACD histogram bearish; range position 262% >85% violates call entry filter, ATM put OI <100 fails put filter; no entry criteria met.
Oct 6, 3:00 PM AMD $653.85 HOLD
80%
31.3s Price is far above the session high (range position 250.6%), violating the call entry filter; the ATM put has only 10 OI and bullish trend/HMA/LinReg oppose a bearish bias. No entry filters are met, so we hold.
Oct 6, 2:59 PM AMD $653.35 HOLD
35%
22.0s Price is above upper Bollinger band (%B=6.28) and session range position 246.9% (>85%), indicating overextension; MACD histogram is bearish and put option OI insufficient. No entry filters satisfied.
Oct 6, 2:58 PM AMD $654.17 HOLD
35%
52.6s Price is above VWAP and EMAs but BB %B >6 indicates overextension and MACD histogram is bearish; range position >250% exceeds the 85% limit for calls, while HMA and LinReg remain bullish, providing no clear bearish alignment for puts.
Oct 6, 2:57 PM AMD $654.59 HOLD
40%
24.1s Trend indicators are bullish (EMA9>EMA21, price above VWAP, HMA up) but MACD histogram is bearish, price is above upper Bollinger band (%B>6) indicating overextension, and range position >85% fails the call entry filter; no clear put signal.
Oct 6, 2:56 PM AMD $652.29 HOLD
40%
16.7s Bollinger squeeze released with price above upper band signals bullish breakout, but range position >239% indicates extreme overextension and MACD histogram bearish, failing entry filters for calls.
Oct 6, 2:55 PM AMD $651.51 HOLD
40%
14.9s Price is far above session high and VWAP with BB %B >5 (overbought) and bearish MACD histogram, making calls overextended; trend indicators are bullish but range position >85% fails entry filters for calls, and no bearish alignment exists for puts.
Oct 6, 2:54 PM AMD $651.09 HOLD
35%
24.1s Range position is 230.2% (>85%), making calls overextended; while LinReg slope and HMA are bullish, the range filter fails for calls and puts lack bearish slope/HMA alignment; no clear entry signal.
Oct 6, 2:53 PM AMD $651.02 HOLD
55%
14.0s Price is above session high (range 229.7%) indicating extended bullish move; overbought BB (%B >5) and bearish MACD histogram suggest caution; entry filters for calls fail due to extreme range position, puts unsupported by trend; thus hold.
Oct 6, 2:52 PM AMD $650.70 HOLD
55%
24.8s Price is above session high (range 227%) indicating extended bullish move; bullish EMA/VWAP/HMA but overbought BB and bearish MACD histogram; entry filters for calls fail due to extreme range position, puts fail due to slope/HMA mismatch; thus hold.
Oct 6, 2:51 PM AMD $650.69 HOLD
38%
13.9s Price is far above session high (range 227%) with bullish EMA/VWAP/HMA alignment, overbought BB (%B >5), and only mild bearish MACD histogram; no clear entry signal for calls or puts, and low win rate favors holding.
Oct 6, 2:45 PM AMD $650.13 HOLD
40%
15.1s Price is above VWAP/EMA/HMA with bullish EMA cross but extended above BB upper (%B 5.43) and session range 223%, indicating overbought/chasing; MACD histogram slightly bearish but no clear reversal signal; thus hold.
Oct 6, 2:44 PM AMD $650.14 HOLD
42%
29.4s Price is above VWAP/EMA/HMA with bullish EMA cross and Bollinger squeeze released, but range position at 223% indicates extreme extension (chasing), violating the call entry filter; MACD histogram shows slight bearish momentum, lacking a clear directional signal.
Oct 6, 2:43 PM AMD $649.57 HOLD
45%
25.1s Price is above VWAP, EMA(9/21) and HMA with bullish EMA cross and Bollinger squeeze released, but range position at 218.9% indicates extreme extension (chasing) and MACD histogram shows bearish momentum, lacking a clear directional signal.
Oct 6, 2:42 PM AMD $649.43 HOLD
45%
23.7s Price broke above session high with Bollinger squeeze release and VWAP/EMA bullish alignment, but range position at 217.9% shows chasing; volume ratio only 1.25x and ATR 0.94 (<1.0) weaken the setup; no bearish signal for puts.
Oct 6, 2:41 PM AMD $647.86 HOLD
42%
17.5s Bullish signals: price above VWAP/EMA/HMA, Bollinger squeeze released with breakout above upper band, volume ratio 1.25x. However, range position at 206% (well above 85%) indicates chasing the high, violating the entry filter for BUY_CALL. ATM put OI <100 fails liquidity. No clear short setup.
Oct 6, 2:39 PM AMD $648.31 HOLD
40%
22.2s Bollinger squeeze released with bullish VWAP/EMA/HMA alignment, but MACD histogram bearish, volume only 1.25x, price near session high (chasing), and ATM put OI <100; setup lacks strength for entry.
Oct 6, 2:38 PM AMD $648.69 HOLD
70%
58.1s Price is above session high (range 212%) and above Bollinger upper band, indicating overextension; MACD histogram is bearish and ATR is low, reducing follow-through. ATM put OI <100 fails liquidity filter, so no clear short setup.
Oct 6, 2:36 PM AMD $650.00 HOLD
35%
13.6s Bollinger squeeze released but price is above upper band (%B 5.40) and near session high (range 222%), indicating overextension; MACD histogram bearish and no volume surge (vol_ratio 1.25x) to confirm bullish momentum, making a call chase risky while puts lack supporting bearish signals.
Oct 6, 2:35 PM AMD $649.21 HOLD
35%
16.3s Price is above VWAP and EMAs bullish, but MACD histogram is bearish and price sits above the Bollinger upper band indicating overextension. Range position is near the session high, making calls risky, and there is no volume surge to confirm a breakout.
Oct 6, 2:34 PM AMD $648.13 HOLD
30%
11.9s No volume surge, MACD histogram bearish, price far above Bollinger upper band indicating overextension, and ATM put OI too low; trend signals are weak without confirmation.
Oct 6, 2:33 PM AMD $646.51 HOLD
35%
12.0s Price is far above Bollinger upper band (%B 4.47) showing overextension, MACD histogram is bearish indicating weakening momentum, and volume ratio is only 1.25x (no surge) to confirm a breakout; extreme range position makes chasing calls risky while bullish EMAs/VWAP conflict with put bias.
Oct 6, 2:32 PM AMD $646.44 HOLD
40%
22.3s Price is far above Bollinger upper band showing overextension; MACD histogram is bearish, indicating weakening upward momentum; range position near session high makes buying calls risky, while the bullish trend fails to align with put directional filters (LinReg slope positive, HMA bullish).
Oct 6, 2:31 PM AMD $645.84 HOLD
60%
26.3s Price is above VWAP and EMAs but Bollinger %B is far above upper band showing overextension; MACD histogram is bearish indicating weakening momentum; no volume surge or clear directional trigger after the Bollinger squeeze release; extreme range position makes chasing calls risky.
Oct 6, 2:30 PM AMD $646.37 HOLD
40%
15.4s Price is above VWAP and EMAs but Bollinger %B is far above upper band showing overextension; MACD histogram is bearish indicating weakening momentum; no volume surge or clear directional trigger after the Bollinger squeeze release; extreme range position makes chasing calls risky.
Oct 6, 2:29 PM AMD $646.75 HOLD
60%
15.9s Price is far above VWAP, Bollinger upper band and session high (range 198%), showing overextension; MACD histogram is bearish; volume is normal; ATM put fails OI filter and buying calls would be chasing extreme highs.
Oct 6, 2:28 PM AMD $647.80 HOLD
40%
16.5s Price is above VWAP, EMA(9/21) and HMA(9) showing bullish trend, but MACD histogram is bearish, Bollinger %B is far above upper band (overextended), volume ratio only 1.25x (no surge), and range position at 205.9% indicates price is well above session high, making a call chase risky.
Oct 6, 2:27 PM AMD $646.81 HOLD
40%
11.3s Price is above VWAP and EMAs with bullish HMA, but MACD histogram is bearish and Bollinger %B is far above upper band indicating overextension; range position at 198.5% shows price well above session high, making a call chase risky. No volume surge or clear directional trigger.
Oct 6, 2:26 PM AMD $646.05 HOLD
40%
17.2s Trend is bullish but price is far above session high (range position 192.9%), MACD histogram bearish, and Bollinger %B above upper band indicating overextension; no volume surge or clear directional trigger.
Oct 6, 2:18 PM AMD $646.15 HOLD
35%
10.6s Price is above VWAP and EMAs but severely overextended (range position 193%), MACD histogram bearish, ATR modest, and no volume surge; buying calls would be chasing resistance, while puts lack trend support.
Oct 6, 2:18 PM AMD $644.88 HOLD
40%
27.6s Bollinger squeeze released with price above upper band suggests bullish breakout, but range position at 184% (above session high) indicates overextension and chasiness risk for calls; MACD histogram remains bearish and volume surge absent, weakening the signal.
Oct 6, 2:16 PM AMD $644.43 HOLD
35%
14.6s Price is above VWAP and EMAs but severely overextended (range position 180.9%, BB %B above upper) with bearish MACD histogram and no volume surge; ATR modest, making a call chase risky and put unsupported by trend.
Oct 6, 2:15 PM AMD $644.72 HOLD
35%
15.5s Price is above VWAP and EMAs bullish but Bollinger %B is above upper band indicating overbought conditions, MACD histogram shows bearish momentum, and range position at 183% shows overextension; no volume surge or clear directional signal to justify entry.
Oct 6, 2:14 PM AMD $644.40 HOLD
30%
20.5s Price is above session high and Bollinger Upper Band (range 180.7%), indicating overextension; while EMAs and VWAP are bullish, MACD histogram is bearish and LinReg slope positive does not support a put entry, so no clear directional signal.