Arcee AI: Trinity Large Thinking
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$-809.00
Total P&L
0.0%
Win Rate
2
Closed Trades
0.2 s
Avg Response
39.8%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $300 | May 26 (6d) | May 20 2:33PM | May 21 1:44PM | $299.42 | $301.64 | $3.05 | $2.42 | $-756.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $298 | May 22 (4d) | May 18 2:17PM | May 19 2:09PM | $297.85 | $298.27 | $3.20 | $2.67 | $-53.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 8:08 PM | AAPL | $309.05 | HOLD | 15% | 4.3s | Market closed at 1:00 PM PT and current timestamp shows 1:08 PM PT, making any new trade impossible. Additionally, despite strong volume surge (2.76x) and squeeze release, the setup suffers from overbought BB %B (3.566), high range position (168.3%), low ATR (0.42), and bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261). Historical performance shows a 7-trade losing streak with 11.1% win rate, requiring stronger conviction for entry. |
| May 22, 7:26 PM | AAPL | $308.89 | HOLD | 35% | 3.7s | Overbought BB %B (3.45) and range position at 165.2% violate the >85% filter for calls, while low ATR (0.42) suggests limited range. Bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261) conflicts with bullish trend, and with only 34 minutes until market close, there is insufficient time for the trade to work. Historical performance shows a 7-trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, requiring stronger conviction for entry despite high volume surge (2.76x) and squeeze release. |
| May 22, 7:08 PM | AAPL | $309.21 | HOLD | 25% | 9.6s | Mixed signals with extremely overbought BB %B (3.682) and range position at 171.4% violating the >85% filter for calls, combined with very low ATR (0.42) suggesting limited range and bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261). Only 53 minutes left in the session with market closing at 1:00 PM PT, making the risk/reward unfavorable despite high volume surge (2.76x) and squeeze release. Historical performance shows 11.1% win rate with a 7-trade losing streak, requiring stronger conviction for entry. |
| May 22, 6:35 PM | AAPL | $309.20 | HOLD | 20% | 5.4s | Mixed signals with price above key averages but RSI neutral and bearish MACD histogram, combined with extremely overbought BB %B (3.674) and low ATR (0.42) suggesting limited range. The 171.2% range position violates the >85% filter for calls, and with a 7+ trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the conviction for a high-quality trade despite high volume surge and squeeze release. |
| May 22, 6:19 PM | AAPL | $309.23 | HOLD | 30% | 3.7s | Overbought conditions with BB %B at 3.696 and range position at 171.8% violate the >85% filter for calls, while low ATR (0.42) suggests limited range. Bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261) conflicts with bullish trend, and with a 7+ trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the conviction for a high-quality trade despite high volume surge (2.76x) and squeeze release. |
| May 22, 6:08 PM | AAPL | $309.07 | HOLD | 25% | 4.0s | Mixed signals with price near session high (168.6%) violating the >85% filter for calls, low ATR (0.42) suggesting limited range, and bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261) conflicting with bullish trend alignment. With a 7+ trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the conviction for a high-quality trade despite squeeze release and high volume surge. |
| May 22, 5:28 PM | AAPL | $309.53 | HOLD | 20% | 6.1s | Mixed signals with bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261) conflicting with bullish trend, low ATR (0.42) suggesting limited range, and near session high (79.8% of range) but not exceeding 85% filter. With a 7-trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the conviction needed for a high-quality trade despite squeeze release and high volume surge. |
| May 22, 5:06 PM | AAPL | $309.08 | HOLD | 25% | 5.8s | Price near session high (168.9% range position) violates the >85% filter for calls, ATR ($0.42) is below the 0.5 threshold indicating limited range, and MACD histogram shows bearish momentum divergence. With a 7+ trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the quality needed for a high-confidence trade despite bullish trend alignment and high volume surge. |
| May 22, 4:32 PM | AAPL | $309.95 | HOLD | 25% | 4.9s | Price near session high (185.8% range position) violates the >85% filter for calls, ATR ($0.42) is below the 0.5 threshold indicating limited range, and MACD histogram shows bearish momentum divergence. With a 7+ trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the quality needed for a high-confidence trade despite bullish trend alignment and high volume surge. |
| May 22, 4:12 PM | AAPL | $310.35 | HOLD | 30% | 4.5s | Price near session high (193.6% range position) violates the >85% filter for calls, ATR ($0.42) is below the 0.5 threshold indicating limited range, and MACD histogram shows bearish momentum divergence. With a 7+ trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the quality needed for a high-confidence trade despite bullish trend alignment and high volume surge. |
| May 22, 3:21 PM | AAPL | $311.18 | HOLD | 25% | 5.2s | High volume surge (2.76x) and squeeze release suggest bullish momentum, but price is near session high (209.7% range position) violating the >85% filter for calls, while low ATR ($0.42) indicates limited range potential. MACD histogram shows bearish momentum divergence, and with a 7-trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the quality needed for a high-confidence trade despite bullish trend alignment. |
| May 22, 2:52 PM | AAPL | $309.57 | HOLD | 30% | 4.3s | Price is extremely overbought (BB %B 3.942, range position 178.4%) violating the >85% filter for calls, while ATR ($0.42) suggests limited range for the day. The bearish MACD histogram (-0.0261) shows momentum divergence, and with a 7-trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the quality needed for a high-confidence trade despite high volume and bullish trend alignment. |
| May 22, 2:19 PM | AAPL | $308.80 | HOLD | 35% | 4.9s | Price is near session high (163.4% range position) violating the >85% filter for calls, and it's within the first 5 minutes after open (6:30 AM PT). While volume surge (2.76x) and squeeze release are bullish, low ATR ($0.42) suggests limited range, and the 7-trade losing streak demands higher-quality setups. Option liquidity is acceptable but the timing and overbought conditions reduce confidence. |
| May 22, 1:51 PM | AAPL | $307.67 | HOLD | 30% | 5.4s | Price is extremely overbought (BB %B 2.564) with range position at 141.3% (violates >85% filter), low ATR ($0.42) suggests limited range, and MACD histogram shows bearish momentum divergence. Combined with a 7-trade losing streak and 11.1% win rate, this setup lacks the quality needed for a high-confidence trade despite high volume and bullish EMA alignment. |
| May 21, 1:44 PM | AAPL | $301.64 | SELL | 75% | 7.2s | MACD histogram flipped negative (-0.0526) against the bullish CALL position, indicating fading momentum, while RSI remains in bullish territory but not strong enough to offset the signal. Combined with a poor 20% win rate and 3-trade losing streak, the risk-reward deteriorates with 5 DTE and accelerating theta decay. |
| May 20, 2:33 PM | AAPL | $299.42 | CALL | 80% | 6.3s | Strong bullish signals with VWAP crossover and volume surge (4.04x), EMA(9)/EMA(21) bullish cross confirmed by positive MACD histogram, and Bollinger squeeze release. Price above key MAs and HMA(9) alignment support the move, despite low ATR ($0.41) which is mitigated by high volume. Option liquidity is acceptable with spread <15% and OI >100. |
| May 20, 2:08 PM | AAPL | $300.21 | HOLD | 45% | 12.7s | Bullish signals include VWAP crossover with high volume (4.04x) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) bullish cross confirmed by MACD histogram, but range position at 92.8% (near session high) violates the filter to avoid buying calls above 85%, and low ATR ($0.41) suggests limited range potential. With a win rate below 40%, this setup lacks the textbook quality needed for a high-confidence trade. |
| May 19, 2:09 PM | AAPL | $298.27 | SELL | 80% | 4.3s | Aggressive theta decay (-0.495, ~18.7% of option price) with only 3 DTE and early 1:00 PM PT close creates high time decay risk, while bullish momentum (RSI 68.6, positive MACD histogram) and price above VWAP ($297.09) work against the PUT position. The position is OTM and not strongly ITM, making it vulnerable to further decay without a quick move lower. |
| May 18, 2:17 PM | AAPL | $297.85 | PUT | 70% | 4.5s | Strong bearish signals with price below key MAs (EMA9 $300.30, VWAP $300.36), RSI 39, negative MACD histogram, and very high volume ratio (4.44x) indicating selling pressure. The released Bollinger squeeze and price below lower band support a bearish move, though low ATR ($0.45) and early 1:00 PM close limit potential range. |
| May 18, 2:04 PM | AAPL | $298.41 | HOLD | 75% | 8.1s | High volume (4.44x) and released Bollinger squeeze indicate potential for a bearish move, confirmed by price trading below key moving averages (EMA9 $300.30, EMA21 $300.73, VWAP $300.36). The low ATR ($0.45) suggests limited range, but the early market close at 1:00 PM requires a quick move. The ATM $297.50 call offers good liquidity with delta 0.549 in the optimal range. |