MiniMax: MiniMax M2.5
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$-3,466.00
Total P&L
0.0%
Win Rate
4
Closed Trades
0.2 s
Avg Response
65.9%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Performance by Ticker
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Ticker | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | GOOGL | CALL | $388 | May 26 (5d) | May 21 3:15PM | May 22 1:42PM | $388.19 | $387.19 | $5.10 | $3.50 | $-1,920.00 |
| Closed | AAPL | CALL | $298 | May 22 (3d) | May 19 4:03PM | May 21 4:17PM | $297.25 | $303.91 | $2.91 | $1.98 | $-1,116.00 |
| Closed | MSFT | PUT | $418 | May 22 (4d) | May 18 3:12PM | May 21 3:32PM | $418.52 | $418.61 | $6.15 | $3.95 | $-220.00 |
| Closed | TSLA | PUT | $410 | May 22 (4d) | May 18 3:27PM | May 19 5:45PM | $409.60 | $402.83 | $9.00 | $6.90 | $-210.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 7:32 PM | GOOGL | $390.61 | HOLD | 35% | 45.0s | Despite strong bullish signals (squeeze released, EMA cross bullish, MACD histogram positive, volume surge 1.71x), the range position at 120.3% means price is chasing at extremes - risky for calls. Combined with early close at 1PM PT leaving only ~29 minutes, extremely overbought BB %B at 1.4, and 4L losing streak requiring stronger setups, risk outweighs opportunity. |
| May 27, 6:17 PM | AAPL | $310.77 | HOLD | 35% | 38.6s | Mixed signals: price above VWAP and EMAs (bullish) but EMA cross bearish and MACD histogram negative. RSI at 38 suggests oversold but momentum is weak. Squeeze released with high volume (4.1x) but ATR only $0.41 limits range. Given 4 consecutive losses, zero win rate, and conflicting indicators, better to stay flat. |
| May 27, 6:11 PM | GOOGL | $391.81 | HOLD | 25% | 39.8s | Despite bullish signals (squeeze released, EMA cross bullish, MACD histogram positive, volume surge 1.71x), the range position at 138.2% means price is chasing at extremes - risky for calls. Combined with lunch hour (lower volume), early close at 1PM PT leaving only ~50 min, and 4L losing streak requiring stronger setups, risk outweighs opportunity. |
| May 27, 5:47 PM | AAPL | $310.47 | HOLD | 45% | 45.6s | Mixed signals: price above VWAP and EMAs (bullish) but RSI at 38 and MACD histogram negative (bearish). Squeeze released with high volume but ATR only $0.41 suggests limited range. Given 4 consecutive losses and no clear directional signal, better to stay flat. |
| May 27, 5:29 PM | NVDA | $211.93 | HOLD | 45% | 43.6s | Mixed signals: price well below EMA(9), EMA(21), HMA(9), and VWAP (bearish), but BB %B below lower band suggests oversold and MACD histogram remains bullish. Low ATR ($0.46) indicates limited range, and price near session low (-1.1%) makes directional trade risky. With 4L streak and early close at 1PM, better to sit out. |
| May 27, 1:45 PM | NVDA | $212.25 | HOLD | 25% | 33.2s | Price below VWAP, EMA(9), EMA(21), HMA(9), and at 4% range position (near session low) - bearish setup but 0% win rate on 4 trades and 4L streak requires extreme caution. With market closing in 1 minute and no strong bullish signal, best to stay out. |
| May 22, 1:42 PM | GOOGL | $387.19 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| May 21, 6:03 PM | TSLA | $422.99 | HOLD | 35% | 50.6s | Mixed signals: bullish EMA/MACD crossover with high volume (2.64x) and squeeze released, but RSI overbought at 73.1 and price at 150% range position (chasing). Combined with 3L streak and 0% win rate, risk is too high. |
| May 21, 4:17 PM | AAPL | $303.91 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| May 21, 3:42 PM | NVDA | $219.68 | HOLD | 35% | 60.2s | Bearish trend confirmed: price below EMA(9), EMA(21), VWAP, HMA(9), and LinReg slope negative. Range position at -14.4% near session lows makes calls risky. MACD histogram slightly bullish but insufficient to counter multiple bearish signals. On 2-trade losing streak with 0% win rate - avoid forcing trades. |
| May 21, 3:32 PM | MSFT | $418.61 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| May 21, 3:15 PM | GOOGL | $388.19 | CALL | 82% | 52.2s | Strong setup: squeeze released with bullish momentum, VWAP crossover confirmed by volume surge (4.98x), EMA bullish cross (9>21), MACD histogram positive at 0.0849, and price in mid-range at 48.3%. ATM call delta 0.527 with acceptable spread 8.9% and adequate OI 104. |
| May 20, 5:38 PM | TSLA | $414.81 | HOLD | 75% | 50.5s | Squeeze is ON - must wait for release before directional entry. Price at 176.5% range position (near session high) is chasing for calls. MACD histogram negative (-0.1354) and LinReg slope negative (-0.0434) show bearish momentum despite EMA bullish cross. With 0% win rate and 1L streak, avoiding this extended setup is prudent. |
| May 20, 3:29 PM | NVDA | $225.56 | HOLD | 75% | 34.1s | Late session (market closes in 1 minute), price at extreme range position 116.4% above session high with BB %B at 1.557 indicating overbought exhaustion. Despite volume surge (2.39x) and squeeze release, entering now risks immediate reversal with insufficient time to manage position. Momentum mixed: RSI bearish (38.2), MACD histogram negative, but price above VWAP. Better opportunity tomorrow. |
| May 20, 3:15 PM | MSFT | $415.40 | HOLD | 70% | 79.6s | Put is deep ITM (price $2.10 below strike) with only -6.8% loss; all bearish signals aligned (RSI 38.8, MACD hist negative, price well below EMA 9/21/VWAP, near session lows). With 47 min to close, holding captures any final downside move. |
| May 19, 7:45 PM | MSFT | $417.72 | HOLD | 65% | 52.2s | Put is ITM ($0.22 below strike) with only -9.8% loss; price below VWAP supports put direction despite bullish MACD. With only 16 min to close and high theta (-1.111), holding captures any final session downside. |
| May 19, 5:45 PM | TSLA | $402.83 | SELL | 82% | 52.4s | Position down 23.3% approaching 25% loss threshold, MACD histogram bullish (0.3685) working against put direction, and only 16 min until market close with DTE=3 and theta decay accelerating |
| May 19, 4:59 PM | GOOGL | $389.91 | HOLD | 80% | 60.2s | Squeeze remains ON - must wait for release before directional entry. Despite bearish alignment (EMA cross bearish, price below VWAP, RSI 35.2), the squeeze rule explicitly requires waiting for release. BB %B at -3.155 shows extreme oversold conditions near session lows (-32.8% range position), making puts risky. MACD histogram positive (0.0718) adds confusion. Wait for squeeze release with clear directional momentum. |
| May 19, 4:25 PM | GOOGL | $387.88 | HOLD | 80% | 45.2s | Squeeze remains ON - must wait for release before directional entry. Price is extremely oversold (BB %B at -4.09) near session lows (-47% range position) making puts risky despite bearish trend alignment (EMA cross bearish, price below VWAP, RSI 35.2). |
| May 19, 4:10 PM | GOOGL | $387.74 | HOLD | 80% | 55.5s | Squeeze is still ON - must wait for release before directional entry. Price is extremely oversold (BB %B at -4.16) near session lows (-48% range position) making puts risky. Despite bearish trend alignment (EMA cross bearish, price below VWAP, RSI 35.2), the squeeze rule explicitly requires waiting for release before entering. |
| May 19, 4:03 PM | AAPL | $297.25 | CALL | 72% | 56.0s | Strong setup: squeeze released with volume surge (2.21x), VWAP crossover (price $297.25 above VWAP $297.09), bullish MACD histogram (+0.1357), and EMA bullish cross. ATM call has good delta (0.497), low IV (27.1%), and tight spread (1.4%). HMA bearish is a minor concern but other signals override. |
| May 19, 3:20 PM | AAPL | $297.49 | HOLD | 55% | 50.0s | Mixed signals: EMA bullish cross, VWAP above price, positive MACD histogram, squeeze released, high volume (2.21x). However, HMA(9) bearish at $297.83, price down -0.12%, and early session volatility after pre-market gap suggests waiting for clearer directional confirmation. |
| May 19, 3:13 PM | GOOGL | $389.05 | HOLD | 75% | 86.7s | Squeeze is ON - must wait for release before directional entry. Price is extremely oversold (BB %B at -3.55) near session lows (-38.9% range position) making puts risky. Despite bearish trend alignment, the squeeze rule explicitly requires waiting for release before entering. |
| May 18, 7:42 PM | GOOGL | $397.25 | HOLD | 30% | 29.6s | Squeeze still ON (waiting for release); only 19 min until market close at 1PM PT - too little time for option play; price above BB upper but squeeze hasn't definitively broken yet |
| May 18, 7:38 PM | NVDA | $220.77 | HOLD | 75% | 33.3s | Bearish signals (EMA cross, MACD hist, price below VWAP) but market closes in 23 min - too risky to enter. RSI oversold (26.8) suggests potential bounce, but range position at -47.8% near session low makes puts unattractive. No position to manage, so HOLD. |
| May 18, 7:28 PM | AAPL | $296.64 | HOLD | 70% | 25.9s | Bearish signals present (price below EMA9/21/VWAP, RSI 39 bearish zone, MACD histogram negative, BB %B at -1.273 below lower band), but market closes in 32 minutes with limited time for option decay to work. ATR $0.45 is low, range position at 1.8% near session low makes puts risky, and theta will work against any new position this close to close. |
| May 18, 6:11 PM | GOOGL | $400.09 | HOLD | 35% | 37.8s | Squeeze is ON - must wait for release before directional entry. Price at 108.6% range position is chasing highs (risky for calls). Despite bullish EMA cross and MACD histogram, the combination of squeeze not released, extreme range position, and only ~110 min to market close makes this low-confidence for new entry. |
| May 18, 5:37 PM | AAPL | $296.09 | HOLD | 75% | 38.2s | All indicators bearish (EMA cross, VWAP, MACD hist negative) but price at session low (-6.4% range position) with BB %B at -1.511 and RSI near oversold at 39 suggests extreme oversold conditions that could mean-revert. Early close at 1PM PT and low ATR ($0.45) limit profit potential. No clear directional entry with acceptable risk/reward. |
| May 18, 4:23 PM | NVDA | $222.55 | HOLD | 70% | 80.6s | Conflicting signals: RSI oversold (26.8) and BB below lower band suggest bounce potential, but price remains well below VWAP/EMAs, bearish MACD momentum, and LinReg slope negative confirm downtrend. Range position at -23.3% near session lows makes directional plays risky. Squeeze released but direction unclear - HOLD |
| May 18, 4:12 PM | NVDA | $222.47 | HOLD | 75% | 55.9s | Mixed signals: RSI oversold (26.8) and BB below lower band suggest bounce potential, but price well below VWAP/EMAs, bearish MACD, and LinReg slope negative confirm downtrend. Range position at -24.4% near session lows makes directional plays risky. Early close at 1PM PT reduces edge. |
| May 18, 3:41 PM | NVDA | $223.02 | HOLD | 95% | 40.8s | Market closes in 1 minute - no new entries allowed in last 10 minutes. Despite bearish technicals (price below VWAP/EMAs, bearish MACD, squeeze released), timing rule overrides: HOLD |
| May 18, 3:32 PM | GOOGL | $402.34 | HOLD | 80% | 44.6s | Squeeze is still ON (BB inside KC) - must wait for release before directional entry. Additionally, range position at 144% is extremely overbought (above 85% threshold), making calls risky at current levels despite bullish EMA cross, MACD histogram positive, and high volume (3.21x). |
| May 18, 3:27 PM | TSLA | $409.60 | PUT | 78% | 60.6s | Strong bearish setup: EMA cross bearish, price well below VWAP, MACD histogram negative, RSI in bearish zone at 32.8, squeeze released with downward momentum, volume ratio 1.6x. The 410 put has good delta (0.494), acceptable spread (1.7%), and adequate OI (3141). |
| May 18, 3:24 PM | GOOGL | $403.94 | HOLD | 75% | 34.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC) - must wait for release before directional entry. Also, range position at 169.1% is extremely overbought (above 85% threshold), making calls risky at current levels despite bullish EMA cross and high volume (3.21x). |
| May 18, 3:12 PM | MSFT | $418.52 | PUT | 82% | 41.3s | Strong bearish setup: price below EMA(9), EMA(21), VWAP, and below lower Bollinger Band (-0.637 %B); MACD histogram negative; squeeze released; pre-market gap down -1.81%; RSI 34.5 in bearish zone; very high volume 5.84x; ATM put (417.50) has good delta -0.482, tight spread 4.1%, adequate OI 355 |