Owl Alpha
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$-260,292.00
Total P&L
21.9%
Win Rate
96
Closed Trades
3.8 s
Avg Response
18.9%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Performance by Ticker
| Ticker | Trades | Wins | Losses | Win Rate | Total P&L | Avg P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50.0% | +$6,519.00 | +$651.90 |
| AAPL | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12.5% | +$1,879.00 | +$234.88 |
| SMCI | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | +$1,357.00 | +$271.40 |
| BA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% | $-319.00 | $-106.33 |
| COIN | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% | $-437.00 | $-109.25 |
| PLTR | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% | $-1,874.00 | $-468.50 |
| NFLX | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | $-6,230.00 | $-1,246.00 |
| AMZN | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% | $-6,486.00 | $-1,621.50 |
| AMD | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25.0% | $-9,190.00 | $-1,148.75 |
| NVDA | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9.1% | $-14,542.00 | $-1,322.00 |
| TSLA | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | $-16,971.00 | $-2,424.43 |
| MSFT | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | $-20,457.00 | $-2,922.43 |
| AVGO | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33.3% | $-33,728.00 | $-5,621.33 |
| META | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0.0% | $-34,663.00 | $-4,951.86 |
| MU | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14.3% | $-125,150.00 | $-17,878.57 |
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Ticker | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | META | PUT | $560 | Jul 2 (3d) | Jun 29 1:32PM | Jun 30 7:25PM | $561.14 | $561.50 | $8.05 | $5.55 | $-4,500.00 |
| Closed | MU | PUT | $1,110 | Jul 2 (3d) | Jun 29 1:31PM | Jun 30 1:52PM | $1,111.79 | $1,136.01 | $48.80 | $23.90 | $-44,820.00 |
| Closed | SMCI | PUT | $31 | Jul 2 (3d) | Jun 29 1:34PM | Jun 30 1:51PM | $30.84 | $28.68 | $0.94 | $2.15 | +$2,178.00 |
| Closed | AMD | CALL | $515 | Jul 2 (3d) | Jun 29 2:01PM | Jun 30 1:51PM | $513.86 | $548.97 | $16.60 | $37.20 | +$37,080.00 |
| Closed | NVDA | PUT | $193 | Jun 29 (3d) | Jun 26 1:32PM | Jun 29 1:33PM | $192.00 | $192.90 | $2.66 | $0.81 | $-3,145.00 |
| Closed | TSLA | CALL | $373 | Jun 29 (3d) | Jun 26 1:45PM | Jun 29 1:32PM | $373.13 | $381.71 | $5.65 | $13.70 | +$13,685.00 |
| Closed | PLTR | PUT | $109 | Jul 2 (6d) | Jun 26 1:32PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $109.74 | $116.48 | $2.87 | $0.54 | $-3,961.00 |
| Closed | COIN | PUT | $141 | Jul 2 (6d) | Jun 26 1:36PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $141.41 | $151.17 | $5.05 | $1.49 | $-6,052.00 |
| Closed | MSFT | PUT | $358 | Jun 29 (3d) | Jun 26 1:33PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $356.99 | $377.88 | $4.45 | $0.11 | $-7,378.00 |
| Closed | GOOGL | CALL | $340 | Jun 29 (3d) | Jun 26 1:34PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $338.58 | $344.81 | $3.75 | $5.70 | +$3,315.00 |
| Closed | AVGO | PUT | $368 | Jun 29 (3d) | Jun 26 1:38PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $367.61 | $373.39 | $6.20 | $1.34 | $-8,262.00 |
| Closed | NFLX | PUT | $72 | Jul 2 (6d) | Jun 26 1:31PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $71.88 | $74.73 | $1.51 | $0.27 | $-2,108.00 |
| Closed | AAPL | PUT | $278 | Jun 29 (3d) | Jun 26 1:32PM | Jun 29 1:31PM | $277.64 | $286.50 | $3.35 | $0.15 | $-5,440.00 |
| Closed | MU | CALL | $1,175 | Jul 2 (7d) | Jun 25 1:52PM | Jun 26 1:34PM | $1,173.21 | $1,128.61 | $68.25 | $42.25 | $-44,200.00 |
| Closed | META | CALL | $548 | Jun 29 (4d) | Jun 25 1:59PM | Jun 26 1:31PM | $548.18 | $540.80 | $8.80 | $4.90 | $-6,630.00 |
| Closed | SMCI | CALL | $33 | Jul 2 (7d) | Jun 25 1:52PM | Jun 26 1:31PM | $32.45 | $31.04 | $1.65 | $0.96 | $-1,173.00 |
| Closed | AMD | CALL | $525 | Jul 2 (7d) | Jun 25 1:51PM | Jun 26 1:31PM | $524.79 | $511.65 | $23.00 | $14.90 | $-13,770.00 |
| Closed | NFLX | PUT | $73 | Jul 2 (8d) | Jun 24 1:32PM | Jun 25 2:55PM | $72.93 | $72.32 | $1.53 | $0.68 | $-1,445.00 |
| Closed | BA | PUT | $220 | Jul 2 (8d) | Jun 24 1:36PM | Jun 25 2:05PM | $220.86 | $221.68 | $4.90 | $3.40 | $-2,550.00 |
| Closed | AVGO | CALL | $380 | Jun 29 (5d) | Jun 24 1:49PM | Jun 25 1:52PM | $379.74 | $377.71 | $9.20 | $5.95 | $-5,525.00 |
| Closed | NVDA | PUT | $200 | Jun 29 (5d) | Jun 24 1:38PM | Jun 25 1:51PM | $200.56 | $194.76 | $3.10 | $6.50 | +$5,780.00 |
| Closed | AAPL | PUT | $293 | Jun 29 (5d) | Jun 24 1:31PM | Jun 25 1:51PM | $293.42 | $279.75 | $3.10 | $12.95 | +$16,745.00 |
| Closed | GOOGL | CALL | $350 | Jun 29 (5d) | Jun 24 4:01PM | Jun 25 1:51PM | $349.91 | $337.93 | $5.00 | $1.25 | $-6,375.00 |
| Closed | PLTR | PUT | $115 | Jul 2 (8d) | Jun 24 1:31PM | Jun 25 1:51PM | $114.98 | $108.54 | $3.70 | $7.75 | +$6,885.00 |
| Closed | AMZN | CALL | $235 | Jun 29 (5d) | Jun 24 1:33PM | Jun 25 1:51PM | $235.32 | $228.04 | $4.00 | $1.19 | $-4,777.00 |
| Closed | AMD | CALL | $510 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:32PM | Jun 24 1:42PM | $509.87 | $516.22 | $19.40 | $15.90 | $-5,950.00 |
| Closed | MU | PUT | $1,070 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:32PM | Jun 24 1:38PM | $1,067.90 | $1,067.67 | $71.90 | $64.90 | $-11,900.00 |
| Closed | MSFT | PUT | $370 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:32PM | Jun 24 1:31PM | $370.90 | $371.88 | $5.10 | $3.25 | $-3,145.00 |
| Closed | META | CALL | $568 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:36PM | Jun 24 1:31PM | $566.79 | $561.47 | $9.45 | $5.30 | $-7,055.00 |
| Closed | SMCI | CALL | $34 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:32PM | Jun 24 1:31PM | $33.61 | $33.47 | $1.40 | $0.92 | $-816.00 |
| Closed | PLTR | CALL | $128 | Jun 26 (4d) | Jun 22 1:44PM | Jun 23 1:32PM | $127.79 | $119.67 | $3.10 | $0.56 | $-4,318.00 |
| Closed | NVDA | CALL | $213 | Jun 26 (4d) | Jun 22 1:34PM | Jun 23 1:31PM | $213.19 | $200.75 | $4.45 | $0.65 | $-6,460.00 |
| Closed | AAPL | CALL | $303 | Jun 26 (4d) | Jun 22 1:49PM | Jun 23 1:31PM | $301.65 | $296.35 | $3.15 | $1.61 | $-2,618.00 |
| Closed | AMD | CALL | $538 | Jun 26 (7d) | Jun 19 1:32PM | Jun 22 1:33PM | $536.62 | $543.85 | $22.05 | $22.10 | +$80.00 |
| Closed | MSFT | CALL | $380 | Jun 22 (3d) | Jun 19 1:34PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $379.13 | $377.10 | $2.97 | $0.98 | $-3,184.00 |
| Closed | AMZN | CALL | $243 | Jun 22 (3d) | Jun 19 2:01PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $243.05 | $240.65 | $3.25 | $1.27 | $-3,168.00 |
| Closed | GOOGL | PUT | $365 | Jun 22 (3d) | Jun 19 1:39PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $366.20 | $357.23 | $1.81 | $7.95 | +$9,824.00 |
| Closed | TSLA | CALL | $400 | Jun 22 (3d) | Jun 19 1:33PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $398.73 | $397.60 | $4.95 | $2.84 | $-3,376.00 |
| Closed | NFLX | CALL | $78 | Jun 26 (7d) | Jun 19 1:32PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $77.31 | $76.60 | $1.06 | $0.69 | $-592.00 |
| Closed | SMCI | CALL | $31 | Jun 26 (7d) | Jun 19 1:52PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $30.72 | $32.99 | $1.29 | $2.65 | +$2,176.00 |
| Closed | META | CALL | $575 | Jun 22 (3d) | Jun 19 1:31PM | Jun 22 1:31PM | $574.89 | $572.00 | $6.65 | $2.92 | $-5,968.00 |
| Closed | BA | CALL | $223 | Jun 26 (8d) | Jun 18 2:29PM | Jun 19 1:55PM | $222.55 | $222.97 | $4.55 | $0.46 | $-6,544.00 |
| Closed | PLTR | CALL | $129 | Jun 26 (8d) | Jun 18 1:36PM | Jun 19 1:42PM | $128.34 | $128.65 | $3.55 | $3.25 | $-480.00 |
| Closed | AAPL | CALL | $298 | Jun 22 (4d) | Jun 18 1:37PM | Jun 19 1:35PM | $296.75 | $297.23 | $2.15 | $2.15 | +$0.00 |
| Closed | NVDA | PUT | $208 | Jun 22 (4d) | Jun 18 1:44PM | Jun 19 1:33PM | $207.87 | $210.33 | $2.21 | $1.10 | $-1,776.00 |
| Closed | AVGO | PUT | $405 | Jun 22 (4d) | Jun 18 1:49PM | Jun 19 1:32PM | $405.50 | $411.30 | $7.00 | $3.90 | $-4,960.00 |
| Closed | AMD | PUT | $523 | Jun 26 (9d) | Jun 17 3:28PM | Jun 18 1:33PM | $523.96 | $529.12 | $23.00 | $18.70 | $-6,880.00 |
| Closed | MSFT | CALL | $385 | Jun 22 (5d) | Jun 17 3:27PM | Jun 18 1:32PM | $385.64 | $379.17 | $5.15 | $1.75 | $-5,440.00 |
| Closed | META | CALL | $580 | Jun 22 (5d) | Jun 17 4:16PM | Jun 18 1:31PM | $580.65 | $575.17 | $8.55 | $4.65 | $-6,240.00 |
| Closed | MU | CALL | $975 | Jun 18 (6d) | Jun 12 1:53PM | Jun 17 3:31PM | $973.60 | $1,044.07 | $55.55 | $78.30 | +$34,125.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 7:25 PM | META | $561.50 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 30, 1:52 PM | MU | $1,136.01 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 30, 1:51 PM | SMCI | $28.68 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 30, 1:51 PM | AMD | $548.97 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 2:01 PM | AMD | $513.86 | CALL | 72% | 13.8s | Squeeze release confirmed: price broke above upper BB ($521.16) with BB %B at 1.371, and the 12:55-12:57 bars show a massive volume surge (157K-1.57M) driving price from $518.95 to $524.52 with directional momentum. MACD histogram remains bullish (0.0548), EMA(9) > EMA(21) confirms uptrend, and LinReg slope is positive. ATR at $3.06 provides adequate range. Entry filters pass: volume ratio 4.57x, spread 3.6% (<15%), OI 1247, delta 0.509 in sweet spot. Range position at ~89% is elevated but squeeze release + volume surge overrides chase concern. IV at 87.7% is expensive but justified by breakout. Win rate is poor (20.7%) so position size conservatively. |
| Jun 29, 1:55 PM | AMD | $522.82 | HOLD | 58% | 6.4s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $522.82 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 1.371 and range position at 89.8%, violating the >85% filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:54 PM | AMD | $524.50 | HOLD | 55% | 7.0s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $524.50 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 1.746 and range position at 97.3%, violating the >85% filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:53 PM | AMD | $525.00 | HOLD | 58% | 6.9s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $525.00 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 1.858 and range position at 99.5%, violating the >85% filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:52 PM | AMD | $524.76 | HOLD | 52% | 43.7s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $524.76 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 1.804 and range position at 98.4%, violating the >85% filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:51 PM | AMD | $525.46 | HOLD | 55% | 7.8s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extreme compression) — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $525.46 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 1.96 and range position at 101.6%, violating the >85% entry filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:49 PM | AMD | $527.96 | HOLD | 58% | 7.1s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extreme compression) — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $527.96 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.519 and range position at 112.7%, violating the >85% entry filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:48 PM | AMD | $526.01 | HOLD | 62% | 6.4s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extreme compression) — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $526.01 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.083 and range position at 104%, violating the >85% entry filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:47 PM | AMD | $525.66 | HOLD | 55% | 15.8s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extreme compression) — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $525.66 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.005 and range position at 102.4%, violating the >85% entry filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:46 PM | AMD | $529.01 | HOLD | 52% | 6.8s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extreme compression) — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $529.01 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.753 and range position at 117.3%, violating the >85% entry filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:45 PM | AMD | $528.27 | HOLD | 58% | 6.8s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extreme compression) — must wait for confirmed release before directional entry. Price at $528.27 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.587 and range position at 114%, violating the >85% entry filter against chasing calls. Win rate at 20.7% with 1-loss streak demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no squeeze release with directional momentum has been confirmed. |
| Jun 29, 1:42 PM | AMD | $527.20 | HOLD | 62% | 18.8s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extremely tight compression). Price at $527.20 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.348, representing chasing territory. Range position at 109.3% is above 85%, violating the entry filter against buying calls near highs. The 1-loss streak with 20.7% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum has occurred. Wait for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge before considering directional entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:39 PM | AMD | $531.27 | HOLD | 55% | 12.3s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extremely tight compression). Price at $531.27 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 3.257, representing extreme chasing territory (>85% range position at 127.4%). The 1-loss streak with 20.7% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum has occurred. ATR at $3.06 is adequate, but entering long above the upper band during active squeeze violates entry filters. Wait for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge before considering directional entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:37 PM | AMD | $531.64 | HOLD | 58% | 7.6s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extremely tight compression). Price at $531.64 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 3.339, representing extreme chasing territory (>85% range position at 129%). The 1-loss streak with 20.7% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum has occurred. ATR at $3.06 is adequate, but entering long above the upper band during active squeeze violates entry filters. Wait for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge before considering directional entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:36 PM | AMD | $533.69 | HOLD | 55% | 24.2s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.008 tight compression). Price at $533.69 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 3.797, representing extreme chasing territory (>85% range position at 138.1%). The 1-loss streak with 20.7% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum has occurred. ATR at $3.06 is adequate, but entering long above the upper band during active squeeze violates entry filters. Wait for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge before considering directional entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:35 PM | AMD | $531.38 | HOLD | 62% | 7.4s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extremely tight compression). Price at $531.38 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 3.282, representing extreme chasing territory (>85% range position at 127.9%). The 1-loss streak with 20.7% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum has occurred. ATR at $3.06 is adequate, but entering long above the upper band during active squeeze violates entry filters. Wait for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge before considering directional entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:34 PM | AMD | $527.85 | HOLD | 58% | 8.7s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extremely tight compression). Price at $527.85 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 2.494, representing extreme chasing territory (>85% range position at 112.2%). The 1-loss streak with 20.7% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum has occurred. ATR at $3.06 is adequate, but entering long above the upper band during active squeeze violates entry filters. Wait for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge before considering directional entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:34 PM | SMCI | $30.84 | PUT | 72% | 8.4s | Price at $30.64 is below VWAP ($30.93) with bearish EMA cross (9<21), RSI at 51.1 neutral but price breaking below session support at $30.55 with increasing volume (887K at 12:59). ATR at $0.14 is thin but the breakdown from $30.80 range support with accelerating selling volume (12:54-12:59 bars show 234K-887K) signals downside momentum. Win rate is low at 20.7% requiring caution, but the volume surge on breakdown and price below VWAP aligns with put direction. |
| Jun 29, 1:33 PM | AMD | $525.00 | HOLD | 62% | 6.6s | Squeeze is ON with price at 99.5% of session range and above upper BB (%B 1.858), making a call entry extreme chasing. With 3 DTE, |theta| of $2.819 is 16.4% of the $17.15 premium, indicating aggressive time decay, and 20.9% win rate demands textbook setup quality which is absent here. |
| Jun 29, 1:33 PM | NVDA | $192.90 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:33 PM | SMCI | $30.78 | HOLD | 65% | 7.7s | Squeeze is still ON with BB Width at 0.0105 (BB inside KC), which is a hard filter requiring wait for release before entering directionally. Price at $30.78 is below VWAP ($30.93) with bearish EMA cross (9<21), though MACD histogram is mildly bullish. ATR at $0.14 is extremely thin, offering minimal range for a day trade. Win rate is 20.9% requiring textbook-quality signals, and this setup lacks a squeeze release or VWAP crossover with volume surge to justify entry. |
| Jun 29, 1:32 PM | TSLA | $381.71 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:32 PM | AMD | $522.03 | HOLD | 62% | 7.7s | Squeeze is ON with BB Width at 0.0086 (extremely tight). Price at $522.03 is above upper BB ($521.16) with %B at 1.194, but no confirmed squeeze release with directional momentum yet. The 3-loss streak with 20% win rate demands higher selectivity. While EMA cross is bullish and MACD histogram is positive, price has been chopping in a $515-524 range for hours with no clean breakout. ATR at $3.06 is adequate, but waiting for confirmed squeeze release with volume surge is prudent. |
| Jun 29, 1:32 PM | META | $561.14 | PUT | 72% | 11.9s | Price at $561.14 is above VWAP ($550.44) and both EMAs but the 5-min bar data shows price recently spiked to $569+ and is now pulling back sharply — the 12:55 5-min bar shows a massive volume spike (830K) near $550 with a long lower wick at $549.11, indicating a potential reversal. RSI at 37.5 is bearish zone, MACD histogram is barely bullish (0.0027) and momentum is fading after the parabolic move. BB %B at 2.355 shows price was stretched above upper band and is now reverting. The 3-loss streak and 20% win rate demand caution, but the 5-min price action shows rejection of higher levels with extreme volume at the top — a mean-reversion put opportunity with ATR $1.29 providing adequate range. ATM put has acceptable delta (-0.474) and spread (13.1%). |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | SMCI | $31.16 | HOLD | 70% | 16.4s | Price is in a tight range ($30.30-$30.81) near session lows with squeeze ON and no directional catalyst. Win rate is 20% with a 3-loss streak requiring stronger signals, and the 5-min bars show persistent lower highs since 11:00 AM. ATR at $0.14 offers minimal range, and VWAP at $30.93 is acting as resistance. Wait for squeeze release or VWAP reclaim before entering. |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | BA | $218.24 | PUT | 62% | 8.4s | Price at $218.24 is below VWAP ($218.77) with bearish EMA cross (9 < 21), negative MACD histogram (-0.0785), and LinReg slope negative. Squeeze is OFF with recent breakdown from $222+ to current levels showing strong bearish momentum on 12:35-12:55 bars. ATR is low ($0.60) and the ATM put has poor spread (36.1%) and zero volume, while the 3-loss streak and 20% win rate demand caution. Range position at 39.9% is acceptable and RSI at 42.1 has room to downside. |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | AMD | $520.94 | HOLD | 65% | 8.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC) with price at $520.94 near upper Bollinger Band (%B 0.951) but no directional release yet. Despite bullish EMA cross and MACD histogram, the 3-loss streak with 20% win rate demands higher selectivity. Price is chopping in a tight range ($515-524) since 10:30 AM with no clear breakout. ATR at $3.06 provides adequate range, but waiting for squeeze release with volume confirmation is prudent before entering. |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | MU | $1,111.79 | PUT | 72% | 7.9s | Price at $1,111.79 is below VWAP ($1,159.92) with bearish EMA cross (9<21), RSI at 31.9 in bearish zone, and MACD histogram -1.1164 confirming downside momentum. Squeeze is OFF with ATR $9.22 providing adequate range. However, range position at -12.4% is near session lows making puts risky, and the 3-loss streak with 20% win rate warrants caution. ATM put has acceptable delta -0.467 and spread 6.7%, but the proximity to session lows reduces confidence. |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | AMZN | $236.17 | PUT | 62% | 11.6s | Price at $236.17 has collapsed from $232.92 to $230.48 in the last 5 minutes on massive volume (5.2M in the 12:55 bar), breaking below VWAP ($230.26 is now resistance). The 5-min bar at 12:55 shows a massive bearish candle with a huge range ($230.21-$233.90) and extreme volume, signaling strong distribution. RSI at 53.5 is falling from overbought, MACD histogram is still bullish (0.3042) so this is early-stage. LinReg slope is mildly bearish (-0.0376). However, confidence is capped at 62 due to 8-losing streak, 20.2% win rate requiring textbook signals, and the fact that MACD histogram hasn't flipped bearish yet. The signal is primarily a VWAP rejection + volume climax reversal, which is reasonable but not the strongest setup. ATR at $1.15 is acceptable, and range position at 129.2% reflects the sharp drop from highs. |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | PLTR | $116.48 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | COIN | $151.17 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | AVGO | $373.39 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | GOOGL | $344.81 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | MSFT | $377.88 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | NFLX | $74.73 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 29, 1:31 PM | AAPL | $286.50 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 26, 1:45 PM | TSLA | $373.13 | CALL | 82% | 12.1s | Squeeze has released — price broke above BB upper ($375.35) and EMA(9) ($374.17) with a strong bullish 5-min candle closing at $375.12 on surging volume (677K vs typical 150-300K bars). VWAP crossover confirmed by price pushing through $374.73, MACD histogram is positive and rising (0.1435), and LinReg slope is mild but turning. The 7-loss streak and 20.5% win rate demand caution, but this is a textbook squeeze release + VWAP breakout + volume surge setup — the strongest signal combination available. ATR $0.99 is acceptable, call option spread is tight at 2.7%, delta 0.55 is in the sweet spot, and OI of 1003 provides liquidity. |
| Jun 26, 1:43 PM | TSLA | $372.41 | HOLD | 25% | 6.6s | Squeeze is ON — directional trades must wait for squeeze release first. Win rate is 20.5% with a 7-loss streak, and the last 3 trades were losses — only textbook setups qualify. Price is below VWAP ($374.73) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) despite bullish cross shows price below both. Wait for squeeze release and stronger directional confirmation. |
| Jun 26, 1:42 PM | TSLA | $371.52 | HOLD | 25% | 5.8s | Squeeze is ON — directional trades must wait for squeeze release first. Win rate is 20.5% with a 7-loss streak, and the last 3 trades were losses — only textbook setups qualify. Price is below VWAP ($374.73) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) despite bullish cross shows price below both. Wait for squeeze release and stronger directional confirmation. |
| Jun 26, 1:41 PM | TSLA | $371.77 | HOLD | 25% | 6.2s | Squeeze is ON — directional trades must wait for squeeze release first. Win rate is 20.5% with a 7-loss streak, and the last 3 trades were losses — only textbook setups qualify. Price is below VWAP ($374.73) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) despite bullish cross shows price below both. Wait for squeeze release and stronger directional confirmation. |
| Jun 26, 1:40 PM | TSLA | $371.55 | HOLD | 25% | 6.1s | Squeeze is ON — directional trades must wait for squeeze release first. Win rate is 20.5% with a 7-loss streak, and the last 3 trades were losses — only textbook setups qualify. Price is below VWAP ($374.73) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) despite bullish cross shows price below both. Wait for squeeze release and stronger directional confirmation. |
| Jun 26, 1:39 PM | TSLA | $369.90 | HOLD | 25% | 7.4s | Squeeze is ON — directional trades must wait for squeeze release first. Win rate is 20.5% with a 7-loss streak, and the last 3 trades were losses — only textbook setups qualify. Price is below VWAP ($374.73) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) despite bullish cross shows price below both. Wait for squeeze release and stronger directional confirmation. |
| Jun 26, 1:38 PM | AVGO | $367.61 | PUT | 72% | 15.8s | Squeeze released with BB %B at -1.987 (below lower band), vol ratio 1.57x, MACD histogram barely positive but price breaking below session lows ($372.70). LinReg slope -0.159 confirms bearish direction. However, range position at -31.6% is near low (risky for chasing puts), and 7-loss streak demands caution. Put spread 8.1% passes filter, OI 193 adequate. Entry valid but tight risk management required. |
| Jun 26, 1:37 PM | AVGO | $368.83 | HOLD | 30% | 13.8s | 7-loss streak with 20.5% win rate demands extreme selectivity. Price at $368.83 is below VWAP ($380.57), below EMAs, and below all major moving averages - bearish trend intact but RSI at 50.8 shows no divergence signal. Squeeze is OFF (released) but no directional momentum follow-through. Pre-market gap of +2.05% has been fully reversed (day change -2.66%). No VWAP crossover with volume surge, no RSI divergence, no squeeze release pattern - no textbook entry signal present. |
| Jun 26, 1:36 PM | TSLA | $370.46 | HOLD | 20% | 12.0s | Squeeze is ON — directional trades must wait for squeeze release first. Win rate is 20.5% with a 7-loss streak, and the last 3 trades were losses — only textbook setups qualify. Price is below VWAP ($374.73) and EMA(9)/EMA(21) despite bullish cross shows price below both. Wait for squeeze release and stronger directional confirmation. |
| Jun 26, 1:36 PM | COIN | $141.41 | PUT | 78% | 19.0s | Price is below VWAP ($145.28), EMA(9), and EMA(21) with bearish EMA cross. RSI at 42.9 is neutral but MACD histogram is bullish (0.0697), creating bearish divergence as price trends down. Volume is very high at 3.68x average, confirming selling pressure. ATR of $0.58 provides adequate range. LinReg slope is negative (-0.1294), confirming downtrend. HMA(9) is bearish. The ATM put has acceptable spread (17.8% is slightly above ideal but manageable given strong signal) and OI of 290. Given the 7-loss streak, requiring stronger signals, the confluence of bearish trend, high volume, and negative slope supports a put entry. |