Google: Gemma 4 31B
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$-710.00
Total P&L
20.0%
Win Rate
10
Closed Trades
0.3 s
Avg Response
62.0%
Avg Confidence
0
Open Positions
Equity Curve
Recent Trades Last 50
| Status | Dir | Strike | Exp | Entry | Exit | Stock In | Stock Out | Opt In | Opt Out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed | CALL | $34 | Oct 30 (7d) | Oct 23 1:41PM | Oct 26 1:51PM | $33.74 | $33.12 | $1.36 | $0.84 | $-1,768.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $44 | Oct 9 (3d) | Oct 6 2:32PM | Oct 7 1:31PM | $43.74 | $42.60 | $1.09 | $0.55 | $-1,728.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $29 | Jul 17 (7d) | Jul 10 2:47PM | Jul 13 1:39PM | $28.54 | $27.88 | $1.26 | $1.31 | +$95.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $29 | Jul 10 (10d) | Jun 30 1:57PM | Jul 1 6:55PM | $28.98 | $27.86 | $1.45 | $0.64 | $-1,458.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $33 | Jul 2 (7d) | Jun 25 2:12PM | Jun 26 1:31PM | $32.31 | $31.04 | $1.56 | $0.96 | $-1,020.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $34 | Jun 26 (3d) | Jun 23 1:32PM | Jun 24 1:51PM | $33.61 | $33.54 | $1.58 | $1.05 | $-901.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $29 | Jun 26 (8d) | Jun 18 1:37PM | Jun 19 1:32PM | $28.66 | $30.72 | $1.23 | $0.54 | $-1,104.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $30 | Jun 18 (7d) | Jun 11 1:56PM | Jun 12 2:20PM | $29.68 | $30.89 | $1.66 | $0.89 | $-1,155.00 |
| Closed | PUT | $43 | Jun 12 (3d) | Jun 9 1:59PM | Jun 10 1:32PM | $43.09 | $36.09 | $1.51 | $7.80 | +$9,435.00 |
| Closed | CALL | $46 | Jun 12 (8d) | Jun 4 1:59PM | Jun 5 1:37PM | $45.25 | $44.16 | $2.29 | $1.50 | $-1,106.00 |
Decision Log Last 50
| Time | Ticker | Price | Action | Confidence | Response | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:54 PM | SMCI | $34.79 | HOLD | 60% | 3.2s | Squeeze is currently ON, and entry filters require waiting for a release before directional entry. Additionally, volume ratio (0.68x) is below the 0.8 minimum threshold. |
| Oct 28, 2:16 PM | SMCI | $35.00 | HOLD | 0% | 3.3s | Squeeze is currently ON, requiring a release before directional entry. Additionally, price is at 89.4% of the session range, making calls risky (chasing), and volume ratio (0.68x) is below the 0.8 filter. |
| Oct 28, 2:09 PM | SMCI | $35.07 | HOLD | 70% | 3.3s | Squeeze is ON and volume ratio (0.68x) is below the 0.8 entry filter. Price is at 92.7% of the session range, making calls a high-risk chase despite the bullish MACD and VWAP position. |
| Oct 28, 2:08 PM | SMCI | $35.06 | HOLD | 60% | 3.3s | Squeeze is currently ON, requiring a release before directional entry. Additionally, price is at 92.4% of the session range, making calls risky (chasing) and volume ratio (0.68x) is below the 0.8 filter. |
| Oct 28, 2:01 PM | SMCI | $35.13 | HOLD | 0% | 3.3s | Squeeze is currently ON, requiring a release before directional entry. Additionally, price is at 95.7% of the session range, making calls high-risk (chasing), and volume ratio (0.68x) is below the 0.8 filter. |
| Oct 26, 1:51 PM | SMCI | $33.12 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Oct 23, 1:41 PM | SMCI | $33.74 | CALL | 82% | 3.4s | Strong bullish alignment: price is above VWAP, EMA(9)>EMA(21), and HMA(9) is positive. Vol ratio is extremely high (3.28x) and the Bollinger squeeze has just released with positive momentum, confirming a high-probability breakout. |
| Oct 20, 1:56 PM | SMCI | $31.36 | HOLD | 60% | 3.6s | Price is currently below VWAP, EMA(9), and EMA(21), indicating a bearish trend. While the MACD histogram is bullish and the price is near the session low, the HMA(9) remains bearish and the high IV (89%) makes premiums expensive for a low-confidence reversal. |
| Oct 7, 1:31 PM | SMCI | $42.60 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Oct 6, 2:32 PM | SMCI | $43.74 | CALL | 82% | 3.2s | Strong VWAP crossover with a massive volume surge (vol_ratio 2.55x) and a Bollinger squeeze release to the upside. Price is above VWAP and EMA(9/21), with bullish MACD histogram and HMA(9) alignment. |
| Jul 13, 1:39 PM | SMCI | $27.88 | SELL | 85% | 3.7s | Price is at the session low ($27.88) with RSI deeply oversold (25.5) and BB %B at -1.004, signaling an extreme extension. With a 2L streak and low win rate, taking a modest profit now is prudent before a mean-reversion bounce. |
| Jul 13, 1:37 PM | SMCI | $28.03 | HOLD | 85% | 3.2s | Price is currently $28.03, significantly below VWAP ($28.64) and all EMAs, with a bearish MACD histogram and high volume ratio (1.96x). While RSI is oversold (25.5), the strong downward momentum and current profit of 12.7% justify holding for further downside. |
| Jul 13, 1:35 PM | SMCI | $27.69 | HOLD | 82% | 4.0s | Price is currently $27.69, well below VWAP ($28.64) and all EMAs, confirming a strong bearish trend. MACD histogram is bearish and the position is profitable (+11.1%), with RSI at 25.5 indicating strong downward momentum despite being oversold. |
| Jul 10, 2:47 PM | SMCI | $28.54 | PUT | 78% | 6.6s | Price is below VWAP ($28.71) and EMA(21) with a bearish MACD histogram and LinReg slope. RSI is oversold (25), but the strong volume ratio (1.64x) and recent price drop from $28.91 to $28.54 suggest strong downward momentum. |
| Jul 8, 2:24 PM | SMCI | $27.15 | HOLD | 60% | 4.5s | Price is currently at 111.5% of the session range, which is a high-risk 'chasing' zone for calls. While VWAP and volume are bullish, the LinReg slope is negative and the price is significantly above the Upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a high probability of a mean-reversion pullback before a safe entry. |
| Jul 1, 6:55 PM | SMCI | $27.86 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 30, 1:57 PM | SMCI | $28.98 | PUT | 75% | 4.0s | Price is below VWAP ($28.99) and RSI is bearish (35.3). High volume ratio (4.81x) confirms a strong downward move, and LinReg slope is negative, aligning with a bearish trend. |
| Jun 26, 1:31 PM | SMCI | $31.04 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 25, 2:12 PM | SMCI | $32.31 | CALL | 72% | 3.3s | Strong volume surge (2.92x) with price crossing above EMA(9) and EMA(21), and MACD histogram showing bullish momentum. Squeeze has released and HMA(9) is bullish, though price remains below VWAP, suggesting a potential mean-reversion move toward $32.65. |
| Jun 25, 2:04 PM | SMCI | $31.81 | HOLD | 65% | 4.2s | Price is below VWAP, EMA(9), and EMA(21), and HMA(9) is bearish, contradicting the bullish MACD histogram. Despite the high volume ratio, the lack of trend alignment and a 6-trade losing streak require a textbook signal (like a VWAP crossover) before entry. |
| Jun 25, 2:01 PM | SMCI | $31.89 | HOLD | 60% | 3.5s | Price is below VWAP and EMA(9/21), but MACD histogram is bullish and volume is surging. I will wait for a VWAP crossover or HMA(9) alignment to confirm a reversal before entering. |
| Jun 24, 1:51 PM | SMCI | $33.54 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 24, 1:49 PM | SMCI | $33.28 | HOLD | 65% | 4.1s | Price is currently below VWAP ($33.63), maintaining a bearish bias. While MACD histogram is slightly bullish, the overall trend remains below VWAP and the position loss is only -11.4%, well within the 25% stop-loss threshold. |
| Jun 24, 1:41 PM | SMCI | $32.85 | HOLD | 85% | 3.3s | Price is currently at $32.85, which is below VWAP ($33.63) and both EMAs, confirming a bearish trend. The position is only down 5.1%, and the price is testing the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting further downside potential before a reversal. |
| Jun 23, 1:32 PM | SMCI | $33.61 | PUT | 75% | 3.9s | Price is below VWAP, EMA(9), and EMA(21) with a bearish MACD histogram and HMA(9) direction. High volume ratio (2.83x) confirms strong downward momentum, and the price is currently breaking below the BB Lower band. |
| Jun 19, 1:32 PM | SMCI | $30.72 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 18, 1:37 PM | SMCI | $28.66 | PUT | 72% | 3.3s | Price is below VWAP ($28.80) and EMA(21) with a negative LinReg slope. RSI is oversold (28.1), but the strong bearish momentum in the 1-min bars and MACD histogram confirms a downward trend. |
| Jun 17, 3:58 PM | SMCI | $29.17 | HOLD | 60% | 11.7s | Price is currently oversold (RSI 29.9) and near the session low, making puts risky (chasing). While bearish trend indicators (VWAP, EMA, HMA) are strong, the extreme RSI and range position suggest waiting for a bounce or a confirmed breakdown before entering. |
| Jun 17, 3:44 PM | SMCI | $29.16 | HOLD | 60% | 3.9s | Price is currently oversold (RSI 29.9) and sitting at the session low, making puts risky (chasing). While the trend is bearish (below VWAP/EMAs), the high volume ratio and extreme RSI suggest a potential bounce, but there is no bullish confirmation yet. |
| Jun 17, 3:32 PM | SMCI | $29.17 | HOLD | 65% | 9.3s | Price is currently oversold (RSI 29.9) and near the session low, making puts risky (chasing). However, the trend is strongly bearish with price below VWAP, EMA(9/21), and HMA(9), requiring a bullish reversal signal before entering calls. |
| Jun 12, 2:20 PM | SMCI | $30.89 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 12, 2:17 PM | SMCI | $30.81 | HOLD | 70% | 3.5s | Price is currently above VWAP ($30.02) and MACD histogram remains bullish. While RSI is overbought (79.5), the strong volume surge and positive P&L suggest holding for further momentum toward the $32.00 resistance. |
| Jun 12, 2:09 PM | SMCI | $30.53 | HOLD | 82% | 4.2s | Price is holding above VWAP ($30.02) and MACD histogram remains bullish. While RSI is overbought (79.5), the strong volume ratio (5.82x) and positive P&L suggest momentum is still active toward the EMA(9) target of $31.58. |
| Jun 12, 2:04 PM | SMCI | $30.63 | HOLD | 70% | 5.8s | Price is currently above VWAP and MACD histogram remains bullish. While RSI is overbought (79.5), the strong volume surge and positive P&L justify holding for further momentum toward the EMA(9) at $31.58. |
| Jun 12, 1:57 PM | SMCI | $30.23 | HOLD | 70% | 5.0s | Price is currently above VWAP ($30.23 > $30.02) and MACD histogram is bullish. While RSI is overbought (79.5), the strong volume surge and positive linear regression slope suggest momentum is still favoring the upside. |
| Jun 11, 1:56 PM | SMCI | $29.68 | CALL | 72% | 11.8s | RSI is extremely oversold (14.6) and price is near the session low (7.3% range), suggesting a high probability of a mean-reversion bounce. HMA(9) has already turned bullish, and the massive volume surge (27.77x) indicates a potential capitulation bottom. |
| Jun 10, 1:32 PM | SMCI | $36.09 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 9, 1:59 PM | SMCI | $43.09 | PUT | 75% | 3.6s | Price is below VWAP, EMA(9), and EMA(21) with a bearish MACD histogram and negative LinReg slope. BB %B is -0.584, indicating a strong breakdown below the lower band with bearish HMA(9) alignment. |
| Jun 9, 1:52 PM | SMCI | $43.83 | HOLD | 60% | 5.6s | Price is above VWAP but below EMA(9) and EMA(21) with a bearish MACD histogram and negative LinReg slope. High IV (95.6%) and a 2-trade losing streak necessitate a textbook signal, which is currently absent as indicators are conflicting. |
| Jun 8, 2:11 PM | SMCI | $42.73 | HOLD | 70% | 3.6s | Price is above VWAP and EMAs with bullish MACD momentum, but the Squeeze is ON, which requires a release before entering. Additionally, a 2L losing streak and very high IV (>90%) demand a textbook signal to avoid expensive premiums and revenge trading. |
| Jun 8, 2:01 PM | SMCI | $42.66 | HOLD | 60% | 11.6s | Price is above VWAP and EMA(9/21) with bullish MACD histogram, but the Squeeze is ON, requiring a release before entering a directional trade. High IV (>90%) makes premiums expensive, and a 2L streak necessitates a textbook signal for entry. |
| Jun 8, 1:40 PM | SMCI | $42.74 | HOLD | 0% | 4.0s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC), and per entry filters, I must wait for a release before entering a directional trade. Additionally, the pre-market gap is >2%, requiring a 15-minute settlement period before entry. |
| Jun 8, 1:36 PM | SMCI | $43.04 | HOLD | 0% | 3.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC), and per entry filters, I must wait for a release before entering a directional trade. Additionally, the current price is above VWAP but the RSI is neutral (48.1), providing no strong momentum signal. |
| Jun 8, 1:33 PM | SMCI | $42.96 | HOLD | 0% | 4.1s | Squeeze is ON (BB inside KC), requiring a release before directional entry. Additionally, the pre-market gap is +8%, and the first 15 minutes of the session must settle before entering. |
| Jun 8, 1:32 PM | SMCI | $43.11 | HOLD | 0% | 3.0s | Squeeze is ON, requiring a release before directional entry. Additionally, the pre-market gap is >2%, and the first 15 minutes of the session must settle before entering. |
| Jun 5, 1:37 PM | SMCI | $44.16 | SELL | 99% | — | Auto stop-loss/take-profit triggered |
| Jun 4, 1:59 PM | SMCI | $45.25 | CALL | 82% | 4.8s | Strong bullish momentum with a massive volume surge (vol_ratio 2.32x) and price breaking above VWAP ($47.13) and EMA(9)/EMA(21). MACD histogram is positive and RSI is in the bullish zone (69), confirming a strong directional move. |
| Jun 3, 2:15 PM | SMCI | $47.45 | HOLD | 60% | 3.6s | Squeeze is currently ON, requiring a release before entering directional trades. While MACD is bullish and volume is high, the price is below VWAP and EMA(9/21), and the HMA(9) is bearish, creating conflicting signals. |
| Jun 1, 2:35 PM | SMCI | $47.64 | HOLD | 70% | 2.8s | Price is bullishly positioned above VWAP and EMAs with high volume, but the Squeeze is ON, and entry filters strictly require waiting for a release before entering a directional trade. |
| Jun 1, 2:18 PM | SMCI | $46.86 | HOLD | 60% | 2.9s | Price is bullish above VWAP and EMAs with high volume, but the Squeeze is currently ON, requiring a release before entering a directional trade per entry filters. |