NVIDIA: Nemotron Nano 12B 2 VL
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$-19,834.00
Total P&L
14.3%
Win Rate
7
Closed Trades
6.6 s
Avg Response
64.9%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $483 | Aug 24 (4d) | Aug 20 2:01PM | Aug 21 1:36PM | $481.92 | $483.51 | $4.40 | $4.05 | $-875.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $480 | Aug 21 (3d) | Aug 18 1:56PM | Aug 19 1:35PM | $480.59 | $480.96 | $5.40 | $5.15 | $-625.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $500 | Aug 17 (3d) | Aug 14 2:21PM | Aug 17 1:32PM | $498.80 | $490.68 | $2.87 | $0.26 | $-6,264.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $490 | Aug 7 (4d) | Aug 3 1:55PM | Aug 4 1:33PM | $490.33 | $484.76 | $8.65 | $5.95 | $-6,210.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $450 | Aug 3 (4d) | Jul 30 1:53PM | Jul 31 1:51PM | $449.06 | $459.37 | $7.75 | $11.65 | +$8,580.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $398 | Jul 31 (3d) | Jul 28 1:39PM | Jul 29 1:51PM | $397.81 | $389.82 | $14.65 | $10.45 | $-9,240.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $385 | Jun 22 (5d) | Jun 17 3:31PM | Jun 18 1:32PM | $385.28 | $379.17 | $4.90 | $1.65 | $-5,200.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 1:36 PM | MSFT | $483.51 | SELL | 85% | 8.4s | Position is at a 6.8% loss with DTE=3 and accelerating theta decay (-0.649 daily). MACD histogram (-0.0604) shows bearish momentum aligning with the downtrend, and RSI (44.8) remains neutral without extreme reversal signals. Volume remains elevated (3.45x avg), suggesting potential for a bounce. Given the tight BB width (0.003) and proximity to session lows (-3.2%), holding allows time for volatility compression to resolve while avoiding premature exit on a minor drawdown. |
| Aug 21, 1:33 PM | MSFT | $479.35 | HOLD | 75% | 10.1s | Position is currently at a 4.1% loss with DTE=3 and theta decay accelerating (-0.671 daily). However, MACD histogram (-0.0604) shows bearish momentum aligning with the downtrend, and RSI (44.8) remains neutral without extreme reversal signals. Volume remains elevated (3.45x avg), suggesting potential for a bounce. Given the tight BB width (0.003) and proximity to session lows (-3.2%), holding allows time for volatility compression to resolve while avoiding premature exit on a minor drawdown. |
| Aug 20, 2:01 PM | MSFT | $481.92 | CALL | 85% | 23.0s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (vol_ratio 2.85x) and MACD histogram bullish momentum (0.0398) confirm directional strength. RSI divergence (price near session high, RSI 55.6) and Bollinger squeeze release align with entry criteria. |
| Aug 20, 1:42 PM | MSFT | $481.93 | HOLD | 72% | 16.5s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (vol_ratio 2.85x) and MACD histogram bullish momentum (0.0398) confirm directional strength. RSI divergence (price near session high, RSI 55.6) and Bollinger squeeze release align with entry criteria. Despite low win rate (33.7%) and recent losing streak, textbook signal quality justifies trade. |
| Aug 19, 1:35 PM | MSFT | $480.96 | SELL | 88% | 7.9s | Position losing 4.6% with DTE=2 and theta=-0.501 (5% decay), MACD histogram bearish (-0.1517) and VWAP at $481.74 above price ($480.96), indicating strong bearish momentum. Combined with low win rate (34.1%) and recent losing streak, exiting protects capital. |
| Aug 18, 1:56 PM | MSFT | $480.59 | CALL | 85% | 6.3s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (vol_ratio > 1.5) and bullish EMA cross confirm uptrend. RSI divergence (price new high, RSI not) and Bollinger squeeze release support continuation. MACD histogram bearish but EMA alignment overrides. Range position at 65% avoids chasing. No open position allows fresh entry. |
| Aug 17, 1:32 PM | MSFT | $490.68 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Aug 14, 2:21 PM | MSFT | $498.80 | CALL | 85% | 7.1s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (vol_ratio > 1.5) and bullish EMA cross confirm uptrend. RSI divergence (price new high, RSI not) and Bollinger squeeze release support continuation. MACD histogram bearish but EMA alignment overrides. Range position at 65% avoids chasing. No open position allows fresh entry. |
| Aug 14, 2:20 PM | MSFT | $498.46 | HOLD | 85% | 8.9s | Strong VWAP crossover with volume surge (vol_ratio > 1.5) and bullish EMA cross confirm uptrend. RSI divergence (price new high, RSI not) and Bollinger squeeze release support continuation. MACD histogram bearish but EMA alignment overrides. Range position at 65% avoids chasing. No open position allows fresh entry. |
| Aug 14, 2:11 PM | MSFT | $497.84 | HOLD | 55% | 8.5s | No valid entry signal detected. BB width tight (squeeze) but no release confirmed. MACD histogram bearish (-0.0361) contradicts bullish EMA cross. Volume ratio high (3.32x) but no VWAP crossover. Range position mid-range (57.4%) with no LinReg slope confirmation. Performance streak of 4 losses requires caution. Option Greeks show ATM delta 0.513 but IV 17.4% suggests expensive premiums. |
| Aug 14, 2:10 PM | MSFT | $497.80 | HOLD | 70% | 12.7s | No valid entry signal detected. BB width tight (squeeze) but no release confirmed. MACD histogram bearish (-0.0361) contradicts bullish EMA cross. Volume ratio high (3.32x) but no VWAP crossover. Range position mid-range (57.4%) with no LinReg slope confirmation. Performance streak of 4 losses requires caution. Option Greeks show ATM delta 0.513 but IV 17.4% suggests expensive premiums. |
| Aug 14, 2:02 PM | MSFT | $497.82 | HOLD | 65% | 52.0s | Conflicting signals with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze released) and high volume, but MACD histogram bearish momentum and RSI neutrality suggest indecision. Range-bound price action (54.6% position) and lack of strong trend confirmation from LinReg/EMA crossovers warrant caution. Performance streak (3L) and low call put volume ratio (31/1085) further reduce conviction. |
| Aug 14, 1:58 PM | MSFT | $497.77 | HOLD | 65% | 10.3s | Conflicting signals with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze released) and high volume, but MACD histogram bearish momentum and RSI neutrality suggest indecision. Range-bound price action (54.6% position) and lack of strong trend confirmation from LinReg/EMA crossovers warrant caution. Performance streak (3L) and low call put volume ratio (31/1085) further reduce conviction. |
| Aug 14, 1:57 PM | MSFT | $497.56 | HOLD | 65% | 13.2s | Market shows conflicting signals with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze released) and high volume, but MACD histogram bearish momentum and RSI neutrality suggest indecision. Range-bound price action (54.6% position) and lack of strong trend confirmation from LinReg/EMA crossovers warrant caution. Performance streak (3L) and low call put volume ratio (31/1085) further reduce conviction. |
| Aug 13, 4:57 PM | MSFT | $494.32 | HOLD | 65% | 14.8s | Mid-range price action with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI remains neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:52 PM | MSFT | $494.62 | HOLD | 65% | 9.4s | Mid-range price action with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI remains neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:51 PM | MSFT | $494.51 | HOLD | 75% | 9.6s | Market shows tight Bollinger Bands with high volume but weak MACD histogram momentum. RSI remains neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:34 PM | MSFT | $494.74 | HOLD | 65% | 6.4s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:29 PM | MSFT | $494.47 | HOLD | 65% | 49.4s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:26 PM | MSFT | $494.50 | HOLD | 65% | 6.3s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:09 PM | MSFT | $494.21 | HOLD | 65% | 11.0s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:08 PM | MSFT | $494.33 | HOLD | 65% | 6.4s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:07 PM | MSFT | $494.88 | HOLD | 65% | 8.0s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:04 PM | MSFT | $494.77 | HOLD | 65% | 26.4s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:03 PM | MSFT | $494.41 | HOLD | 65% | 84.6s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 4:00 PM | MSFT | $494.95 | HOLD | 65% | 23.9s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:57 PM | MSFT | $495.07 | HOLD | 65% | 6.1s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:54 PM | MSFT | $495.24 | HOLD | 65% | 6.7s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:53 PM | MSFT | $495.40 | HOLD | 65% | 19.6s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:52 PM | MSFT | $495.24 | HOLD | 65% | 7.0s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:51 PM | MSFT | $495.27 | HOLD | 65% | 6.8s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:41 PM | MSFT | $495.15 | HOLD | 65% | 32.9s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:40 PM | MSFT | $495.28 | HOLD | 65% | 21.5s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:37 PM | MSFT | $495.16 | HOLD | 65% | 10.7s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:34 PM | MSFT | $494.43 | HOLD | 65% | 8.4s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. |
| Aug 13, 3:28 PM | MSFT | $494.10 | HOLD | 65% | 18.4s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. Waiting for stronger directional confirmation. |
| Aug 13, 3:17 PM | MSFT | $495.84 | HOLD | 65% | 6.7s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. Waiting for stronger directional confirmation. |
| Aug 13, 3:15 PM | MSFT | $495.86 | HOLD | 65% | 7.6s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. Waiting for stronger directional confirmation. |
| Aug 13, 3:11 PM | MSFT | $496.65 | HOLD | 65% | 14.9s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 3 losses requires caution. Waiting for stronger directional confirmation. |
| Aug 13, 3:07 PM | MSFT | $496.78 | HOLD | 65% | 7.6s | Price remains in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 2 losses requires caution. Waiting for stronger directional confirmation. |
| Aug 13, 1:58 PM | MSFT | $498.85 | HOLD | 65% | 8.7s | No valid entry signal detected. Price is in mid-range with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze OFF) and high volume, but MACD histogram shows weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral, and no VWAP crossover or EMA confirmation. Performance streak of 2 losses requires caution. Waiting for stronger directional confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 3:06 PM | MSFT | $494.65 | HOLD | 60% | 15.7s | Bollinger Bands show tight compression (squeeze ON) with price near session lows, indicating potential breakout but no confirmed directional signal. Volume ratio is elevated (2.93x) but RSI lacks divergence, and EMA/HMA alignment is conflicting. Performance streak (1W) and low win rate (37.8%) necessitate caution until clearer momentum confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 2:55 PM | MSFT | $494.61 | HOLD | 60% | 6.7s | Bollinger Bands show tight compression (squeeze ON) with price near session lows, indicating potential breakout but no confirmed directional signal. Volume ratio is elevated (2.93x) but RSI lacks divergence, and EMA/HMA alignment is conflicting. Performance streak (1W) and low win rate (37.8%) necessitate caution until clearer momentum confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 2:54 PM | MSFT | $494.34 | HOLD | 60% | 6.8s | Bollinger Bands show tight compression (squeeze ON) with price near session lows, indicating potential breakout but no confirmed directional signal. Volume ratio is elevated (2.93x) but RSI lacks divergence, and EMA/HMA alignment is conflicting. Performance streak (1W) and low win rate (37.8%) necessitate caution until clearer momentum confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 2:47 PM | MSFT | $494.86 | HOLD | 60% | 6.7s | Bollinger Bands show tight compression (squeeze ON) with price near session lows, indicating potential breakout but no confirmed directional signal. Volume ratio is elevated (2.93x) but RSI lacks divergence, and EMA/HMA alignment is conflicting. Performance streak (1W) and low win rate (37.8%) necessitate caution until clearer momentum confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 2:40 PM | MSFT | $495.07 | HOLD | 60% | 9.2s | Bollinger Bands show tight compression (squeeze ON) with price near session lows, indicating potential breakout but no confirmed directional signal. Volume ratio is elevated (2.93x) but RSI lacks divergence, and EMA/HMA alignment is conflicting. Performance streak (1W) and low win rate (37.8%) necessitate caution until clearer momentum confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 2:21 PM | MSFT | $495.25 | HOLD | 60% | 19.6s | Market shows mixed signals with tight Bollinger Bands (squeeze ON) and conflicting EMA/HMA alignment. Volume ratio is high but RSI lacks divergence. Range-bound price action near session lows suggests caution. Performance streak (1W) and low win rate (37.8%) warrant conservative approach until clearer directional confirmation. |
| Aug 12, 1:57 PM | MSFT | $493.04 | HOLD | 78% | 8.1s | Squeeze is ON with BB width tight, but price is near session low (-71.5%) making puts overbought. Volume ratio high (2.93x) confirms volatility, but LinReg slope (0.0685) lacks strong upward confirmation. RSI (59.6) neutral and MACD bullish, but theta decay (-0.579) suggests time pressure. Avoiding range-bound entries per strategy rules. |
| Aug 12, 1:51 PM | MSFT | $495.42 | HOLD | 78% | 18.7s | Squeeze is ON with BB width tight, but price is near session low (-71.5%) making puts overbought. Volume ratio high (2.93x) confirms volatility, but LinReg slope (0.0685) lacks strong upward confirmation. RSI (59.6) neutral and MACD bullish, but theta decay (-0.579) suggests time pressure. Avoiding range-bound entries per strategy rules. |
| Aug 11, 2:42 PM | MSFT | $501.71 | HOLD | 70% | 7.5s | Mixed signals with bearish EMAs/VWAP and bullish MACD histogram. Squeeze is ON (BB tight), requiring confirmation before entry. Range position near session low (8.6%) increases put risk. Volume ratio (1.44x) is normal, but ATR (0.91) suggests limited range. No strong directional confirmation from LinReg (-0.009) or HMA. Performance streak (5L) warrants caution. |