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NVIDIA: Nemotron 3 Nano 30B A3B

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$-33,516.00
Total P&L
33.3%
Win Rate
15
Closed Trades
2.0 s
Avg Response
32.3%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
Status Dir Strike Exp Entry Exit Stock In Stock Out Opt In Opt Out P&L
Closed CALL $498 Aug 17 (3d) Aug 14 1:55PM Aug 17 1:32PM $497.56 $490.68 $3.70 $0.48 $-7,728.00
Closed CALL $485 Aug 7 (3d) Aug 4 1:45PM Aug 5 1:31PM $485.56 $496.31 $7.40 $13.90 +$14,950.00
Closed PUT $460 Aug 3 (3d) Jul 31 1:54PM Aug 3 1:51PM $459.37 $488.21 $5.95 $0.05 $-12,980.00
Closed PUT $393 Aug 3 (5d) Jul 29 2:01PM Jul 30 1:53PM $393.26 $449.06 $14.05 $0.07 $-30,756.00
Closed PUT $395 Jul 20 (3d) Jul 17 1:47PM Jul 20 1:37PM $394.96 $389.80 $4.70 $4.20 $-1,000.00
Closed PUT $383 Jul 17 (3d) Jul 14 1:42PM Jul 15 1:34PM $383.25 $389.26 $5.40 $2.27 $-6,260.00
Closed CALL $383 Jul 13 (3d) Jul 10 3:07PM Jul 13 1:31PM $381.85 $389.80 $3.10 $8.55 +$10,355.00
Closed PUT $385 Jul 13 (5d) Jul 8 1:43PM Jul 9 1:31PM $384.36 $374.45 $6.20 $12.00 +$11,020.00
Closed PUT $385 Jul 6 (4d) Jul 2 1:57PM Jul 3 1:54PM $385.89 $390.80 $3.85 $1.85 $-3,600.00
Closed CALL $375 Jun 29 (5d) Jun 24 1:34PM Jun 25 1:51PM $375.51 $357.26 $6.20 $0.64 $-9,452.00
Closed CALL $383 Jun 15 (3d) Jun 12 1:51PM Jun 17 3:26PM $382.93 $385.64 $4.65 $3.10 $-2,325.00
Closed PUT $403 Jun 15 (5d) Jun 10 1:42PM Jun 11 1:51PM $401.81 $391.60 $6.60 $12.40 +$8,700.00
Closed PUT $413 Jun 12 (4d) Jun 8 2:06PM Jun 9 3:26PM $412.34 $405.43 $6.30 $9.50 +$4,800.00
Closed CALL $445 Jun 5 (3d) Jun 2 3:39PM Jun 3 1:54PM $443.89 $432.30 $7.60 $1.60 $-8,400.00
Closed PUT $415 May 26 (6d) May 20 2:25PM May 21 2:15PM $414.63 $419.18 $6.20 $5.50 $-840.00
Decision Log Last 50
Time Ticker Price Action Confidence Response Reasoning
Aug 21, 2:57 PM MSFT $484.06 HOLD
40%
12.3s Squeeze remains ON and price is below VWAP with bearish MACD histogram, so we wait for squeeze release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:54 PM MSFT $483.49 HOLD
45%
21.3s Strong VWAP crossover with 3.45× volume surge meets the top signal, but squeeze remains ON and range position near the high triggers caution, so we wait for squeeze release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:53 PM MSFT $483.91 HOLD
45%
15.1s Price sits above VWAP with a 3.45× volume surge, yet the squeeze is still ON and ATR (0.65) is below the preferred 1.0 threshold, so we must wait for a squeeze release before entering, and the range position near the high makes a call entry risky.
Aug 21, 2:51 PM MSFT $484.00 HOLD
30%
14.3s Squeeze remains ON and ATR (0.65) below the preferred 1.0 threshold, with price now below VWAP and bearish MACD histogram, requiring wait for release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:43 PM MSFT $482.83 HOLD
30%
10.6s Squeeze remains ON and ATR (0.65) is below the preferred 1.0 threshold, with MACD histogram bearish despite price rise, requiring wait for release before entering a new position.
Aug 21, 2:42 PM MSFT $482.02 HOLD
30%
13.8s Squeeze remains ON and ATR (0.65) is below the preferred 1.0 threshold, with price near the lower range; thus no clear entry signal yet, leading to low confidence for a new trade.
Aug 21, 2:38 PM MSFT $482.15 HOLD
45%
24.0s VWAP crossover with strong volume meets the top signal, but the Bollinger squeeze remains ON, requiring a release before entering; other filters are met but squeeze delay keeps confidence moderate.
Aug 21, 2:35 PM MSFT $483.04 HOLD
45%
10.6s Strong volume surge and VWAP crossover meet criteria, but Bollinger squeeze remains ON, requiring release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:33 PM MSFT $483.05 HOLD
45%
9.2s Bollinger squeeze remains ON and price is near the upper range, so we wait for a squeeze release before entering despite the VWAP crossover and high volume.
Aug 21, 2:31 PM MSFT $483.60 HOLD
45%
12.9s VWAP crossover with volume ratio 3.45x meets the strongest signal, but Bollinger squeeze remains ON, so we wait for release before entering directional trade.
Aug 21, 2:30 PM MSFT $483.29 HOLD
55%
8.8s VWAP crossover with volume ratio 3.45x meets the strongest signal, but the Bollinger squeeze remains ON, so we wait for a release before entering a directional trade.
Aug 21, 2:28 PM MSFT $483.62 HOLD
35%
12.4s VWAP crossover with high volume meets strongest signal, but squeeze remains ON and price near upper range, so we wait for squeeze release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:27 PM MSFT $483.64 HOLD
35%
9.8s Price is near the upper range (88.9%) and the squeeze remains ON, so we wait for a release; although VWAP crossover with strong volume meets the strongest signal, ATR is below 1.0 and the range position warns against chasing, keeping confidence moderate.
Aug 21, 2:18 PM MSFT $484.41 HOLD
25%
10.0s Squeeze remains ON with no release yet, price is near the upper range (105% position) and ATR is modest, so we wait for a squeeze release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:16 PM MSFT $485.23 HOLD
35%
33.3s Price above VWAP with strong volume, but squeeze remains active and range near high, so waiting for squeeze release before entering.
Aug 21, 2:15 PM MSFT $483.59 HOLD
30%
17.2s Squeeze remains ON and ATR is below 1.0, with price near the upper range (87.8%); no squeeze release or clear directional confirmation yet.
Aug 21, 2:05 PM MSFT $483.12 HOLD
15%
12.0s Squeeze remains ON and ATR below 1.0, and we are within 10 min of market close, so entry filters are not met.
Aug 21, 2:04 PM MSFT $482.69 HOLD
15%
19.2s Squeeze remains ON and ATR below 1.0, early session; entry filters not satisfied.
Aug 21, 1:54 PM MSFT $481.80 HOLD
15%
12.2s Squeeze remains ON and ATR below 1.0, plus we are within first 5 min of open, so key entry filters are not met.
Aug 21, 1:52 PM MSFT $481.40 HOLD
15%
14.8s Squeeze remains ON and ATR is below 1.0, so key entry filters are not satisfied despite high volume and price above VWAP.
Aug 21, 1:50 PM MSFT $480.84 HOLD
15%
20.8s Squeeze remains ON and ATR is below 1.0, so key entry filters are not satisfied despite high volume and price above VWAP.
Aug 21, 1:46 PM MSFT $481.93 HOLD
15%
13.9s Squeeze remains ON and ATR is below 1.0, so key entry filters are not satisfied despite high volume and price above VWAP.
Aug 21, 1:43 PM MSFT $482.30 HOLD
15%
8.7s Squeeze remains ON, option spread exceeds 15% and ATR is below 1.0, so entry filters are not satisfied despite price above VWAP and high volume.
Aug 21, 1:42 PM MSFT $483.98 HOLD
15%
43.3s Squeeze remains ON and price near session high with bearish MACD and EMA9/EMA21 cross; no clear entry signal meets required filters.
Aug 21, 1:37 PM MSFT $482.60 HOLD
15%
11.4s Price is below VWAP despite high volume, squeeze remains active and ATR is below the 1.0 threshold; no clear entry signal meets the required filters.
Aug 21, 1:35 PM MSFT $483.51 HOLD
15%
23.9s Squeeze remains ON and price near session high with bearish MACD; no clear entry despite high volume.
Aug 21, 1:32 PM MSFT $479.35 HOLD
12%
18.0s Squeeze remains ON and the ATM call spread exceeds 15% liquidity threshold; price is below VWAP and EMA9/EMA21 with bearish momentum, so no clear entry signal yet.
Aug 20, 1:31 PM MSFT $482.52 CALL
0%
51.6s —
Aug 19, 1:39 PM MSFT $482.91 CALL
0%
26.6s —
Aug 19, 1:36 PM MSFT $482.53 HOLD
35%
18.6s Call OI is 60 (<100) and put LinReg slope is positive, so neither BUY_CALL nor BUY_PUT clears all entry filters despite high volume and squeeze release.
Aug 19, 1:32 PM MSFT $480.96 HOLD
30%
10.6s Bearish trend persists with price below VWAP and EMA9<EMA21, and option liquidity filters fail (spread >15%, OI <100 for call), so no valid entry.
Aug 18, 1:55 PM MSFT $481.81 CALL
68%
9.3s A 3.88× volume surge with a released Bollinger squeeze aligns with the bullish EMA9>EMA21 cross and positive LinReg slope, supporting a BUY_CALL despite price being below VWAP.
Aug 17, 1:32 PM MSFT $490.68 SELL
99%
— Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered
Aug 14, 1:55 PM MSFT $497.56 CALL
80%
18.3s Price crossed VWAP on a strong volume surge with a released Bollinger squeeze, confirming a bullish breakout, while EMA9>EMA21 and HMA remain bullish.
Aug 14, 1:53 PM MSFT $497.09 HOLD
45%
29.9s VWAP crossover with volume surge triggers top signal, but MACD histogram is bearish and theta decay >15% of premium, plus ongoing losing streak lowers confidence.
Aug 13, 1:52 PM MSFT $499.41 CALL
68%
11.9s Price above VWAP with strong volume surge and squeeze release confirms bullish breakout; all entry filters satisfied, but BB %B overbought caps confidence.
Aug 12, 3:09 PM MSFT $493.75 HOLD
15%
12.1s Squeeze remains ON and ATR(14)=0.73 below the required 1.0, price is below VWAP and near the session low, and we are on a long losing streak, so entry filters are not met despite a bullish MACD histogram.
Aug 12, 3:07 PM MSFT $494.65 HOLD
0%
41.9s Failed to parse: We need to output JSON with action, confidence, reasoning 1-2 sentences citing specific indicators. Must consider signals hierarchy and entry filters. Current time 8:07 AM PT. Market closes at 1:00 P
Aug 12, 2:59 PM MSFT $494.61 HOLD
20%
10.8s Squeeze remains ON and ATR(14)=0.73 below the required 1.0, with price below VWAP and range near the low, so entry filters are not met despite bullish EMA/MACD.
Aug 12, 2:50 PM MSFT $494.34 HOLD
25%
21.9s Squeeze remains ON and hasn't released, ATR(14)=0.73 below preferred 1.0, and entry filters not met despite bullish EMA/MACD; also on a 15‑loss streak with win rate <40%, so confidence is low.
Aug 12, 2:49 PM MSFT $494.86 HOLD
25%
24.6s The squeeze is still ON and hasn't released, and ATR(14)=0.73 is below the preferred 1.0 threshold, so entry filters are not satisfied despite the bullish MACD histogram.
Aug 12, 2:44 PM MSFT $495.07 HOLD
20%
8.0s Squeeze remains ON and ATR(14)=0.73 is below the preferred 1.0 threshold, so entry filters are not satisfied despite the bullish EMA crossover.
Aug 12, 2:37 PM MSFT $496.39 HOLD
12%
17.1s Squeeze still ON and hasn't released; ATR(14)=0.73 below the preferred 1.0 threshold and call spread 17.2% exceeds the 15% liquidity limit, so entry filters are not satisfied.
Aug 12, 2:27 PM MSFT $495.70 HOLD
15%
3.9s Squeeze remains ON and has not released, ATR(14)=0.73 below the preferred 1.0 threshold, and price is below VWAP and both EMAs despite a bullish EMA cross.
Aug 12, 2:21 PM MSFT $495.25 HOLD
12%
19.7s Squeeze remains ON and ATR(14)=0.73 below the preferred 1.0 threshold, so entry filters are not met despite the bullish EMA cross.
Aug 12, 2:15 PM MSFT $495.44 HOLD
15%
23.5s Squeeze remains ON and has not released, price is below VWAP and both EMAs despite a bullish EMA cross, and ATR is below the preferred 1.0 threshold, so entry filters are not satisfied.
Aug 12, 2:13 PM MSFT $493.57 HOLD
20%
13.9s The squeeze is still ON and has not released, price sits below VWAP and both EMAs despite a bullish EMA cross, and although the ATM call has sufficient OI and liquidity, the entry filter requiring a squeeze release is not met.
Aug 12, 2:04 PM MSFT $492.65 HOLD
25%
19.0s Price is below VWAP and both EMAs despite a bullish EMA cross, BB %B is deep below lower band indicating oversold but squeeze remains ON and open interest on the ATM option is below 100, failing key entry filters.
Aug 12, 1:57 PM MSFT $493.04 HOLD
25%
24.5s Squeeze remains active with no release yet, price is below VWAP and both EMAs, and open interest on the ATM option is below the 100‑contract threshold, so entry filters are not satisfied.
Aug 12, 1:52 PM MSFT $495.42 HOLD
35%
39.4s Price under VWAP and EMAs, squeeze yet to release, and recent 14‑loss streak requires textbook confirmation.